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BEDLOAD TRANSPORT OF SMALL RIVERS IN MALAYSIA by ZAHRA ZANGENEH SIRDARI Thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for degree of Doctor of Philosophy May 2013 1 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank all the individuals and organizations who have helped or provided the guidance during the study. Among the organisations, firstly I would like to thanks the Universiti Sains Malaysia who provided the opportunity to study in this university under fellowship scheme. I am also thankful to USM for all efforts from granting the study leave to providing all reports and drawings required for this thesis work. First and foremost I would like to express my genuine gratitude to my supervisor, Prof. Dr. Hj Aminuddin Ab. Ghani for his supervision, advice and guidance. I really was honoured to have the opportunity to work under his supervision. Also I would like to special thanks to my second Supervisor Mr. Zorkeflee Abu Hasan for his guidance and technical support. I would also like to thank River Engineering and Urban Drainage Research Centre (REDAC) and its staffs especially Mrs. Nor Mawati Mohamad, Mr. Mohd Sufian Osman, Mr. Rahim Ghazali and Mr. Khairul Nizam Abu for helping me in field measurements and data collection. I don’t have words to express my thanks to Dr. Farshid Bateni, in fact no words can express his generosity. All through this work he has provided his guidance and help in modelling and programming in MATLAB. I am also thankful to all officers, seniors, colleges and friends who helped one or another way to make possible this study. Last but not least I would extend my word of thanks to my family specially my lovely sister Nasim who helped me during all this duration of my study. ii 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................ ii 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS................................................................................................... iii 3 LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................ vii 4 LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................ x 5 LIST OF ABREVIATIONS ............................................................................................. xx 6 LIST OF SYMBOLS ....................................................................................................... xxi 7 ABSTRAK ..................................................................................................................... xxiv 8 ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................. xxvi 1 CHAPTER 1- INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 1 2 1.1 Background............................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Problem Statement.................................................................................................... 3 1.3 Objective of the Investigation................................................................................... 5 1.4 Scope of Work .......................................................................................................... 5 1.5 Structure of Thesis .................................................................................................... 6 CHAPTER 2 - LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................... 8 2.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 8 2.2 Bedload Transport .................................................................................................... 8 2.3 Bedload Transport Analysis ..................................................................................... 9 2.4 Bed Load Transport Equations ............................................................................... 12 2.4.1 2.5 2.6 Performance of Bedload Transport Equations ........................................ 19 Regression Analysis ............................................................................................... 21 2.5.1 Linear Regression ................................................................................... 21 2.5.2 Multiple Linear Regression ..................................................................... 22 2.5.3 Least- Square Method ............................................................................. 23 2.5.4 Polynomial Regression............................................................................ 24 2.5.5 Nonlinear Regression .............................................................................. 24 Soft Computing Modelling ..................................................................................... 25 iii 2.6.1 Genetic Programming (GP)..................................................................... 26 2.6.2 Artificial Neural Network (ANN) ........................................................... 28 2.7 Application of Soft Computing Modelling in Prediction of Bedload Transport .... 30 2.8 River Channel Confluence...................................................................................... 36 2.9 Sediment Transport Modelling ............................................................................... 41 2.9.1 SSIIM ...................................................................................................... 48 2.9.1.1 SIMPLE Algorithm ................................................................. 49 2.9.1.2 Control Volume Scheme.......................................................... 49 2.9.1.3 SSIIM Application ................................................................... 50 2.10 Summary................................................................................................................. 55 3 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY .................................................................................... 58 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 58 3.2 Study Area .............................................................................................................. 59 3.3 River Hydrology and Hydraulic ............................................................................. 61 3.4 3.5 4 3.3.1 Stream Flow Data.................................................................................... 61 3.3.2 Water Level Record ................................................................................ 61 3.3.3 Stage Discharge Data .............................................................................. 62 3.3.4 Flood Frequency Analysis....................................................................... 63 Field Data Measurement......................................................................................... 67 3.4.1 Flow Measurement .................................................................................. 68 3.4.2 Geometry Data ........................................................................................ 70 3.4.3 Sediment Data ......................................................................................... 72 3.4.3.1 Bed Material ............................................................................ 72 3.4.3.2 Bedload .................................................................................... 73 Techniques for Bedload Prediction ........................................................................ 75 3.5.1 Performance of Bedload Transport Equation .......................................... 76 3.5.2 Dimensional Analysis ............................................................................. 77 3.5.3 Nonlinear Regression Method (NLR) ..................................................... 78 3.5.4 Artificial Neural Network (ANN) ........................................................... 79 3.5.5 Genetic Programming Method (GP) ....................................................... 80 CHAPTER 4 BEDLOAD TRANSPORT CHARACTERISTICS ................................... 82 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 82 4.2 River Characteristics .............................................................................................. 83 4.2.1 Summary of River Data Collection ......................................................... 83 4.2.2 Typical Cross-Sections for the River Study Site ..................................... 87 iv 4.2.3 Parameter Affecting Bedload Transport ................................................. 90 4.3 Particle Size Distribution ........................................................................................ 93 4.4 Evaluation of Bedload Size Distribution with Increasing Shear Stress .................. 97 4.5 Fractional Transport Rate ..................................................................................... 102 4.6 Performance of Bedload Transport Equation ....................................................... 107 4.6.1 Assessment of Existing Equation for Kurau River ............................... 107 4.6.2 Prediction of Bedload Transport in Kurau River with Nonlinear Regression Method ............................................................................... 109 4.6.3 Prediction of Bedload Transport in Kurau River by Genetic Programming ............................................................................................................... 112 4.7 4.6.4 Combination of ANN and GP ............................................................... 117 4.6.5 Comparison of Bedload Equations for Kurau River ............................. 122 Development of Bedload Equation for Small Rivers (Kurau, Lui, Semenyih) .... 126 4.7.1 Assessment of Existing Equations for Small Rivers (Kurau, Luie and Semenyih) ............................................................................................. 127 4.7.2 Nonlinear Regression Result for Small Rivers (Kurau, Lui and Semenyih) ............................................................................................................... 129 4.7.3 4.8 Sensitivity Analysis .............................................................................................. 134 4.9 Genetic Programming Result................................................................................ 136 4.9.1 5 Artificial Neural Network Results ........................................................ 131 Comparison of Bedload Equations for Small Streams .......................... 139 CHAPTER 5 RIVER CONFLUENCE SEDIMENT TRANSPORT MODELLING .... 142 5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 142 5.2 SSIIM ................................................................................................................... 143 5.3 SSIIM versions ..................................................................................................... 144 5.4 Theoretical Basis .................................................................................................. 145 5.4.1 5.4.2 Water Flow Calculation ........................................................................ 146 5.4.1.1 The k-ε turbulence model ...................................................... 146 5.4.1.2 Wall laws ............................................................................... 147 Sediment Flow Calculation ................................................................... 148 5.5 Graphical Interface ............................................................................................... 149 5.6 Input Files ............................................................................................................. 150 5.7 Output Files .......................................................................................................... 151 5.8 Making a Grid in SSIIM ....................................................................................... 153 5.8.1 Grid Editor ............................................................................................ 156 5.8.2 Multiblock and One Block Grid ............................................................ 156 v 5.9 Sediment Flow Simulation in Confluence of Kurau and Ara River ..................... 160 5.9.1 Characteristics of Kurau -Ara Confluence ............................................ 161 5.9.2 Input Data .............................................................................................. 163 5.9.3 Input Files ............................................................................................. 165 5.9.3.1 Control File ............................................................................ 165 5.9.3.2 Timei File .............................................................................. 166 5.9.4 Numerical Algorithms ........................................................................... 169 5.9.5 Sensitivity Analysis............................................................................... 170 5.9.6 Calibration and Validation .................................................................... 171 5.9.7 5.9.6.1 Model Calibration .................................................................. 171 5.9.6.2 Model Validation ................................................................... 183 Short Term Changes in Bedload Transport, Bed Morphology and Bed Material Characteristics ........................................................................ 186 5.9.8 6 5.9.7.1 Morphological Changes ......................................................... 188 5.9.7.2 Lateral bar .............................................................................. 209 5.9.7.3 Bedload Transport Rates........................................................ 211 5.9.7.4 Sediment Pattern .................................................................... 220 High Flow Modelling ............................................................................ 229 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................... 236 6.1 6.2 Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 236 6.1.1 Bedload Transport Characteristics ........................................................ 236 6.1.2 Estimating Bedload Transport............................................................... 237 6.1.3 Sediment Transport in River Channel Confluence ............................... 238 Recommendations ................................................................................................ 240 7 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................... 