Prediction of strain energy-based liquefaction resistance of sand–silt mixtures: An evolutionary approach
Introduction
After the disastrous damage observed during the Niigata and Alaska 1964 earthquakes, the liquefaction phenomenon has become the scope of many studies in the field of geotechnical earthquake engineering (e.g., Lee and Fitton, 1968, Seed and Idriss, 1971, Seed et al., 1975). This phenomenon is developed due to an excess pore water pressure, which is generated under undrained loading conditions in soils. In the absence of enough pore pressure dissipation, excess pore pressure can dramatically lose soil shear strength and, thus, devastating failures may occur in the structures. Liquefaction potential assessment is an important task for construction sites, which are susceptible to this phenomenon. Hence, many studies have been performed to enhance the accuracy of prediction in the methods of liquefaction potential assessment.
The most well-known approach of liquefaction potential assessment is the simplified stress-based approach, which was initially developed by Seed and Idriss (1971) and then revised and updated till today (e.g., Idriss and Boulanger, 2006, NCEER, 1997, National Research Council, 1985, Seed et al., 1975, Youd et al., 2001). In this approach, the average uniform cyclic shear stress is assumed to be representative of irregular stress history in the soil profile. Currently, the simplified stress-based approach is the most recommended approach for routine geotechnical works. Nevertheless, it has some disadvantages and uncertainties such as assumptions regarding the amount of uniform cyclic shear stress, which is imparted to the soil. Seed and Idriss (1971) proposed that 65% of the maximum shear stress was uniform cyclic shear stress, whereas Whitman (1971) proposed a factor of 67% for 20 s of excitation. Furthermore, Ishihara and Yasuda (1972) studied the Niigata earthquake records and offered a factor of 57% for equivalent average shear stress. Green and Terri (2005) also investigated the equivalent cycle concept, which is implemented to convert the random seismic load to an equivalent number of harmonic cycles.
It was experimentally observed that the required amount of cyclic shear strain for the initiation of pore pressure buildup is less affected by initial effective stress and the relative density of the soil as well as soil fabric (Dobry and Ladd, 1980, Kramer, 1996, Mulilis et al., 1975) and strain history (Dobry and Ladd, 1980, Kramer, 1996). Based on these observations, Dobry et al. (1982) proposed an alternative approach wherein a threshold shear strain is defined that can initialize plastic deformation and the consequent excess pore water pressure. Then, threshold shear strain is compared with the shear strain imparted by cyclic loading. Accordingly, once exciting shear strains exceed the threshold shear strain, excess pore water pressure is generated. The strong relationship between cyclic shear strain and excess pore water pressure, which allows prediction of excess pore water pressure more accurately, is the main advantage of this approach over the stress-based approach (Kramer, 1996). However, the main deficiency of this method is the fact that estimation of cyclic strains is more difficult than that of cyclic shear stress (Seed, 1980).
Irrecoverable plastic deformation of soils under drained conditions, which is accompanied by shear work and energy dissipation, was recognized to be related to excess pore water pressure generation under undrained conditions. Nemat-Nasser and Shokooh (1979) initially demonstrated that the cumulative area enclosed by the stress–strain history of soil during loading, unloading, and reloading is strongly associated with excess pore water pressure buildup. Davis and Berrill (1982) introduced an energy-based approach for liquefaction potential assessment in which the energy content of an earthquake is compared with the amount of dissipated energy required for soil liquefaction, known as “capacity energy”. In the energy-based approach, the amount of the energy, which is imparted by an earthquake to the soil deposit is known as “demand energy”. Subsequent studies were conducted by several researchers to enhance the capability of this concept in liquefaction potential assessment (e.g., Berrill and Davis, 1985, Davis and Berrill, 2001, Figueroa et al., 1994, Law et al., 1990, Simcock et al., 1983, Towhata and Ishihara, 1985). Furthermore, the participants of the NCEER workshop (Youd et al., 2001) suggested to continue research and development on this potentially useful topic.
Strain energy-based evaluation of liquefaction potential considers effects of strain and stress concurrently unlike the stress or strain-based approaches (Liang, 1995). Furthermore, dissipated strain energy density is capable of accounting for the effects of a complicated stress–strain history on pore water pressure buildup (Towhata, 2008). Dissipated strain energy can be linked to the fundamental earthquake parameters including earthquake magnitude (Gutenberg and Richter, 1956) and site-to-source distance while it considers the entire spectrum of ground motions as opposed to the stress-based approach, which uses only the peak value of ground acceleration (Kayen and Mitchell, 1997, Liang, 1995).