241 8 APPENDIX A 9 APPENDIX B 10 APPENDIX C vi 3 TABLES LIST OF TABLES TITLE PAGES Table 2.1 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Shear stress method 13 Table 2.2 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Stream power method 14 Table 2.3 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Energy slope method 14 Table 2.4 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Regression method 15 Table 2.5 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Discharge and velocity 17 method Table 2.6 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Equal mobility method 17 Table 2.7 Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Probabilistic method 19 Table 2.8 Comparison of bedload equations and the ANN model (Sasal et 32 al., 2009) Table 2.9 Summary of the major foregoing studies considering the 38 morphodynamics of channel confluences (Leite Ribeiro et al., 2012) Table 2.10 Summary of Some 3D hydrodynamic/sediment transport Models 44 (Papanicolaou et al, 2008) Table 2.11 Applications for selected 3D models (Papanicolaou et al, 2008) 46 Table 3.1 Flood ranking for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung 64 Table 3.2 Summary of flood frequency analysis for Kurau River at Pondok 65 Tanjung Table 3.3 Goodness of fit test with chi-squared statistic value 65 Table 3.4 Typical cross sections along Kurau River (19 June 2010) 70 Table 3.5 The common bedload transport equations 77 Table 3.6 Multigene GP range of initially defined parameters 81 vii Table 4.1 Range of field data 85 Table 4.2 Summary of large and medium rivers (Monalis and Wu, 2001) 86 Table 4.3 The classification of sediments by particle size according to the Wentworth scale 98 Table 4.4 Summary of bedload transport equations assessment 108 Table 4.5 Parameter estimates of experimental data based on equation (3-14) 110 Table 4.6 Statistical analysis of experimental data based on equation (3-14 110 Table 4.7 Parameter estimates of experimental data base on equation (4-1) 111 Statistical analysis of experimental data base on equation (4-1) 111 Table 4.9 Assessment of NLR equation 112 Table 4.10 Summary of results of ANN 119 Table 4.11 Comparison of bedload transport equations 124 Table 4.12 Summary of bedload transport equations assessment 127 Table 4.13 Parameter estimates of experimental data based on equation (4-7) 129 Table 4.14 Parameter estimates of experimental data based on equation (4-8) 130 Table 4.15 Statistical analysis of experimental data base on equation (4-7) 130 Table 4.16 Sensitivity analysis results for parameters 135 Table 4.17 Bedload equations assessment 140 Table 5.1 Comparison of Cont value for one and two block grid 159 Table 5.2 Sediment characteristics 165 Table 5.3 Comparison of Bedload transport rate 173 Table 4.8 viii Table 5.4 Parameter calibrated in SSIIM 174 Table 5.5 Comparisons of water and bed level for Q=15 m3/s (19 July 2012) 183 Table 5.6 Comparisons of water and bed level for Q=43 m3/s (27 Sept 2012) 183 Table 5.7 Comparisons of water and bed level for Q=11 m3/s (8 Oct 2012) 185 Table 5.8 Hydraulic condition during an event at Kurau _Ara confluence 187 ix 4 FIGURES LIST OF FIGURES TITLE PAGES Figure 2.1 Schematic representation of sediment transport in a stream (Singh, 2005) 9 Figure 2.2 Comparison of the performance of the ANN with simple 31 regression and analytical approximation equations (Caamano et al., 2006) Figure 2.3 The ANFIS model for bed load sediment (Azamathulla et al., 33 2009) Figure 2.4 Predicted bed load against measured bed load using ANFIS 33 (Azamathulla et al., 2009) Figure 2.5 Observed versus predicted sediment load by SVM for 34 Langat, Kurau and Muda rivers (Azamathulla et al., 2010b) Figure 2.6 Observed versus predicted sediment load by FFNN for 35 Langat, Kurau and Muda rivers (Ab. Ghani et al., 2011) Figure 2.7 Observed versus predicted sediment load by GEP for Langat, 35 Kurau and Muda rivers (Ab. Ghani and Azamathulla, 2012; Azamathulla et al., 2010a; Chang et al., 2012; Zakaria et al., 2010) Figure 2.8 (a) Measured bed levels after the flushing (b) Simulated bed 52 levels after the flushing (Haun and Olsen, 2012) Figure 2.9 Comparison of bed level changes: (a) measurements; (b) 53 numerical simulation with uniform sediment; and (c) nonuniform sediment (Feurich and Olsen, 2011) Figure 2.10 Comparison between measured values and simulation results at: 53 (a) cross section 80; (b) cross section 60; and (c) cross section 20 Figure 2.11 Measured water depths before (a) and after (b) the flood, 54 together with measured (c) and computed (d) bed elevation changes (Fischer-Antze et al., 2008). Figure 3.1 Research framework for present study 58 Figure 3.2 Kurau River sub-basin and data collection sites 60 x Figure 3.3 Ara -Kurau river 60 Figure 3.4 Pondok Tanjung stream flow station (5007421) 61 Figure 3.5 Discharge hydrograph for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung 62 Figure 3.6 Water level chart for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung 62 Figure 3.7 Stage-discharge relationship at Pondok Tanjung for 1996-2007 63 Figure 3.8 Flood frequency analysis using difference types of distribution 66 Figure 3.9 Langat River basin and data collection sites by Ariffin (2004) 67 Figure 3.10 Electromagnetic current meter 68 Figure 3.11 SonTek River Surveyor Hydroboard with optional GPS 69 Figure 3.12 River surveying at Ara River with river surveyor (ADP) 72 Figure 3.13 Van Veen grab for bed material sampling 73 Figure 3.14 Hand held Helley-Smith sampler for bed load sampling 75 Figure 3.15 Feed-forward multilayer network 80 Figure 4.1 Cross section KRU1 along Kurau River 87 Figure 4.2 Cross section KRU2 along Kurau River 87 Figure 4.3 Cross section KRU3 along Kurau River 88 Figure 4.4 Cross section KRU4 along Kurau River 88 Figure 4.5 Cross section KRU5 along Kurau River 89 Figure 4.6 Cross section A1 along Ara River 89 Figure 4.7 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against discharge 90 Figure 4.8 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against velocity 90 Figure 4.9 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against width 91 xi Figure 4.10 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against water depth 91 Figure 4.11 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against B/Y ratio 91 Figure 4.12 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against hydraulic radius 92 Figure 4.13 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against area 92 Figure 4.14 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against slope 92 Figure 4.15 Scatter plot of bedload transport rate 93 Figure 4.16 Bedload frequency distribution size of upstream (KRU5) and 95 downstream (KRU1) of Kurau River Figure 4.17 Particle size distributions of bedload and bed material samples 96 for Kurau River. Figure 4.18 Comparison of particle size distributions of bedload samples for 97 upstream and downstream of Kurau River in same discharge. Figure 4.19 Mean bed load grain size distributions for shear stress bands 98 arranged in order of increasing shear stress (upstream of Kurau River KRU5). Figure 4.20 Mean bed load grain size distributions for shear stress bands 100 arranged in order of increasing shear stress (downstream of Kurau River KRU1). Figure 4.21 Variation in grain size at the10th, 16th, 30th, 50th, 84th and 90th 101 percentiles of the bedload size distribution with increasing shear stress. Figure 4.22 Transport ratio as a function of grain size at upstream (a) the 103 transport ratio Pi/fi where pi is the proportion of each size fraction i present in transported material and fi is the proportion of each size fraction in the bed material (b) the scaled fractional transport rate computed as qbpi/fi, where qb is the sediment transport rate. Figure 4.23 Transport ratio as a function of grain size at downstream (a) the 104 transport ratio Pi/fi (b) the scaled fractional transport rate qbpi/fi. Figure 4.24 Comparison of predicted and measured bedload rates for Kurau River xii 108 Figure 4.25 Bedload rating curve along Kurau River 109 Figure 4.26 Validation of NLR equation in Kurau River 112 Figure 4.27 Expression genes for GP formulation 114 Figure 4.28 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for the training data set. 115 Figure 4.29 Measured versus predicted values of Tbfor testing data set. 116 Figure 4.30 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for validation data set. 116 Figure 4.31 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for all data set. 117 Figure 4.32 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by GP-ANN 118 Figure 4.33 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for training data 119 set Figure 4.34 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for testing data 120 set Figure 4.35 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for validation 121 data set Figure 4.36 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for total data set 121 Figure 4.37 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN-GP 122 Figure 4.38 Comparison of bedload rating curve for Kurau River 125 Figure 4.39 Comparisons of predicted and measured bedload rates for Kurau 125 River Figure 4.40 Bedload rating curve for three rivers Figure 4.41 Performance of existing bedload transport formula in Kurau, Lui 128 and Semenyih rivers. Figure 4.42 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for total data set modelled by NLR Figure 4.43 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for the training 133 data set Figure 4.44 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for testing data 133 xiii 126 131 set Figure 4.45 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for validation 134 data set Figure 4.46 Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN with for total 134 data set. Figure 4.47 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for the training data set. 137 Figure 4.48 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for testing data set 138 Figure 4.49 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for total dataset 138 Figure 4.50 Measured versus predicted values of Tb for validation dataset 139 Figure 4.51 Comparison of bedload rating curve for small streams 141 Figure 4.52 Comparisons of predicted and measured bedload rates for small 141 streams by different models Figure 5.1 Structured grid 144 Figure 5.2 Unstructured grid 145 Figure 5.3 SSIIM graphical interface 150 Figure 5.4 SSIIM flowchart (Olsen, 2011) 153 Figure 5.5 Koordina file 154 Figure 5.6 3D grid generation 155 Figure 5.7 Koosurf file 155 Figure 5.8 Two block grid 157 Figure 5.9 One block grid 158 Figure 5.10 View of the confluence of the Kurau and Ara rivers 162 Figure 5.11 Contour bed level of the Kurau-Ara confluence 162 Figure 5.12 Sediment distribution size of bedload in Kurau River branch 163 xiv Figure 5.13 Sediment distribution size of bedload in Ara River 164 Figure 5.14 Sediment distribution size of bedload in main Kurau River 164 Figure 5.15 Control file used in SSIIM modelling 167 Figure 5.16 Time File 168 Figure 5.17 Comparison of Bedload transport rate 172 Figure 5.18 Measured and simulated average velocity in Ara mouth 175 Figure 5.19 Measured and simulated average velocity in Kurau mouth 175 Figure 5.20 Comparison cross-sectional bed level and average velocity a) 176 simulated b) Measured, April 2012 at Ara River Figure 5.21 Comparison cross-sectional bed level and average velocity a) 177 simulated b) Measured, April 2012 at Kurau River Figure 5.22 Measured bed level (April 2012) 178 Figure 5.23 Simulated contour bed level 178 Figure 5.24 Comparison cross sectional bed level in different condition of 179 Ara and Kurau confluence (Measured BL, April 2012) Figure 5.25 Comparison of measured and simulated Longitudinal bed level 180 at downstream of confluence (AA') (Measured BL, April 2012) Figure 5.26 Scatter plot of measured bed level against simulated bed level 180 (April 2012) Figure 5.27 Comparison of measured and simulated water level at 181 downstream of confluence (AA') (April 2012) Figure 5.28 Scatter plot of measured water level against simulated water 181 level (April 2012) Figure 5.29 Measured water level (April 2012) 182 Figure 5.30 Simulated water level 182 Figure 5.31 Comparisons of water and bed level (AA') for Q=15 m3/s (19 184 July 2012) xv Figure 5.32 Comparisons of water and bed level (AA') for Q=15 m3/s (20 184 July 2012) Figure 5.33 Comparisons of water and bed level (AA') for Q=11 m3/s (8 Oct 185 2012) Figure 5.34 Morphology of Kuaru -Ara confluence Figure 5.35 Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of 189 confluence after Q=15m3/s Figure 5.36 Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of 189 confluence after Q=15m3/s Figure 5.37 Bed morphology after Q=15 m3/s Figure 5.38 Change in bed morphology after Q=15m3/s. Zone of erosion and 190 deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. Figure 5.39 Channel cross section profiles, Q=15m3/s (Measured bed level 191 April 2012) Figure 5.40 Bed morphology after Q=31 m3/s 192 Figure 5.41 Channel cross section profiles, Q=31m3/s 193 Figure 5.42 Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of 194 confluence between Q=15m3/s and Q=31m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Figure 5.43 Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of 194 confluence between Q=15m3/s and Q=31m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Figure 5.44 Change in bed morphology between Q=15m3/s and Q=31m3/s. 195 Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. Figure 5.45 Flow separation Mr>1 196 Figure 5.46 Flow separation at Ara- Kurau confluence (Mr>1) 196 Figure 5.47 Bed morphology after Q=43m3/s 197 Figure 5.48 Channel cross section profiles, Q=43m3/s 199 xvi 187 190 Figure 5.49 Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of 200 confluence between Q=31m3/s and Q=43m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Figure 5.50 Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of 200 confluence between Q=31m3/s and Q=43m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Figure 5.51 Change in bed morphology between Q=31m3/s and Q=43m3/s. 201 Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. Figure 5.52 Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of 202 confluence between Q=43m3/s and Q=35m3/s (Measured bed level April2012) Figure 5.53 Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of 202 confluence between Q=43m3/s and Q=35m3/s (Measured bed level April2012) Figure 5.54 Bed mophology after Q=35m3/s Figure 5.55 Change in bed morphology between Q=43m3/s and Q=35m3/s. 203 Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. Figure 5.56 Channel cross section profiles, Q=35m3/s 204 Figure 5.57 Bed morphology after Q=13 m3/s 205 Figure 5.58 Flow separation Mr<1 206 Figure 5.59 Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of 206 confluence between Q=35m3/s and Q=13m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Figure 5.60 Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of 207 confluence between Q=35m3/s and Q=13m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Figure 5.61 Change in bed morphology between Q=35m3/s and Q=13m3/s. 207 Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. Figure 5.62 Channel cross section profiles, Q=13 m3/s Figure 5.63 longitudinal profile of lateral change in different flow 210 momentum xvii 203 208 Figure 5.64 Cross sectional lateral change in different flow momentum 210 Figure 5.65 Bed load transport rating curve in Ara and Kurau River branch 211 Figure 5.66 Bed load transport rate value by SSIIM against the calculated 212 bedload transport rate with Eq. 4.11 Figure 5.67 Bed morphology and spatial distribution