A systematic strain energy-based procedure for liquefaction potential assessment can be summarized in the following steps: (1) Estimation of strain energy demand, which is equal to the cumulative area bounded by the hysteresis stress–strain loops constructed due to earthquake loading in the field. (2) Estimation of capacity energy, which is equal to the cumulative area bounded by hysteresis stress–strain loops from the initiation of cyclic loading up to liquefaction onset. This quantity can be evaluated experimentally by conducting cyclic tests on the soil samples or empirically using the field performance of liquefiable sites. However, empirical estimation of capacity energy is difficult due to the lack of strain energy-based field information. (3) Comparison between the demand and the capacity energies for the evaluation of liquefaction potential (factor of safety).
The current study aims to propose a relationship for predicting the capacity energy of sand–silt mixtures based on a wide-ranging database of laboratory tests conducted during previous studies. This database contains 399 cyclic tests: 275 cyclic triaxial tests (Arulmoli et al., 1992, Green, 2001, Kanagalingam, 2006, Polito, 1999), 116 cyclic torsional shear tests (Liang, 1995, Rokoff, 1999, Tao, 2003, Towhata and Ishihara, 1985), and 8 cyclic simple shear tests (Arulmoli et al., 1992). A great part of this database (278 data) was previously reported and used by Baziar and Jafarian (2007) and the rest is presented in Table A1.
Genetic programming, which is a powerful tool for pattern recognition and data interpretation, was employed in this study to present an explicit predictive equation for the capacity energy of liquefiable soils. In addition, a parametric study was performed to investigate the behavior of the proposed model under various conditions. Model behavior is confirmed by comparing the results of the parametric study and those observed in experimental works. The data recorded at various instrumented sites were employed to verify the model under field conditions. This verification was carried out according to the fact that the demand energy imparted to a liquefied site through seismic motion was larger than its capacity energy. A special consideration is made for the Wildlife downhole array site during the Superstition Hills 1987 earthquake. The proposed model successfully works for this site since its performance is in agreement with those observed in reality.
Section snippets
Review of previous capacity energy models
There are various studies that have focused on the strain energy-based estimation of soil liquefaction and capacity energy. A great part of these studies involves the energy-based pore water pressure models (e.g., Hsu, 1995, Polito et al., 2008).
Results of undrained cyclic tests can be employed for direct development of relationships between capacity energy and characteristics of soil and cyclic load. Several comprehensive studies were conducted at Case Western Reserve University and the
Genetic programming
Genetic programming (GP) is a biologically inspired learning machine for statistical data analysis and pattern recognition. GP have been successfully utilized for solving various kinds of complicated geotechnical engineering problems such as predictions of liquefaction-induced lateral displacements (Javadi et al., 2006), settlement of shallow foundations (Rezania and Javadi, 2007), and the ratio of strong ground motions (Jafarian et al., 2010a). Koza (1992) initially introduced this
Development of a capacity energy model using multigene GP
Based on experimental observations, it is well understood that the capacity energy of soils is strongly related to relative density and effective confining pressure (Figueroa et al., 1994, Towhata, 1986). The dependency of liquefaction resistance of soils on these physical state parameters was previously demonstrated and justified by researchers (Jafarian et al., 2010b, Seed and Lee, 1966). Furthermore, the effect of fines content on cyclic behavior of sand has been extensively studied. It is
Results and discussions
Numerous runs were performed with various initial settings and the performance of the developed equation was analyzed for each run. Consequently, the best models were selected according to statistical criteria such as R2, RMSE, and MAE. In addition, a comprehensive parametric study was performed to monitor the behavior of each model versus variations of input variables. Accordingly, the following relationship was selected as the best model for capacity energy of sand–silt mixtures:
Parametric study
Further investigation on the model behavior under various conditions was conducted through a comprehensive parametric study. This part of the study was performed to evaluate whether the model matches its prediction to those observed in experimental investigations. For this purpose, variations of any input parameter on the amount of capacity energy were studied while the other parameters were kept constant at their mean values in the data set.
It was observed from the developed GP-based model
Field verification of the developed model
The valuable data recorded during earthquakes in several instrumented downhole arrays are utilized for the examination of the developed model under field condition. Using data from instrumented downhole arrays and trigonometric interpolation functions (TIFs) (Davis and Berrill, 1998), Butterfield (2004) estimated that the stress and strain time histories belong to vertically propagated SH waves and the time history of dissipated energy density in soil as well. This calculated amount of strain
Summary and conclusions
In this study, a new model was developed to predict the liquefaction strength of sand–silt mixtures based on a dissipated strain energy concept. To develop this model, a relatively large database including various types of cyclic element tests (triaxial, torsional, and simple shear) was used. Due to the considerable complications involved in the liquefaction problem, a powerful intelligent tool (i.e., genetic programming) was utilized to derive an implicit equation, which obtains liquefaction
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