of bedload transport 213 rate Mr=0.9. Figure 5.68 Bed morphology and spatial distribution of bedload transport 214 rate Mr=1.3. Figure 5.69 : Bed morphology and spatial distribution of bedload transport 215 rate Mr=2.6. Figure 5.70 Bed morphology and spatial distribution of bedload transport 216 rate Mr=0.7. Figure 5.71 Shear layer and distinct vortices about vertical axes at RSK1 218 Figure 5.72 Shear layer in the confluence of Ara and Kurau 218 Figure 5.73 Bedload rate in cross sections at downstream of confluence 219 Figure 5.74 Distribution of bed median size, D50 Q=15 m3/s, Mr<1 222 Figure 5.75 Bed shear stress in confluence Q=15m3/s 223 Figure 5.76 Distribution of bed median size at high flow, D50 Q=43 m3/s, 224 Mr>1 Figure 5.77 Bed shear stress in confluence Q=43m3/s Figure 5.78 Distribution of bed median size at low flow, D50 Q=13 m3/s, 226 Mr<1 Figure 5.79 Bed shear stress at low flow Q=13m3/s 228 Figure 5.80 Hydrograph of the October 2007 flood 229 Figure 5.81 The morphology of Kurau-Ara confluence before flood 230 Figure 5.82 Bed morphology of Kurau-Ara confluence after flood 231 xviii 225 Figure 5.83 Change in bed morphology after Q=191.32m3/s. Zone of erosion 232 and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. Figure 5.84 Longitudinal bed change profile of downstream of confluence 232 Figure 5.85 Modelled cross section changes before and after flood 2007 234 Figure 5.86 Bed morphology and spatial distribution of bedload transport 235 rate (Q=191.32m3/s) xix 5 LIST OF ABREVIATIONS Abbreviation Description ANN Artificial Neural Network ADP Acoustic Doppler Profiler ASCE American Society of Civil Engineers ARI Average Recurrence Interval BL Bed Level CFD Computational Fluid Dynamics CHZ Confluence Hydrodynamic Zone DID Department of Irrigation and Drainage DR Discrepancy Ratio EDM Electronic Distance Meter GA Genetic Algorithm GP Genetic Programming GPS Global Positioning System MAE Mean Absolute Error Mr Momentum ratio NLR Non Linear Regression RMSE Root Mean Square Error SSIIM Sediment Simulation In Intakes with Multiblock option SVM Support Vector Machines WL Water Level WS Water Surface xx 6 Symbol LIST OF SYMBOLS Description Flow area ( ) Section width of the channel (m) River channel width (m) Cs =(B/y0) Conveyance shape Cz Chezy resistance coefficient d1=θ-θcr The Shield's parameter difference d3= dsʋav The average flow velocity with sediment particle diameter(m2/s2) Sediment diameter where 50% of bed material is finer , , d50sub Size of particle intermediate axis for which i% of sample of bed material is finer Submerged median particle size ds Sediment particle diameter Dgr Dimensionless particle parameter E East f Friction factor fs Wilcock’s friction coefficient fi Proportion of each size fraction present in bed material Fr Froude number g Acceleration due to gravity Sectional bed load transport rate Gs Sediment specific gravity = 2.65 Gradation coefficient xxi Width of Helley-Smith sampler nozzle n Manning’s roughness coefficient N North P Wetted perimeter of cross section of flow (m) Q Flow discharge (m3/s) Bed material discharge for all size fractions (m3/s) q Water discharge per unit width qb Bedload discharge per unit width qbpi/fi Scale fractional transport rate Pi R Proportion of each size fraction present in transported material Hydraulic Radius R2 Coefficient of determination Re Reynolds number R/d50 Standardization with hydraulic radius Sf Channel slope Water surface slope Bed load transport rate (kg/s) Total bed load transport rate (kg/s) Suspended load transport rate (kg/s) Suspended load discharge (m3/s) Time the bed load sampler on the bed u* and u*cr Shear and critical shear velocity U Inequality coefficient Average flow velocity xxii Mean weighted bed load sample of vertical for n section w weights on the network connections , Flow depth y/B width scale ratio Z Vertical coordinate (elevation) αs Wiberg and Smith's coefficient Standardized coefficient and s Specific weight of water and sediment Γ Diffusion coefficient θ and θcr κ Shields’ and critical Shields’ parameters for initiation of motion von Karman constant =0.4 μ Dynamic viscosity of water П Shear stress due to relative density ρ and ρs Density of water and sediment and cr Shear and critical shear stress at the bed v kinematic viscosity Φb Dimensionless intensity of the bedload rate ωs Fall velocity of sediment particles (d50) ωs* Standardized fall velocity due to sediment particle xxiii PENGANGKUTAN BEBAN ENDAPAN DASAR UNTUK SUNGAI KECIL DI MALAYSIA 7 ABSTRAK Pengangkutan beban endapan dasar merupakan komponen penting proses dinamik sungai dan pengganggaran kadar pengangkutan beban endapan dasar adalah penting untuk pengiraan variasi morfologi sungai untuk tujuan keselamatan umum, pengurusan sumber air dan alam sekitar yang mampan. Pelbagai persamaan beban endapan yang terkenal adalah terhad kepada kajian eksperimen saluran dalam makmal atau kajian tapak. Persamaan ini yang dipengaruhi oleh kebolehpercayaan dan perwakilan data yang digunakan dalam menentukan pembolehubah dan pemalar memerlukan parameter yang kompleks dalam pengganggaran pengangkutan beban endapan. Oleh itu, satu persamaan baru yang mudah dan tepat adalah perlu untuk kegunaan di sungai-sungai kecil. Dalam kajian ini, data yang mudah diperolehi seperti kadar alir, kedalaman sungai, kecerunan sungai dan saiz diameter zarah endapan permukaan d50 daripada tiga sungai kecil di Malaysia digunakan untuk meramal pengangkutan endapan dasar. Model genetic programming (GP) dan artificial neural network (ANN) adalah berguna dalam menafsir data tanpa sebarang had untuk pangkalan data yang luas digunakan sebagai alat untuk pemodelan pengangkutan beban endapan untuk sungai-sungai kecil. Keupayaan GP dan ANN untuk meramal data hujan adalah memuaskan. Model yang diperolehi menunjukkan kejituan yang tinggi dengan ketepatan keseluruhan sebanyak 97% untuk ANN dan 93% untuk GP berbanding dengan kaedah konvensional dan persamaan empirical. Satu model numerikal tiga dimensi telah digunakan untuk mengkaji morfologi dasar dan pengangkutan beban endapan dasar sungai di pertemuan Sungai Ara dan xxiv Kurau untuk jangka masa pendek dengan kadar alir tinggi pada 100 ARI. Model tiga dimensi SSIIM2 dengan k-epsilon aliran gelora yang merupakan model pengiraan bendalir dinamik dengan grid adaptif, bukan ortogon dan tidak berstruktur telah digunakan untuk pemodelan hidrodinamik pertemuan sungai. Model numerikal ini telah diuji dengan data dari kajian tapak di pertemuan Ara-Kurau. Ketepatan yang memuaskan telah didapati di antara data endapan dasar dan aras dasar yang dianggar dengan yang dicerap di tapak. Kajian menunjukkan bahawa model numerikal merupakan alat yang berguna dalam meramal kadar pengangkutan beban dasar di kawasan yang bersekitaran dinamik kompleks. Keputusan menunjukkan bahawa perubahan hidrologi jangka pendek boleh mempengaruhi morfo-dinamik pertemuan Ara-Kurau. Untuk keadaan aliran yang berbeza, pengangkutan endapan dasar berhampiran pinggir lapisan ricih dan juga lapisan ricih yang menyebabkan aliran gelora menunjukkan peningkatan aliran gelora menyumbang kepada peningkatan kapasiti pengangkutan endapan beban dasar sungai. Keputusan simulasi menunjukkan taburan saiz zarah beting pasir di tepi hilir pertemuan sungai adalah tidak berubah dimana saiz median tidak berubah sepanjang tempoh kajian manakala saiz zarah di hulu beting pasir adalah lebih dipengaruhi oleh keadaan aliran. xxv BEDLOAD TRANSPORT OF SMALL RIVERS IN MALAYSIA 8 ABSTRACT Bedload transport is an essential component of river dynamics and estimation of bedload transport rate is important for practical computations of river morphological variations because the transport of sediment through river channels has major effects on public safety, water resources management and environmental sustainability. Numerous well-known bedload equations are derived from limited flume experiments or field conditions. These time-consuming equations, based on the relationship between the reliability and representativeness of the data utilized in defining variables and constants, require complex parameters to estimate bedload transport. Thus, a new simple equation based on a balance between simplicity and accuracy is necessary for using in small rivers. In this study the easily accessible data including flow discharge, water depth, slope, and surface grain diameter d50 from the three small rivers in Malaysia used to predict bedload transport. Genetic programming (GP) and artificial neural network (ANN) models that are particularly useful in data interpretation without any restriction to an extensive database are presented as complementary tools for modelling bed load transport in small streams. The ability of GP and ANN as precipitation predictive tools showed to be acceptable. The developed models demonstrate higher performance with an overall accuracy of 97% for ANN and 93% for GP compared with other traditional methods and empirical equations. A three-dimensional numerical model was applied to study the bed morphology and bedload transport of the junction of Ara and Kurau rivers for short term event and for high flow with 100 ARI. SSIIM2 a 3D, k-epsilon turbulence xxvi computational fluid dynamics model with an adaptive, non-orthogonal and unstructured grid has been used for modelling the hydrodynamic of confluence. The numerical model was tested against field data from Ara-Kurau confluence. Satisfactory agreement was found between computed and measured bedload and bed elevation in the field. The study indicates that numerical models became a useful tool for predicting the bedload transport rate in such complex dynamic environment. The results have demonstrated that the short term hydrologic variability can considerably influence the morphodynamics of Ara-Kurau channel confluence and for the different flow conditions the bedload transported near to edge of shear layer. The coincidence of the shear layer that was generated the considerable turbulence indicated that the increasing turbulence levels contribute substantially to the required increase in bedload transport capacity. The simulation results showed the grain size distribution on the bar at the downstream junction corner is remarkably constant and the particle size in the upstream part of the bar is more affected by the changes in flow conditions than the downstream end where the median diameters not varied during the period. xxvii 1 CHAPTER 1INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background Bedload transport is an essential component of river dynamics that depends on water flow, river morphology and response of sediment particles to applied stress and their mutual interactions. Estimation of bedload transport rate is important for practical computations of river morphological variations because the transport of sediment through river channels has major effects on public safety, water resources management and environmental sustainability (Yeganeh-Bakhtiary et al. 2009; Frey and Church 2011). The relationship between bedload transport rates and hydraulic variables is extremely complex because of various characteristics of alluvial rivers such as sediment transport, the interaction between sediment supply and bed surface adjustment, and the hydrodynamics of bedform progress. The difficulties associated with bedload field measurement causes a long history of interest in developing equations for the prediction of bedload transport. Numerous well-known bed load equations were derived from limited flume experiments or field conditions (Bagnold, 1980; Camenen and Larson, 2005; Yang, 1996). Although morphologist and engineers have gained profound insight into the mechanics of bedload transport ever since the development of the duBoys equation (du Boys, 1879) (the first physically based bedload transport equation) a simple question still cannot be answered: for given sedimentary and hydraulic characteristics, what is the rate of bedload transport in an alluvial channel? In other words, there is no single bedload equation that can be applied universally to all rivers and no completely objectively or universally 1 applicable guidelines exist to facilitate the selection of an appropriate formula as the bedload transport function (Almedeij and Diplas, 2003; Gomez and Church, 1989; Simons and Şentürk, 1992; Yang and Huang, 2001). To overcome the difficulties of developing the equations based on a balance between simplicity and accuracy, new mathematical modelling methods can be used to improve the sensitivity and performance of the prediction equations; the simple formula can be adopted to estimate the bedload transport of small streams. River flow, sediment transport and morphological processes are among the most complex and least understood processes or phenomena in nature. A river confluence has always been a challenging subject for river hydrodynamics and morphodynamics considerations due to complex flow phenomena and processes occurring in both the confluence and the downstream of confluence channel. The complexity of the phenomena and processes arises from the strong three dimensional flow effects resulting from several principal factors, including a) the discharge or momentum ratio between tributary and main stream b) the planform shape of upstream and post confluence channel and angle of the confluence c) the difference between the levels of tributary and main stream (Best, 1986; Leite Ribeiro et al., 2012; Rhoads, 1996). In the last decade, the development of hydrodynamic existing methods and new methods and tools for investigation of complex flows especially in three dimensions has greatly improved the understanding of the dynamics of confluences (Biron et al., 2004; Bradbrook et al., 2000; Weerakoon and Tamai, 1989) Therefore, laboratory studies combined with field observations are needed to link a global quantitative 2 model of channel confluences for better understanding of complex hydrodynamic and morphodynamics of river channel confluences . 1.2 Problem Statement River sedimentation problems are assuming increasing importance in many Malaysian rivers and can represent a key impediment to sustainable development. Despite more than six decades of research, sedimentation is still probably the most serious technical problem faces by water resource manager and engineers. Such problems include accelerated soil erosion, reservoir sedimentation and the wider impact of sediment on aquatic ecology, river morphology and water resource exploitation. Sediment transport in small streams is diverse and highly variable due to the various characteristics of channel morphology. Numerous well-known bed load equations were derived from limited flume experiments or field conditions (Bagnold, 1980; Camenen and Larson, 2005; Yang, 1996). In such conditions, equations based on the relationship between the reliability and representativeness of the data utilized in defining reference values, constants, and relevant coefficients are time consuming and required complex parameter to estimate bed load transport. Although a known equation may produce reasonable predictions of bedload transport rates in a particular stream reach at a particular time, the same equation usually overpredict or underpredict the observed bed load transport by a different order of magnitude when applied to a different river or even to the same river at a different time. Therefore, there is a real need to consider and derive a simple equation to predict bedload transport with easy accessible data for specific conditions. 3 Kurau River is selected as the case study due to its importance as a main domestic water supply and Kerian irrigation scheme areas in the state of Perak. Bukit Merah reservoir and the dam that was constructed approximately at the mid section of the Kurau River system requires the river management such as controlling the sediment transport and consideration changes in river morphology. Human activity includes the recently railway construction, changes in land use from 2004 to 2015 according to the Taiping Town Council on Larut Matang Local Plan 2015 (Hamidun, 2010), and increasing river sand mining makes change to river hydrology and increase in sediment load along the river. The loss of river capacity due to sedimentation can have a serious impact on water resources development by reducing the supply of irrigation water, water supply, and the effectiveness of flood control schemes. Kurau River sedimentation becomes the main cause of frequent flooding in urban areas(Hamidun, 2010). The blockage of hydraulic structure of higher sediment yield and overflowing water cause serious damages to the environment, infrastructures and also has an effect on the social activity. Therefore, integrated sediment management in Kurau River is one of the highest concerns of governments and engineers. Upstream of Kurau River as a selected case study consisting of two main river tributaries namely Kurau River and Ara River. The river condition and morphology can be different in each section of river. One of the complex and effective place of the river due to sediment transport behaviour is the confluence of two river channels. The sediment transport in the confluences changes periodically in different flow 4 condition. Evaluation of the bedload transport in confluence requires the use of numerical modelling techniques as the simple empirical equation individually cannot evaluate such complex condition. 1.3 Objective of the Investigation  To establish bedload particle sizes characteristic and its effect on bedload transport  To estimate the bedload transport rate in small streams by statistical analysis, artificial neural network and genetic programming and evaluate the prediction methods.  To evaluate the changes in bed load sediment transport, bed morphology and spatial pattern of bed material in response to flow discharge variability in river channel confluence with a 3D numerical model. 1.4 Scope of Work This study was carried out on Kurau River, a natural stream in Perak, Malaysia. Herein, the genetic programming, artificial neural network and nonlinear regression models which are particularly useful in modelling processes with data interpretation without any restriction to an extensive database, are employed as a complimentary tool for modelling bed load transport in small streams. Hydraulic and sediment data were taken at six locations along Kurau River and combine with the Lui and Semenyih Rivers data (Ariffin, 2004) for development of bedload transport equation. 5 The performance of the genetic programming, artificial neural network and statistical (nonlinear regression) models were evaluated and compared with six bedload transport equations such as Meyer-Peter and Müller (1948), based on energy slope method and Rottner (Yang, 1996), Chang (Cheng, 2002), Julien (2002) and vanRijn (1993) based on regression method and Wong and Parker (2006) based on the shear stress method. SSIIM, a three dimensional computational fluid dynamic program was used in this study for modelling the Ara-Kurau confluence. It solves the Navier-Stokes equations in a three-dimensional non-orthogonal grid for flow and the convectiondiffusion equation for sediments. SSIIM uses the "k-epsilon" model for turbulence, the control volume method with the SIMPLE algorithm. The field site for the modelling is the junction of the Kurau and Ara rivers in Pondok Tanjung at the upstream of the Bukit Merah reservoir in Perak. The study was carried at confluence limited in areas with approximately 141.5 m in length and 111.5 m in width. 1.5 Structure of Thesis The thesis consists of six chapters, organised as follows: Chapter 1 gives a brief introduction on the bedload transport and objective of study, scope of work and sedimentation problem. Chapter 2 has a brief review about the headworks and different types of traditional and innovative methods to estimate bedload transport rate. Selection of 6 the models and summary of model application relevant to this study was briefed in this section. Chapter 3 states some facts about the study for which this study has been done. Data collection, data analysis and some soft computing method for predicting bedload transport were also explained in this chapter. Chapter 4 describes bedload characteristics and results of prediction method of bedload transport. Chapter 5 illustrates the theory behind the SSIIM. It is not possible to go into further detail due to dearth of space and time. Maximum reference has been made to user manual for SSIIM. Manual in itself is quite explanatory. It is readily available over the net. One of the nicety of this program or the liberality of the developer is that this program is freely available over net with manual. This chapter also provides the information the way the program is used herby. It includes the bedload transport characteristic in confluence zone, which is the main theme of this work. Chapter 6 summarized the conclusions of study and recommendations for future study. Bibliography and appendices are enclosed at the end of this thesis. 7 2 CHAPTER 2 - LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Introduction Bedload transport is an important physical process in defining the morphological development of alluvial rivers (Barry et al., 2008). Bedload transport rate estimation is needed for the realistic computations of river morphological variations because the transport of sediment through river channels has a major disbursement for public safety, water resources management, and environmental sustainability (Frey and Church, 2011; Yeganeh-Bakhtiary et al., 2009). Sediment transport in small streams is greatly variable and different due to the various characteristics of channel morphology. The hydraulic geometry of channels in small streams is affected by various parameters. Each channel section is in many ways unique because it is influenced by its own particular history of flow conditions, sediment transport, and distribution of channel roughness elements, and management activities, all of which should be considered in bedload transport estimation (Beschta and Platts, 1986). 2.2 Bedload Transport Streams typically carry large amount of sediment to lower elevation. This material is called the stream load, and it is divided into bedload, suspended load, and dissolved load (Figure 2.1). Bedload transport refers to the movement of bed sediments along the stream bed by rolling, sliding, or jumping (Wang et al., 2011), and is absolutely dependent on the river’s morphological characteristics. 8 Bedload transpoort as a funndamental physical p process in alluuvial rivers provides p the majorr process relation r bettween the hydraulic and a sedimeent conditio ons that manage riiver channeel morpholoogy. To claarify the caauses and effect of chaanges in channel morphology m and also too make info ormed manaagement deccisions thatt affect a river’s funnction, it will w requiree a good kn nowledge regarding r thhe role of bedload movementt in formingg and mainntaining chaannel geometry (Gomeez, 2006; Goodwin, G 2004). Figure 2.1: Schemaatic represenntation of sed diment transpport in a streaam (Singh, 2005) 2 2.3 dload Transsport Analyysis Bed Oveer the yearss sediment transport such s as sannd or gravvel under hydraulic h conditionss is objectiive by geoologists and d engineers to understtand the grrain-size distributioons found in i sedimenttary deposits and to study s the size sorting process (Niekerk et e al., 1992)). 9 Sediment size moves as bedload in rivers is important in sediment load calculations and stability analyses. Moreover, knowledge of sediment sorting patterns and processes is important because it is essential in understanding modern and older fluvial systems, boundary roughness and heavy mineral advancement (Carling and Dawson, 1996; Force et al., 1991; Robert, 1990) . Bedload size distribution and bed material particle size specifications are required to determine the sediment transport process (Ghoshal et al., 2010). The extracted parameter from affective factors on sediment transport can be used as a basis for the prediction of sediment transport rates. Bedload size and bed material demonstrate the size of material transported downstream and the size of material accumulating upstream. The characteristics of bed material are indicators of the resistance of the armoring layer and the ability of the stream to move surface particles (Wilcock and Kenworthy, 2002). Bedload transport in rivers is basically the process of movement of individual particles. The individual sediment size and the characteristic of the bed sediment influence sediment transport. However, the arrangement of different grain sizes (Buffington and Montgomery, 1997; Church, 2006) and patterns, such as sheltering, imbrications, armoring, and variations in sorting, can also affect the stabilities and in turn the critical shear stress required to carry the sediment (Charlton, 2007; Clayton, 2010). The characteristics of particle movement courses are essential to sediment transport theory, the development of channel morphology, and are the basis for a 10 method of measuring the bed load transport rate (Pyrce and Ashmore, 2003). Measurement on the variations in transport rates between particles of different sizes is required when riverbed have different particle sizes, particularly in gravel bed rivers due to the wide range of particle size. The movement of individual particles depend on their relative as well as absolute size was shown by many researches that using the field and laboratory sediment transport data. The overall transport rate of mixed-sized sediments and the effects of changing sands and gravel contents were studied in a laboratory flume (Curran and Wilcock, 2005; Wilcock and Crowe, 2003; Wilcock et al., 2001). In an attempt to assess the evolution of bedload grain size, Kuhnle (1989) worked on a stream with sand and gravel mixture. He discovered that sediment size had a bimodal distribution and that sand fraction was entrained at lower velocities rather than gravel fraction. Fractional bedload transport has been studied in the field (Bond, 2004; Diplas, 1992; Kuhnle, 1989; Kuhnle, 1992; Powell et al., 2001; Wathen et al., 1995) and in the laboratory (Wilcock and McArdell, 1993; Wilcock and Southard, 1989). A supplementary study was performed on sand, gravel, and sand–gravel mixture to determine the critical shear stress of each size fraction from five different sediment beds (Kuhnle, 1993). All grain sizes of sand and gravel beds start to move at a nearly identical shear stress. However, a constant relationship between critical shear stress and grain sizes was observed in sand size sediments for the beds composed of sand– gravel mixture, but for the gravel fraction, the critical shear stress increased with the increase in size. Further studies show that most sand sizes may have nearly equal entrainment mobility in both laboratory and field studies (Church et al., 1991; Parker et al., 1982; Wilcock and Southard, 1989). The experiments were conducted in a 11 flume with mixed-sized sediments (Lanzoni and Tubino, 1999). Results show that the capacity of the sediment transport be modified by the different mobility of the diverse grain-size fractions in the mixture and induce a longitudinal and transverse pattern in sorting. Powell et al. (2001) classified a second major threshold of approximately 4.5c in the Nahal Eshtemo River. Below this threshold, size selective occurs and above it, a condition approaching equal mobility occurs. This range of threshold is about twice as that as in sediment mixtures with comparable sorting coefficients in flume studies (Wilcock and McArdell, 1993). 2.4 Bed Load Transport Equations Bedload transport equations are usually developed based on hydraulic principles and attempts to relate the level of bedload transport to several parameters such as water discharge, shear stress or stream power (Martin, 2003; Yang, 1972). One of the main problems in measuring bed material transport is that, under natural conditions, bedload discharge is not a steady process and variations up to more than 50 percent may be expected (Dietrich and Gallinati, 1991). Because of difficulties in field measurements of bedload discharge, a large number of transport formulae have been developed for a wide range of sediment sizes and hydraulic conditions (Bagnold, 1980; Schoklitsch, 1934). Because of the relationship between the reliability and representativeness of the data utilized in defining reference values, constants, and other relevant coefficients and the performance of a particular equation, most sediment transport equations do not represent a fundamental or 12 complete correlation. Therefore it is really difficult, if not possible, to recommend a global equation for engineers to use in the field under all conditions (Camenen and Larson, 2005; Khorram and Ergil, 2010; Wu et al., 2000). Numerous bed load transport equations have been formulated under limited laboratory or field conditions that are available in the literature (Habersack and Laronne, 2002). Table 2.1 to Table 2.7 are summary of bedload equations based on derivation approach with their name and years and cited references. Table 2.1: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Shear stress method Range of applicability No Name Equation 1 Du Boys (1879) 0.125≤ d50≤  0.173   0.0125 0.019  qb   0  d     4.0 (mm) 50  d 34  0  50  Sf > 0.00005 2 Kalinske (1947) 3 Grand and Albertson (1961) Sato, Kikkawa and Ashida (1958) 4   qb  f  cr  u* s d50  0  qb  f  0   c r  u* s d 50 qb Gs gd50  u 2  F  *2    u*c  3 0.088≤ d35 ≤ 45.3(mm) Sf > 0.00005 0.088≤ d50≤ 45.3(mm) u*3  u*2   F  f ( n) Gs g  u*c 2  Shields (1936) u 2  1  8  *c u * 2   n  0 .0 2 5 : f ( n )  0 .6 2 3 6 Ribberink (1998) 7 Wilson (1996) qb  10qs f ( 0   cr ) (Gs  1) d50 b  11(   c r )1.65 b  12(  cr ) (Yang, 1996) (Yang, 1996) (Yang, 1996) 20 ≤ Re ≤1000 (Garde and Raju, 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 2000) 5.66(mm) 1 4 n  0 .0 2 5 : f ( n )  0 .6 2 3 ( 4 0 n )  3 .5 5 Cited references 3 2 13 1.56 ≤ d50 ≤ 2.47(mm) 1.06 < Gs< 4.20 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 2.83(mm) (Ribberink , 1998) 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 2.83(mm) (Wilson, 1966) (Yang, 1996) Table 2.1: Continue No Name Equation 8 Wong and Parker (2006) 4.93(  0.047)1.6  b   3  3.97(  0.0495) 2  9 Graf and Suszka (1987) 10 Wiberg and Smith (1989) 11 Paintal (1971) 12 Low (1989) 13 Femandez -Luque and Van Beek (1976) Range of applicability Cited references 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 4(mm) (Wong and Parker, 2006) 2.5   0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 4 0.045  1.5   b  12  1     0.068  (mm)        2.5   0.068  10.5 b   s (   c r ) 3  s  9.64( 0.166 ) 2 16.56  1018  16 qb  6.42 (   cr )d50 vav s f 0.5 0.5 (Gs  1) b  5.7(  cr ) 3 2 (Graf, 1998) 0.088≤ d35 ≤ 5.66 (mm) (Wiberg and Smith, 1989) 1≤ d50 ≤ 25(mm) 0.007 < θ < 0.06 (Paintal, 1971) 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm) θcr=0.06 (Low, 1989) 0.9 ≤ d50 ≤ 3.3 (mm) 0.05 < θcr < 0.058 (Fernandez Luque and Van Beek, 1976) Table 2.2: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Stream power method No Name 1 Chang, Simons and Richardson (1967) 2 Dou (1964) 3 Bagnold (1966) Equation qb  K t va v ( 0   c r ) Range of applicability Cited 0.1 ≤ Kt ≤ 4(mm) 0.19≤ d50 ≤ 0.93 (mm) 0.001≤ Sf ≤0.0005 (Yang, 1996) references     v  0.088≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 qb  0.01 s 0 (vav  vcr )  av  (mm)  s     gGs  (Wu, 2007)    qb   s   (Bagnold , 1977)   tan    0 vav eb  0.088≤ d50 ≤ 1.41 (mm) Table 2.3: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Energy slope method 14 No Name 1 Meyer Peter (1934) 2 Meyer Peter and Muller (1948) Smart and Jaeggi (1983) 3 4 Pica (1972) Equation qb  (250q2 3s f  42.5d50 )3 2 8(   cr ) 3 2 0    cr      cr  b    d90  0.06  vav  0.5  s f   ( cr )  u*   d30  b  4 qb  10.217d500.594 s f 1.681q0.237 Range of applicability Cited references 3≤ d50 ≤ 29(mm) Gs =2.65 Rh< 20 (Yang, 1996) 0.4≤ d50 ≤ 30(mm) 0.25≤ Gs ≤3.2 1≤ Rh ≤<120 (cm) 0.0004≤ Sf ≤0.02 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 2.83 (mm) 0.03≤ Sf ≤ 0.2 (van Rijn, 1993) 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) (Smart and Jaeggi, 1983) (Pica, 1972) Table 2.4: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Regression method No Name Equation 1 Abrahams and Gao (2006) v  b   1.5 (1  c r )3.4 ( a v ) u*  2 Nielsen (1992) 3 Brown (1950) 4 Rottner (1959) 5 England and Fredsoe (1976) Range of applicability Cited references 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm) (Abraham s and Gao, 2006) 0.69≤ d50 ≤ 28.7 (mm) b  12 (   c r ) 1.25≤ Gs ≤4.22 0.001≤ Sf ≤ 0.01 0.391 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 2.15e    0.068   45.3 (mm) 0.18    0.52 b  40 3 15 1.5    0.52   12 2 3   d    0.667  50   0.14      Rh    qb   s Rh va v     2 3    d 50    0.778     Rh    b  18.74(  cr )  12 3 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) 0.3 ≤ d50 ≤ 7  0.7(cr )  (mm) θcr= 0.05 15 12 (Nielsen, 1992) (Julien, 2002) (Yang, 1996) (Engelund and Fredsoe, 1982) Table 2.4: Continue No 6 7 8 9 10 11 Name van Rijn (1984,19 87,1993) England and Hansen (1967) Fredsoe and Deigaard (1992) Ashida and Michiue (1972) Julien (2002) Lefort Sogreah (1991) Range of applicability Equation b  0.053 1.5  cr  (  1) 2.1 0.3 D*  v  b  0.05  av   5 2  u*  2 qb   30  (  cr )  1 2  (cr )1 2  qb  17(   c r )  1 2  ( c r )1 2 b  Madsen (1991) 13 Smart (1983) 14 Nino and Garcia (1998)  0.088≤ d50 ≤ 45.3(mm)  0.088≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) θcr= 0.05 18 g  d50   2  d     1.5   Qlc  Qs  4.45  90    s f 1    Q   Q   d30   s    0.375 Qlc  0.295s f 13 6 1 1.2s f  b  d 12   3  gd 50      (Engelun d and Hansen, 1967) (Fredsøe and Deigaard, 1992) (Ashida, 1972) 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 1.41  (mm) (Lefort, 1991)   gd505 b  (   c r )  0.5  0.7 cr 0.5      qb  4   s     d  0.2 v  50  s f 0.6 av u*  d 90  (van Rijn, 1993) (Julien, 2002) g (Gs  1)d503 0.2 references 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 2.83 (mm) Sf > 0.0001 0.1<Θ< 1.0 32 83 12 0.2 ≤ d50 ≤ 2 (mm) Fr <0.9 0.31<vav <1.29 m/s 0.001≤ Sf ≤ 0.01 0.1≤ Rh ≤1 (m) 0.088≤ d50≤ 45.3 (mm) Cited (Madsen, 1991) d50 < 29 (mm) sf <0.2 (van Rijn, 1993) 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm) (Nino and Garcia, 1998)   (   c r )   (  cr )  0.5  0.7cr 0.5 16 0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm)  d =0.23 Table 2.4: Continue Range of applicability Cited references No Name Equation 15 Rickenman (1990) 0.2 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 3.1  d90  0.5 1.1 b     ( cr )Fr (mm) (Gs 1)0.5  d30  0.03≤ Sf ≤ 0.2 (Rickenm ann, 1991) b  13 1.5 exp  (Cheng, 2002) 16 Chang (2002) 17 Camenen and Larson (2005) 18 Bhattachar ya, Price and Solomatine (2007) θcr= 0.05 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm)  0.05  1.5      b  12 0.5 exp  4.5  T*0.898 0.072078 0.353 D*   T0.13 b 0.000182 *0.0673 D*   T0.13 0.0000124 *0.673 D*  c r    0.088≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm)  0.088 ≤ d50 ≤ 5.66  (mm)   T* 0.04 and D* 181.3   T* 0.04 and D* 181.3  T* 0.04 (Camenen and Larson, 2005) (Bhattacha rya et al., 2007) Table 2.5: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Discharge and velocity method No Name 1 Casey (1935) 2 Sckoklitsch (1934) Equation q b  0.367 S f 9 8 ( q  q c r )  d 1.8 q c r  6.5  10  6  500.5  sf  qb   s      2 .5 S 3 2 f (q  qcr ) q c r  0 .2 6  G s  1  3 Barekyan (1962)    5 3  1 0 6  d 1 .5  5 07 6  sf    Range of applicability Cited references 0.0625≤ d50 ≤ 2 (mm) (Casey, 1935) 0.305≤ d50 ≤ 7.02 (mm) (Yang, 1996) 0.24< vav≤ 0.0876 Sf >0.003    v  v qb  0.187qS f  s  av cr (mm)   s    vcr 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 17 (Barekyan, 1962) Table 2.6: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Equal mobility method No Name 1 Pitlick et al., (1990a,b) Equation qb  = w*u*3s  , 50  , cr (Gs 1) g u*2 (Gs 1) gd50sub 4.5   0.853   11.9 1   50  1.59 50        W *   0.00218exp 14.2 50 1   9.2850* 12    1.0  50  1.59   14.2 50  1.0  0.002550   2 Parker and Klingeman and Mclem (1982) qb  = w * u*3  s  , 50  , (Gs  1) g cr u*2 (Gs  1) gd50 sub 4.5   0.853   11.2 1    50  1.65 50        * W   0.0025exp 14.2 50  1   50  12    0.95  50  1.65   14.2 50  0.95  0.002550   3 Parker and Klingeman (1982) 4 Wilcock (2001)  Wilcock and Crowe (2003)   0.0747  d 0.018  w * u*3 s i = 11.2  1  qb       d50   u*3   2  u* 50  ,  = cr (Gs  1) gd50 sub qb  W * 4.5 w * u *3  s ( G s  1) g qb  =            4 .5      1 1 .2  1  0 .8 4 6 c r  0    W g*    0    0 .0 0 2 5     cr   u*2  = , 50   cr ( G s  1) g d 5 0 s u b 5            2.0≤ d50≤ 45.3 (mm) 0.79≤vav ≤ 1.13 (m/s) 2.9×10-4≤ Sf ≤ 3.3×10-3 (Pitlick et al., 2009) 2≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) Sf >0.003 θcr=0.0876 (Pitlick et al., 2009) 2≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) Sf >0.003 θcr=0.0876 (Pitlick et al., 2009) 2.0≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) (Pitlick et al., 2009) 2.0≤ d50 ≤ 45.3 (mm) (Pitlick et al., 2009)   0   cr u*2 ( G s  1) g d 5 0 s u b 18 Cited references  0   cr       w * u *3  s  , 50  , ( G s  1) g  cr 4 .5   0 .8 5 3  1 4  1       5 0 0 .5   7 .5  0 .0 0 2  Range of applicability  5 0  1 .3 5  5 0  1 .3 5      Table 2.7: Bedload transport equations, Deterministic Probabilistic method No Name 1 Einstein (1942 and 1950) Equation b  s qb  s  1 gd503 Range of applicability Cited references 0.315≤ d50 ≤ 28.6 (mm) 1.25≤ Gs ≤ 4.25 (van Rijn, 1993) 2 EinsteinBrown (1950)  k exp( 391 /  )  0.088≤ d50 ≤ 5.66   0.182  (mm)  b   0.465   40k 3   0.182    (Yang, 1996) 3 Gill (1972)   b  40  cr  1  0  0.088≤ d50 ≤ 2.83 (mm) (Gill, 1972) 4 Parker (1979) 2.83≤ d50 ≤ 5.66 (mm) 0.00035≤Sf ≤ 0.0108 (Pitlick et al., 2009) 5 Yalin (1963) 4.5   0.03 cr  b  11.20 3    0.315≤ d50 ≤ 28.65 b  0.635r  1  ln(1  r ) (mm)  r  r 2.4.1 3 1 cr  1,  =2.45 ( s  )0.4 cr (van Rijn, 1993) Performance of Bedload Transport Equations Gomez and Church (1989) used 88 bedload transport observations from 4 natural gravel bed rivers and 45 bedload transport observation from 3 flumes to analyse some bedload transport equations. The authors conclude that there is no equation to be tested performed consistently well, due to limited data used and the complexity of transport occurrence. They found the best prediction of bedload transport under limited hydraulic information is achieved by using equations based on the power flow concept. 19 The performance of 13 sediment transport formula in terms of their ability to describe sediment transport was tested by Yang and Huang (2001) . They achieved that the sediment transportation formulae based on the level of energy dissipation or the concept of power flow, more accurately describe transported observed data. Also the rate formulae complexity does not always translate into increased model accuracy. Prior to the extensive work of Yang and Huang (2001), Barry et al. (2004) performed simple regressions to complex multi-parameter formulation for 24 gravel bed rivers with 2104 bedload transport observation in Idaho to evaluate the fitness of eight different formulations of four bedload transport equations. The authors concluded that there was no reliable relationship between formulae performance and degree of calibration or complication. They found that transport data were best described by a simple power function of discharge. They proposed a new bedload transport equation and identify the channel and watershed characteristics effect on the proposed power function by controlling the exponent and coefficient. The ability of the deterministic empirical equations of van Rijn (1984, 1993) and Meyer-Peter and Muller (1948) was assessed by Claude et al. (2012) for a large sand–gravel bed river to determine the unit and total bedload transport rates by comparing bedload discharges obtained from bedload measurements with predictions. The authors concluded that the tested equations were unable to predict the daily temporal variations of the total bedload transport at low and medium flow conditions. The formulas described the bedload hysteresis but underestimated its magnitude. For high flow conditions, the best agreement was observed for the total 20 bedload discharges computed by the van Rijn equation. The obtained results indicated that the empirical equations only able to predict the temporal variations of bedload transport if the flow velocities followed a similar trend. The equations of Meyer-Peter and Mueller (1948), Einstein-Brown (1950), Schoklitsch (1950), Frijlink (1952), Yalin (1963), Bagnold (1980), Engelund and Hansen (1967), Bijker (1971), Ackers and White (1973), Parker et al. (1982), van Rijn (1984, 1987) and Cheng were evaluated with measured bedload by a HelleySmith sampler in the Node River, a gravel bed river in the northeast part of Iran (Haddadchi et al., 2012). The results indicated that the statistic equation such as van Rijn- Stochastic, Einstein and Bijker were not able to predict bed load in that gravel bed river. Van Rijn, Frijlink and Myer-Peter and Mueller equations based on shear stress achieved good results while some of them like Yalin and Cheng’s gave very poor results. Equations based on the energy concept including Bagnold and Engelund and Hansen equations tended to overestimate the real state in that river. Generally the equations presented by van Rijn, Meyer-Peter and Mueller, and Ackers and White might tolerably predict bedload transport in the range of field data of Node River. 2.5 2.5.1 Regression Analysis Linear Regression Regression is a highly useful statistical method to determine a quantitative relation between one or more independent variables and a dependent variable. Throughout engineering, regression may be applied to correlating data in a wide variety of problems ranging from simple to complex physical and industrial systems. If nothing is known a function may be assumed and fitted to experimental data on the 21 system. In other cases where the result of linear regression is unacceptable other method such as nonlinear regression may give better results. Simple linear regression is a relationship between a response variable Y and a single explanatory variable X. In the simplest case the proposed functional relation is: Y   0  1 X   (2-1) In this model ε is a random error (or residual) which is the amount of variation in Y not accounted by linear regression. The parameters  0 and 1 , called the regression coefficients, are unknown and to be estimated. It will be assumed that the error ε is independent and have a normal distribution with mean zero and variance σ2, regardless of what fixed value of X is being considered. Then the value of  0 and 1 can be estimated by the method of the last squares (Bethea et al., 1995). 2.5.2 Multiple Linear Regression The multiple linear regression is similar to simple linear regression except that a number of independent variables, X1,X2, …Xp, have relationship to a single dependent variable Y (Bethea et al., 1995). The general form of the multiple regression method is given by: Y   0  1 X 1   2 X 2  ...   p X p   (2-2) where the ε is random error (or residual). The general form of multiple linear regressions is shown below using logarithmic transformation LnY  Ln 0  1 Ln ( X 1 )   2 Ln ( X 2 )  ...   p Ln ( X p )   1 or 22 (2-3) Y   0 ( X 1 ) 1 ( X 2 ) 2 ...( X p ) p (2-4) The regression coefficients (  i ) are same to simple regression and can be obtained from last square technique. 2.5.3 Least- Square Method The least-square method is probably the most popular technique in statistics. The method has been adopted to find the best-fit line or curve from a given set of data. In the standard formulation, a set of N pairs of observations {Yi , Xi} is used to find a function relating the value of the dependent variable Y to the values of an independent variable X . Assume that the set of data points are (x1,y1), (x2,y2), …, (xp,yp) where x is the independent variable and y is dependent variable. The fitting curve f(x) has the deviation (error) of ε from each data point, i.e., ε1=y1-f(x1), ε2=y2f(x2),..., εp=yp-f(xp). According to the method of least squares, the best fitting curve has the property that: SS E   12   22  ...   p2    i2    yi  f ( x)  minimum p p i 1 i 1 2 (2-5) If suppose the f(x) is a simple linear function then SS E    yi   0  1 X i   minimum p 2 i 1 (2-6) To determine the minimum sum of square due to error (SSE), the partial derivative of SSE which respect to each constant (  0 , 1 ) is set equal to zero to yield: ( SS E )   p  yi   0  1 X i 2   0     0  0  i 1  23 (2-7)  ( SS E )   p  yi   0  1 X i 2   0    1 1  i 1  (2-8) The solutions of these equations are  0  Y  1 X 1  (2-9)  ( X  X )(Y  Y )  (X  X ) i i i (2-10) 2 i i This solution for estimation of  0 , 1 is called least-square solution. For multi linear regression this method can be used to determine the regression coefficients of i . 2.5.4 Polynomial Regression In the case of polynomial or curvilinear regression, as given by the model: Y   0  1 X   2 X 2  ...   p X p   (2-11) there is only one independent variable (X). Therefore the power of X can be considered as W1=X, W2=X2,…, Wp=Xp and the model is reduced to multiple regression as given by Equation (2.2). 2.5.5 Nonlinear Regression Nonlinear regression is a method of finding a nonlinear model of the relationship between the dependent variable and a set of independent variables. The nonlinear regression is utilized when no linearizing transformation can be found (Bethea et al., 1995). This procedure estimates the parameter value that minimizes 24 the error sum of squares in a nonlinear least-squares routine. Because the model is nonlinear, the result of least-squares procedure is a set of nonlinear equations that must be solved simultaneously using other methods, such as Gauss-Newton, Marquardt , steepest-descent, or multi variant secant. Unlike traditional linear regression, which is restricted to estimate linear models, nonlinear regression can estimate models with arbitrary relationships between independent and dependent variables. For example Equation (2.12) is a nonlinear formula which can be found by nonlinear regression Y  1  Ln1   2 exp 3 X  2.6 (2-12) Soft Computing Modelling The river flow condition and river environment have most effect on the bedload transport rate in different river, and the computed results from various equations often differ from each other and even from the measured data set. Consequently the recent proposed equations need to be adopted for the new conditions (Khorram and Ergil, 2010). Various kinds of soft computing techniques have been introduced and applied in water engineering problems since the last two decades (Nagy et al., 2002). Soft computing technique such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and genetic programming have been successfully applied. The regression method also has been widely used to analyse and develop relationship between variables specifically in water sciences. Many researchers modelled sediment transport by using the 25 regression technique such as Yang (1996), Ariffin (2004) , Karim and Kennedy (1990), and Sinnakaudan et al. (2006). 2.6.1 Genetic Programming (GP) Genetic programming the extent of genetic algorithms (GA) (Koza, 1992) is a well-known method in artificial intelligence that plays an important role in modelling and simulating numerous non-convex and complex phenomena to explain the nonlinear relationships between parameters (Liu et al., 2003; Nasseri et al., 2011; Tabesh and Dini, 2009) The basic difference between a GP and GA is in the nature of individuals. In GA, individuals are linear strings of fixed length (as chromosomes), whereas in GP, individuals are nonlinear entities of different sizes and shapes (as parse trees). The major advantages of GP are used in works where (i) the interrelationships among the relevant variables are poorly understood (or where it is suspected that the current understanding may well be less than satisfactory), (ii) finding the ultimate solution is difficult, (iii) small improvements in the performance are routinely measured (or easily measurable), (v) an approximate solution is acceptable (or is the only result that is ever likely to be obtained), and (vi) conventional mathematical analysis does not, or cannot, provide analytical solutions (Banzhaf et al., 1998). Comprehensive presentations of GP can be found in Babovic and Abbott (1997) and Babovic and Keijzer (2000). Prior to its natural optimized behaviour and acceptable resulted equations, GP has been applied to a wide range of problems in engineering and science 26 applications, artificial intelligence, industrial, and mechanical models such as water resources ,hydraulic processes and electricity demand, etc (Ashour et al., 2003; Azamathulla et al., 2011; Babovic and Bojkov, 2001; Harris et al., 2003; Khu et al., 2001; Muttil and Lee, 2005; Sivapragasam et al., 2006; Sreekanth and Datta, 2011; Zhang et al., 2005). Reported GP applications include sediment transport modelling (Babovic and Abbott, 1997), effect of flexible vegetation on flow in wetlands (Babovic and Keijzer, 2003), sedimentary particle settling velocity equations (Babovic and Bojkov, 2001), emulating the rainfall runoff process (Liong et al., 2007; Whigham and Crapper, 2001), evolutionary computation approach to sediment transport modelling (Kizhisseri et al., 2005), modelling the bed material load for rivers (Zakaria et al., 2010), and Suspended sediment modelling (Kisi et al., 2012). Multigene GP is an approach developed by Hinchliffe et al. (1996) and Hiden (1998) to enhance the GP accuracy. The amount of trees that can be employed is the main difference between multigene GP and traditional GP. Several trees may describe the model in multigene GP, whereas a single tree expresses the model in traditional GP. All of the genes have specific optimal weights, and a summation of weighted genes plus a bias term forms the final formula as the best obtained numerical model. Multigene GP can be written as Y = d0 +d1*gene1 +d2*gene2 + ….+dn*genen (2-13) where d0 is the bias term and di is the weight of the ith gene. Multigene GP is actually a linear combination of nonlinear terms, a characteristic that may precisely identify the pattern of engineering problems (Hinchliffe et al., 1996). 27 GPTIPS was employed in this study to perform a multigene GP for accurate estimation of bedload transport. It is a new “Genetic Programming & Symbolic Regression” code based on multigene GP for use with MATLAB (Searson, 2009b). 2.6.2 Artificial Neural Network (ANN) As of this writing, ANNs have proved to be better alternatives for modelling complex and nonlinear processes (Kumar, 2003). An important advantage of ANN is that variables do not need to be stationary and normally distributed for analysing compare to classical stochastic model. ANN's structure can control the non stationary effects present in global phenomena, in morphological changes in rivers and others effort (Ariffin, 2004). The application of ANN models is the topic of a large number of literatures (Lingireddy and Brion, 2005). ANN is an algorithm designed after the function of the human brain, which obtains knowledge through a learning process that involves finding an optimal set of weights for the connections and threshold values for the nodes. A neural network consists of a number of simple processing elements or units called neurons or nodes. Each neuron multiplies every input by its interconnection weight, which is usually determined through training the system, sums the product, and then transmits the sum through an activation (or transfer) function to reach its result. This type of network in which data flow in one direction (forward) is known as a feed-forward network. 28 The network solves the problem by using the information giving from weights. The net usually has two or more layers of processing units, where each unit in each layer is connected to all of the processing units in the side layers. The desired output is achieved by adjusting the weights on the links between the neurons, calculating the value of error function for a particular input, and then back-propagating the error from one layer to the previous one (Rumelhart et al., 1985). The neural networks have been used for many branches of science. It is becoming a strong tool for providing hydraulic and environmental engineers with sufficient details for design purposes and management practices. The technique has a growing body of applications for river engineering and water resources such as Maier and Dandy (2000) and Raghuwanshi et al. (2006). The ASCE Task Committee (2000a, b) on the application of ANNs in water resources concluded that the advantage of ANNs is their ability to extract the relationship between the inputs and outputs of a process without explicitly providing the physics to the user and have them reveal it back after training. Widespread reviews on the ANN application in the area of river engineering show that the model is capable of describing flow and sediment transport processes in a river system. In addition, the ANN can be successfully applied for sediment transport when other approaches cannot succeed due to the uncertainty and the stochastic nature of the sediment movement (Chang et al., 2012; Kumar, 2012; Nagy et al., 2002; Yitian and Gu, 2003). 29 Among the numerous ANN structures, the multilayer, feed-forward network is the most widely used in the area of sediment transport (Rumelhart et al., 1985). The Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm, a standard second-order nonlinear leastsquares technique based on the backpropagation process was used in this study to train the ANN models. 2.7 Application of Soft Computing Modelling in Prediction of Bedload Transport Caamano et al. (2006) applied ANN techniques with a set of 82 field measurements of the Boise River to derive the bed load sediment transport formula. They used four inputs to give the best balance between input variables and prediction of sediment transport, namely: the grain Froude number (Fg), the grain Reynolds number (Rg), the characteristics of the particle size distribution of the transported sediment as the grain size standard deviation-mean sediment diameter ratio ( g/d50) and the relative roughness (h/d50). For the application of sediment transport a 2 layer feedforward network (Marquandt (LM) algorithm) formed by 4 inputs, 3 neurons and 1 output. They derived a pure advection equation by the linear ANN that able to imitate the exact physical response for a phenomenon mathematically.   34 4      C  3.1  h 5.62(6.61Rg Fg )    2.52(7.38Rg  )  1 31570e   d50  *  1 3.11e (2-14) For the purposes of comparison a simple regression equation also developed to predict sediment transport rates from field observations For the Boise River. C  0.219108 Q1.808 (2-15) 30 The performancce of approoaching ANN N results coompared wiith 2 otherss derived y concludedd the artificcial neural networks n formula foor Boise River (Figuree 2.2). They can be appplied on a stream s reach to provid de predictionns of sedim ment transpo ort better than geneeral sedimeent transpoort formulaae or simple sedimennt discharge rating equations.. Figure 2.22: Comparisoon of the performance p e of the AN NN with sim mple regression and analytical approximatio a on equations (Caamano et e al., 2006) Sasaal et al. (2009) emplooyed the feeedforward––backpropaagated (Lev venberg– Marquardtt algorithm m) Artificial Neural Neetwork (AN NN) architeccture from bedload measurem ments in 16 different d rivvers. The AN NN with thee two inputss, two hiddeen layers with four neurons, annd one outpuut case (AN NN, 2, 4, 4, 1) was seleected and co ompared with the other methhods. Theey conclud ded that thhe ANN m model was able to successfullly predict bedload b traansport in both b sand-bbed and graavel-bed riv vers. The ANN moddel significantly outpeerformed traaditional beedload moddels and sho owed its superior performance p e for all staatistical parrameters exxcept for thhe discrepan ncy ratio 31 1 (Table 2.8). The authors suggested that bedload transport in a variety of sediment types could be described as a nonlinear function of excess dimensionless shear stress and dimensionless median particle size. Table 2.8: Comparison of bedload equations and the ANN model (Sasal et al., 2009) Error Discrepancy ratio (%) Tb R2 MAE RMSE 0.75 < r < 1.25 0.50 < r < 1.50 0.25 < r < 1.75 Parker et al. 1.57 0.140 1.44 8.275 0.027 0.074 0.115 Van Rijn 10.5 0.242 10.4 80.09 0.034 0.115 0.263 Bagnold 0.17 0.581 0.10 0.368 0.169 0.392 0.520 ANN 0.14 0.947 0.05 0.082 0.243 0.358 0.513 Measured 0.14 Method Azamathulla et al. (2009) used ANFIS technique as an option for better predicting bed material load transport, based on measured field data of several Malaysian rivers. Figure 2.3 shows the scenarios of building the ANFIS model with the inputs and output in the network. From the 346 collected data sets, around 80% of these patterns were used for training (chosen randomly until the best training performance was obtained), while the remaining patterns (20%) were used for testing or validation. From the analysis, the ANFIS model obtained an accuracy of 90.4% in predicting bed-load transport for all the measured data with an average discrepancy ratio of 1.18 (Figure 2.4). 32 Input Inputmf Rule Outputmf Output Ψ R Cv d50 V Ss Figure 2.3: The ANFIS model for bed load sediment (Azamathulla et al., 2009) Figure 2.4: Predicted bed load against measured bed load using ANFIS (Azamathulla et al., 2009) The performance of three soft computing techniques, namely Gene-Expression Programming (GEP) (Ab. Ghani and Azamathulla, 2012; Azamathulla et al., 2010; 33 Chang et al., 2012; Zakaria et al., 2010), Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNN) (Ab. Ghani et al., 2011), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) (Azamathulla et al., 2010b) were evaluated in the prediction of total bed material load for three Malaysian rivers namely Kurau, Langat and Muda. The results of evaluation comparisons with traditional method were very good: FFNN (R2 = 0.958, RMSE = 0.0698), SVM (R2 = 0.958, RMSE = 0.0698), GEP (R2 = 0.97, RMSE = 0.057), Yang (1972) (R2=0.722, RMSE=12.735) and Engelund-Hansen (1967) (R2=0. 648, RMSE= 6.654), which supported the use of the soft computing techniques in the prediction of sediment loads in Malaysian rivers. Figure 2.5 to Figure 2.7 demonstrate the predicted total bed material load against the measured total bed material load for three GEP, FFNN and SVM performances. Figure 2.5: Observed versus predicted sediment load by SVM for Langat, Kurau and Muda rivers (Azamathulla et al., 2010b) 34 Figure 2.6: Observed versus predicted sediment load by FFNN for Langat, Kurau and Muda rivers (Ab. Ghani et al., 2011) Predicted Total bed material load (kg/s) 25 Langat Kurau 20 Muda Ideal fit 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 Obseved Total bed material load (kg/s) 25 Figure 2.7: Observed versus predicted sediment load by GEP for Langat, Kurau and Muda rivers (Ab. Ghani and Azamathulla, 2012; Azamathulla et al., 2010a; Chang et al., 2012; Zakaria et al., 2010) 35 2.8 River Channel Confluence In recent years various aspects of flow and sedimentation at river confluences have been an interesting subject of investigation for hydraulicians, geomorphologists, sedimentologists, and engineers. River channel confluences are highly complex environments in which the combination of material (water and sediment) and energy (power flow) of two different channels occur. The interaction of these components creates a unique environment in the fluvial system in which the operation is of fundamental importance for river management (Stevaux et al., 2009). The dynamics of confluences have been the subject of a long-standing research provided insight into the complex flow structure and distinct geomorphic features at natural confluences (Ashmore, 1993; Biron et al., 1993; Boyer et al., 2006; Kenworthy and Rhoads, 1995; Lane et al., 1999; Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2001; Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2004) and at laboratory junctions (Best, 1986, 1987; Best, 1988; Best and Roy, 1991; Mosley, 1976). This experiential research has been complemented by attempts to investigate confluence hydrodynamics through numerical modelling (Baranya and Masa, 2007; Bradbrook et al., 1998; Bradbrook et al., 2000; Bradbrook et al., 2001; Đorđević, 2012; Weerakoon and Tamai, 1989). The characteristics of flow and associated processes and phenomena in river confluences depend on hydrological and hydraulic characteristics of the two rivers (discharge and momentum ratios of the combining flows), channel geometry (cross sectional and planform), sediment transport and sediment characteristics of the material (grain-size distribution of the sediment load) (Đorđević, 2012; Leite Ribeiro et al., 2012). 36 Flow at river confluences is three-dimensional and often characterized by the presence of helical flow cells. The number of these cells, their presence or absence, and their intensity depends on the confluence characteristics. The characteristics of these cells have been studied in a long-standing contest (Ashmore and Parker, 1983; Biron and Lane, 2008; Bradbrook et al., 1998; Fujita and Komura, 1988; Mosley, 1976; Parsons et al., 2007; Rhoads and Kenworthy, 1995; Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2001). The principal factors controlling the flow structure and channel morphology are (1) the confluence angle and plan view (asymmetrical or symmetrical ) (Ashmore and Gardner, 2008; Best, 1987; Best, 1988; Leite Ribeiro et al., 2012; Mosley, 1976), (2) the discharge, and/or momentum ratios of flow and sediment between the two confluent channels (Rhoads, 1996) , and (3) the bed elevation discordance between the two confluent rivers (Best and Roy, 1991; Biron et al., 1993). Channel confluences often have been reflected by bed morphology of confluences (Szupiany et al., 2009) such as (1) a scour hole that is normally adjusted along the region of maximum velocity where both flows begin to converge and mix; (2) avalanche faces at the mouth of both river channels, which dip into a central scour hole; (3) sediment deposition within the stagnation zone at the upstream junction corner; and (4) bars formed within the flow separation zone at the downstream junction corner or mid-stream in the main channel of confluences. A summary of the foremost previous investigations of the hydrodynamic and sedimentary processes in channel confluences is as shown in Table 2.9. 37 Table 2.9: Summary of the major foregoing studies considering the morphodynamics of channel confluences (Leite Ribeiro et al., 2012) Confluence Bayonne-Berthier confluence. Angle of 65° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 (Low gradient rivers) 38 Reference Bed Discordance (Mild/Moderate/ Pronounced) (1) Discharge Ratio (Qt/Qm); (2) Momentum Flux Ratio (Mt/Mm) Sediment Supply Biron et al. (1993a) Moderate (ratio between the (1) No information height of the step and the (2) 0.68–2.02 flow depth is around 0.35) Biron et al. (1993b) Moderate (ratio between the (1) 0.38–1.33 height of the step and the (2) 0.18–2.04 flow depth is around 0.35) Leclair and Roy (1997) Moderate (ratio between the (1) 0.29–1.87 height of the step and the (2) 0.20–10.4 flow depth is around 0.35) De Serres et al. (1999) Moderate (ratio between the (1) 0.38–1.33 height of the step and the (2) 0.18–2.02 flow depth is around 0.35) Bed morphology, flow velocity and turbulence Roy et al. (1999) Moderate (ratio between the (1) No information height of the step and the (2) No information flow depth is around 0.35) Turbulence and bed load transport Biron et al. (2002) Moderate (ratio between the (1) 0.57–1.48 height of the step and the (2) 0.71–2.22 flow depth is around 0.35) Boyer et al. (2006) Moderate (ratio between (1) 0.38–1.33 the height of the step and the (2) 0.18–2.03 flow depth is around 0.35) Natural regime Natural regime Measurements Bed morphology and shear layer turbulence Comments Two investigated situations: 1) Bed load transport in both rivers and 2) bed load transport only in the tributary Bed morphology and Measurements during the dry season. Bed load shear layer turbulence transport only in the tributary Bed morphology t Bed morphology, turbulence and water surface topography Bed morphology, 3D velocity, turbulence and bed load transport Transport-effective flow conditions Table 2.9: Continue Confluence Reference Bed Discordance (Mild/Moderate/ Pronounced) Ruisseau du Sud confluence. Angle of 60° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 Kaskaskia–Copper Slough confluence. Angle of 60° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 (Low gradient rivers) Roy and Bergeron (1990) Mild Kenworthy and Rhoads (1995) Mild (1) Discharge Ratio Sedimen (Qt/Qm); t Supply (2) Momentum Flux Ratio (1) 0.45–0.65 (2) 0.28–0.50 (1) 0.64–6.64 (2) 0.46–42 39 Rhoads and Kenworthy (1995) (1) 0.75–1.74 (2) 0.55–3.64 Rhoads and Sukhodolov(2004) (1) 1.24 (2) 1.67 Rhoads [1996] Natural regime (1) KRCS 0.95 SA 1.24 KRTMS 0.47 Tracking of different gravel size particles Bed morphology and 3D velocity Suspended sediment transport 3D velocities and turbulence Bed morphology, 3D velocity, water temperature and bed load transport (1) 0.2–30 (2) No information Mild Bed morphology, flow velocity and particle tracking Comments Bed morphology and sediment concentration No bed discordance at low (1) No information (2) 0.35–3–54 momentum flux ratios and mild bed discordance at high momentum flux ratios Rhoads et al. (2009) Kaskaskia–Copper Slough Rhoads and Sukhodolov (2001) (KRCS). Angle of 60° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 Natural regime Measurements Transport-effective flow conditions Bed morphology and bed constitution Natural regime Transport-effective Bed morphology, 3D velocities and water flow conditions with negligible changes in temperature bed morphology Table 2.9: Continue Confluence Saline Ditch - Unnamed tributary (SA) Angle of 70° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 40 Kaskaskia–Two-Mile Slough (KRTMS) Angle of 36° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 (Low gradient rivers) Colorado State University (Fort Collins, USA). Angles between 15 and 180° and width ratio (Bt/Bm =1) Reference Bed (1) Discharge Sediment Supply Discordance Ratio (Qt/Qm); (Mild/Moderate (2) Momentum / Pronounced) Flux Ratio (Mt/Mm) Measurements Sukhodolov and Rhoads (2001) Turbulence Comments Mosley (1976) Mild Bed load transport Laboratory of uniform material (1) 0.33–1.00 (2) No information in both confluents Bed morphology Two series of tests: 1) All sections in the confluence zone were free to adjust to the imposed hydro-sedimentary conditions and 2) only the confluence and the downstream channel were adjustable Birkbeck College, University of London (UK). Angles between 15 and 105° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 1 Best (1988) Mild (1) 0.5–1.6 (2) 0.25–2.42 Bed load transport of uniform material in both confluents Bed morphology and particle tracking Low gradient channels with Sub critical flow conditions. Include a case study of a small confluence in UK Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (Lausanne, Switzerland). Angle of 90° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 0.30 Leite Ribeiro (2012) Pronounced (1) 0.11 (2) 0.21 Bed load transport of poorly sorted sediments. Tributary Qst = 0.3 kg/min; Main channel Qsm = 0 Bed morphology, water levels, 3D velocities, turbulence and bed Small tributary with steep slope and transcritical flow (Fr ≈ 1), larger main channel with subcritical flow Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (Lausanne, Switzerland). Angle of 90° and width ratio Bt/Bm = 0.30 Leite Ribeiro (2011) Pronounced (1) 0.11–0.23 (2) 0.21–0.45 constitution Bed morphology, water levels and bed constitution Small tributary with steep slope and transcritical flow (Fr ≈ 1), larger main channel with subcritical flow 2.9 Sediment Transport Modelling River engineering studies typically are needed for analyse some level of spatial and temporal sediment transport and morphology change dependencies. Multidimensional sediment transport models are valuable tools for river engineering investigations. Sediment transport models are employed by engineers to evaluate the effects of naturally occurring or man made changes to river systems. The understanding of long-term channel response is used to predict future project operations and needs while an evaluation of short-term channel response in the affected river reach is required for planning and design purposes. A more specific approach is required for both short and long term channel response evaluating in complex alluvial channels that exhibit widely varying channel planform, morphology, and bed composition. Multi-dimensional hydrodynamic and sediment transport models can potentially provide this level of analysis (Scott and Jia, 2005). Mathematical hydrodynamic/sediment transport models, usually solves numerically, one or more of the governing differential equations of energy of the fluid, continuous, and momentum along with the differential equation for sediment continuity. An advantage of mathematical models is that they can be adapted to different physical fields easier than physical models, which are typically constructed to represent site specific circumstances. Another advantage of mathematical models is that they are not subject to deformation effects of physical models, when a solution can be obtained for the same flow condition that are present in the field (Papanicolaou et al., 2008). 41 The following capabilities are required for the ideal hydrodynamic/sediment transport model:   Fully unsteady and steady or quasi-steady simulation capability Proficient analysis of variable flow regimes from subcritical to supercritical flow   Bed sorting capability Capable of performing multiple grain size analysis for both cohesive and noncohesive sediments  Wide selection of sediment transport relationships namely bed, suspended, and total load transport  Provides a selection of turbulence modelling schemes for enhanced hydrodynamic simulation  Capable of computing the effects of bend way hydrodynamics on sediment transport and provide a suitable interface for mesh generation and visualization of results. Numerous computational hydrodynamic/sediment transport models have become very popular and developed over the past three decades, mostly due to the increasing availability of more powerful and economical computing platforms (Fan, 1988; Rodi, 2006). Many computer models are now available for users to purchase (FLOW-3D, FLUENT). Some of the models are in the public domain and can be obtained free of charge (SSIIM). Automatic grid generators, graphical user interfaces, improved data collection techniques, and geographic information systems comfort to further advance the use of numerical models as a popular tool for solving practical river engineering problems. Great reviews of different hydrodynamic and 42 sediment transport models can be found in Onishi (1994), Blazejewski et al. (1995), Spasojevic and Holly (2000), ASCE (2008) Sedimentation Engineering Manual no. 110 and Papanicolaou et al. (2008). Table 2.10 provides the information on the model formulation, the spatial and temporal characteristics, the linkage of the sediment components and hydrodynamics, and the model’s predictive capabilities. This table provides useful information about the model capabilities to handle unsteady flows, bed load and suspended load, sediment exchange processes, type of sediment (cohesive and noncohesive), and multi fractional sediment transport. Information about model abbreviations, language, availability, and distribution is also provided in Table 2.10 and examples of the different model applications are summarized in Table 2.11. 43 Table 2.10: Summary of Some 3D hydrodynamic/sediment transport Models (Papanicolaou et al, 2008) 44 Suspended sediment transport Sediment mixtures Sediment Cohesive exchange sediment processes Unsteady Yes Yes No Yes RMA-10: Resource Management --Associates; King (1988) Unsteady Yes Yes No Yes GBTOXe: Green Bay TOXic enhancement; Bierman et al. (1992) Unsteady No Yes No Yes Last Model and references update Flow ECOMSED: Estuarine, Coastal, and Ocean V.1. 3 Model—Sediment transport; Blumberg and (2002) Mellor (1987) EFDC3D: Environmental Fluid Dynamics code; Hamrick (1992) --- --- ROMS: Regional Ocean V.1. 7 .2 Modelling System; Song and Haidvogel (1994) (2002) CH3D-SED: Computational Hydraulics 3D--SEDiment; Spasojevic and Holly (1994) Bed sediment transport Executable Entrainment PD and deposition Entrainment and C deposition Entrainment and NA deposition Source code Language PD F77 P F77 NA F77 P F77 Unsteady Yes Yes Yes Yes Entrainment and PD deposition Unsteady Yes Yes Yes No Entrainment and LD deposition LD F77 Yes Entrainment and C deposition C F90 Unsteady Yes Yes Yes Note: V= version; C= copyrighted; LD= Limited distribution; P= proprietary; PD= public domain; F = FORTRAN Bed sediment transport Last Model and references update Flow SSIIM: Sediment Simulation In Intakes V.2.0 (20011) with Multiblock options; Olsen (1994) Unsteady Yes 45 MIKE 3: Danish acronym of the word Microcomputer; --Jacobsen and Rasmussen (1997) FAST3D: Flow Analysis Simulation Tool; Landsberg et al. (1998) Unsteady Yes V.Beta-1.1 Unsteady Yes (1998) Table 2.10: Continue Suspended Sediment Sediment Cohesive sediment exchange mixtures sediment transport processes Yes yes Executable V.3.25.00 Unsteady Yes (2005) Entrainment PD and deposition P CLanguage P F90 P F90 LD F77 P F90 P F90 No No Yes Entrainment C and deposition Yes No No Entrainment LD and deposition Yes No Language No Entrainment C and deposition Entrainment TELEMAC; Hervouet --Yes Unsteady Yes C and No Yes and Bates (2000) deposition Entrainment Zeng et al. (2005) --Unsteady Yes P Yes and No No deposition Note: V= version; C= copyrighted; LD= Limited distribution; P= proprietary; PD= public domain; F = FORTRAN Delft 3D; Delft Hydraulics (1999) Source code Yes Table 2.11: Applications for selected 3D models (Papanicolaou et al, 2008) Model and references Applications ECOMSED: Simulation of the flow and sediment transport processes of Lavaca Bay, (Blumberg and Mellor, 1987) Texas (HydroQual 1998) 46 RMA-10: Associates; (King, 1988) Simulation of the flow and sediment transport processes of the Klarälven River east and west channels at the bifurcation, Sweden (Admass 2005) Modelling of the Nisqually River Delta to evaluate habitat restoration alternatives, Washington GBTOXE: (Bierman, 1992) Modelling the hydrodynamics of flow and sediment of the Los Angeles and Long Beach harbors California (Tetra Tech 2004) Simulation of fate and transport of PCBs in Green Bay, Wisconsin EFDC3D: (Hamrick, 1992) Modelling of the hydrodynamic and sediment processes in Moro Bay, California Simulation of flow and sediment transport of Lake Hartwell reservoir on the Savannah River between South ROMS: Carolina and Georgia Modelling of sediment transport and estuary turbidity maximum of the Hudson River (Song and Haidvogel, 1994) Estuary, New York Simulation of flow and sediment quality of the Southern California Bight, California CH3D-SED: Evaluation of the relative impact of different sediment sources on the shore areas of the western basin of Lake (Spasojevic and Holly, 1994) Erie, Ohio (Velissariou et al. 1999) Simulation of sedimentation on bends, crossings, and distributaries on the lower Mississippi River and Atchafalaya River, Lousiana Table 2.11: Continue Model and references SSIIM: (Olsen, 1994) MIKE 3: (Jacobsen and Rasmussen, 1997) Applications Tested against experimental data from Colorado State University (Olsen 2003) Simulation of the flow, sediment transport processes, and water quality of Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon Simulation of the flow, sediment transport processes, and water quality of Tampa Bay, Florida Tested against the experimental data of Odgaard and Bergs (1988) Delft 3D; (Delft3D, 1999) Simulation of contaminated regions resulting from hypothetical airborne agent releases in major urban areas at Washington D.C., Maryland, and Chicago, Illinois (Pullenet al. 2005) Simulation of the flow, sediment transport processes and water quality of Tolo Harbor and Mirs Bay, Hong Kong (Delft Hydraulics 1999) Morphodynamic modelling of the German Wadden Sea and Duck, North Carolina (Delft Hydraulics 1999) TELEMAC; Hervouet and Bates (2000) Development of a mesoscale hydrodynamic and sediment transport model for the Peru Basin in the Southeast Pacific Ocean (Zielke et al. 1995) Simulation of transport and Fate of Toxic Chemicals in Shasta Reservoir, California (Gu and Chung 2003) (Zeng et al., 2005) Tested against the experimental data of Odgaard and Bergs _1988) 47 FAST3D: (Landsberg et al., 1998) 2.9.1 SSIIM Generally there are two types of 'Computational Fluid Dynamic' (CFD) programs, the first type such as PHOENICS, STAR-CD, CFX, FLUENT and FLOW-3D are general purpose programs and the second type include TELEMAC, MIKE3, DELFT-3D, CH3D, TABS and SSIIM are absolutely developed for river engineering. SSIIM is an abbreviation for Sediment Simulation in Intakes with Multiblock Option. It is developed by Dr. Nils Reider B. Olsen, Professor at NTNU, Norway and complete software is freely available over the net with user manual (Olsen, 2011). SSIIM solves the Navier-Stokes equations using the control volume method with the SIMPLE algorithm and the k-epsilon turbulence model that is based on an unstructured grid system. It also solves the convection-diffusion equation for sediment transport, using van Rijn's formula for the bed boundary (Olsen, 2011). SSIIM has the capability of simulating sediment transport with a moveable river bed in complex geometry. It also includes bed load and suspended load transport modelling with multiple sediment sizes, bed forms and associated sorting and armoring processes (Olsen, 2011). The program has an interactive graphical grid editor creating a structured grid. The post-processor includes vector graphics, contour plots, profiles etc. which can 48 run simultaneously with the solver, enabling viewing of intermediate result. A postprocessor viewing coloured surface in 3D is also made, as a separate program. The model has been extended to other hydraulic engineering applications such as spillway modelling, head loss in tunnels, meandering in rivers, and turbidity currents. The model has also been used for water quality and habitat studies in rivers. The User's Manual (Olsen, 2011) gives more information about the SSIIM. 2.9.1.1 SIMPLE Algorithm SIMPLE is an acronym for Semi-Implicit Method for Pressure Linked Equations. The SIMPLE algorithm was developed in the early 1970s. Since then it has been extensively used by many researchers to solve different kinds of fluid flow and heat transfer problems (Ghia et al., 1982; Karp et al., 2003). 2.9.1.2 Control Volume Scheme Several well-established numerical schemes have been employed in the past for solving flow and sediment transport model governing equations. The streamlineupstream Petrov-Galerkin finite element method (SUPG-FEM), the classical finite element method (C-FEM), the fully upwind finite element method (FU-FEM), and the control-volume method based on some type of gridded discretization of the problem are more useful techniques available to solve numerically the fluid flow and sediment transport equations. Detailed review of these methods was provided by Helmig (1997). 49 The control volume method is in substance a finite volume formulation that uses the integral forms of the governing equations. The domain of calculation is divided into a random number of control volume and the equations are discretized by calculating the number of streams that crosses the volume control boundaries (Chung, 2002). The main advantage of the control volume method is the flexibility of the method that can be employed in both structured and unstructured grid systems. Momentum, mass and energy can automatically conversed by the numerical scheme because the method is based on physical conservation principles (Reclamation and Interior, 2011). 2.9.1.3 SSIIM Application The sediment transport model applications take various capabilities of different models. Each sediment transport model that is used as engineering tools has some limitation for solving fluvial hydraulic problem. For that reason, selection of the correct model requires a comprehensive knowledge of capabilities of available model. In this section some of the SSIIM applications for sediment transport modelling and general hydraulics are summarised. A fully three-dimensional numerical model for reservoir flushing was tested against field measurements for the Angostura reservoir in Costa Rica (Haun and Olsen, 2012). The applied numerical model (SSIIM 2) solved the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations in three dimensions and used to discretize the finite volume method together with a second-order upwind scheme. The used grid was 50 adaptive and unstructured grid, which moved with the time-dependent changes for both water and bed levels. Results from the numerical simulation of the deposition and the flushing were compared with bathymetry data of the bed level from the prototype. The computations demonstrated that the deposition was easier to model than the flushing. The amount of flushing out sediments shows reasonable agreement compared with the measured data from the prototype. Therefore the simulation of a reservoir flushing in a prototype became possible due to the increasing development of three-dimensional SSIIM model (Haun and Olsen, 2012). Figure 2.8 shows the measured and simulated bed level after flushing. SSIIM was applied to compute uniform and nonuniform sediment transport and bed deformation in an S-shaped laboratory channel with two bends, a trapezoidal cross section, and a slope of S = 0.005 (Feurich and Olsen, 2011). The sediment size of 4.2 mm (gravel) was used as movable bed material. Significant good agreement was found between the measured and computed bed elevations for Wu’s formula and Vain Rijn's formula. Several parameters were tested in modelling such as grid distribution in vertical, lateral, and longitudinal direction, time step, number of inner iterations/time step, active sediment layer thickness, and the Shields coefficient. The overall pattern variation of parameters tested gave some differences in the results, but the total bed elevation changes gained the same value. The comparison of simulation and measured longitudinal bed level changes are shown in Figure 2.9 and Figure 2.10 for selected cross sections. 51 Figure 2.8: (a) Measured bed levels after the flushing (b) Simulated bed levels after the flushing (Haun and Olsen, 2012) 52 Figure 2.9: Comparison of bed level changes: (a) measurements; (b) numerical simulation with uniform sediment; and (c) nonuniform sediment (Feurich and Olsen, 2011) Figure 2.10: Comparison between measured values and simulation results at: (a) cross section 80; (b) cross section 60; and (c) cross section 20 (Feurich and Olsen, 2011) The morphological bed changes in a 6 km long section of the river Danube located between Vienna and the Austrian-Slovakian border were computed using a SSIIM model (Fischer-Antze et al., 2008). A time series of discharges during the flood in 2002 was used for modelling. The Wu et al. (2000) formula was used to 53 compute the nonunniform sediiment transsport with hiding exxposure alg gorithms considerattion. The SSIIM perfoormed well in computinng the bed changes du ue to the reasonablee accuracy of the com mparison results with field f measuurement. Th he study indicated the t model is i able to reepresent the relevant morphodynam m mic processses, such as creation of a bar due to depposition pro ocesses andd appearancce the scour on the s due to the related erosion pro ocesses. Figgure 2.11 shows the measured m opposite side and compuuted water and a bed levvel in Dunub b River befoore and after flood 2000. M model in confluencee hydrodynaamics modeelling by Appplication off the SSIIM using the published field and laboratory l data of diffferent studdy was asseessed by Đorđević (2012). Reyynolds averraged Navieer-Stokes eqquations weere used to compute c a 3D orthoogonal/non-orthogonall unstructurred, multiblock grid, w which is suittable for the discrettisation of thhe dendriticc flow domaains such ass the flow inn river confl fluences. Figuree 2.11: Meassured water depths d beforee (a) and afteer (b) the floood, together with w measuured (c) and computed (dd) bed elevatiion changes (Fischer-Antze et al., 2008). 54 4 SIMPLE algorithm is used to achieve the coupling of the continuity and momentum equations in SSIIM. Due to high pressure and velocity gradients in the confluence, the second-order upwind scheme is used for discrete convective terms in the momentum equations. Đorđević (2012) validated the model SSIIM2 with using both the experimental and field data and concluded that transfer of the momentum from the tributary to the main river can be described satisfactorily using the 3D model with the k-ε type turbulence model closure. Therefore, variations of the recirculation zone width throughout the flow depth were predicted correctly. 2.10 Summary Natural rivers are usually in a state of morphological equilibrium where the sediment inflow on average balances the sediment outflow. A river, in effect, can be considered a body of flowing sediments as much as one of flowing water. To clarify the causes and consequences of changes in fluvial form and also to make informed management decisions that affect a river’s function, it will require a good knowledge regarding the role of bedload movement in forming and maintaining channel geometry. Bedload transport in rivers is basically a process of movement of individual particles. The individual sediment size and the characteristic of the bed sediment influence sediment transport. Bedload size distribution and bed material particle size specifications are required to determine the sediment transport process. The extracted parameter from affective factors on sediment transport can be used as a basis for the prediction of sediment transport rates. 55 Various bed load transport equations have been formulated under limited laboratory or field conditions as mentioned in section 2.4. The river flow condition and river environment have most effect on the bedload transport rate in different rivers, and the computed results from various equations often differ from each other and even from the measured data set. Consequently the recent proposed equations need to be adopted for the new conditions. Soft computing technique such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and genetic programming (GP) have been successfully applied for water engineering problems since the last two decades. The good performance of ANN and GP methods demonstrated its predictive capability and the possibility of generalization of the modelling to nonlinear problems for river engineering applications. The regression method also has been widely used to analyse and develop relationship between variables specifically in water sciences. The Application of GP and ANN was mentioned in section 2.6 indicate these models which are particularly useful in modelling processes about data interpretation without any restriction to an extensive database predict well the bedload transport in different locations with different circumstances. A more specific approach is required for short and long term channel response evaluating in complex alluvial channels such river channel confluences that exhibit widely varying channel plan form, morphology, and bed composition. Multidimensional hydrodynamic and sediment transport models can potentially provide this level of analysis. Each sediment transport model has its limitations for solving the fluvial hydraulic problem. Therefore, the selection of right model under certain 56 constraints requires a satisfactory knowledge of the capabilities and features of available models. The sediment transport model applications illustrate the capability of SSIIM model for improving our understanding of river channel confluence morphological processes as complex phenomena in river engineering. Bedload transport characteristic study at small streams and investigating the bedload transport in Ara -Kurau river channel confluence has been implemented. The data collection and analysis will be discussed in Chapter 4 and result of sediment transport model in river channel confluence will also present in Chapter 5. 57 3 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction Study area, the methodology includes the study flowchart, data collection such as hydrologic data, geometry data and sediment data were described in this chapter. This chapter also provides information on the setting up of different methods that include nonlinear regression, artificial neural network and genetic programming for predicting the bedload transport rate. Figure 3.1 illustrates the research framework as a study guide. Literature review Study the morphology of area Data collection 1. Geometry 2. Sediment 3. Hydrology Bedload transport determination SSIIM Model Preparation Define boundary condition NLR ANN GP Modification of model equation Simulation Calibration and validation model Conclusions Figure 3.1: Research framework for present study 58 3.2 Study Area Kurau River sub-basin lies between latitude 530,000 (N) and 570,000 (N), longitude 683,300 (E) and 723,300 (E) in Zone 47 in UTM coordinate system. The catchment area is approximately 1600 Km2, consisting of two main river tributaries namely Kurau River and Ara River. The river starts partly in the Bintang Range and partly in the Main Range where the territory in the upper reaches is steep and mountainous. Mid valleys of the river are characterized by low to undulating terrain, which give way to broad and flat floodplains. Ground elevations at the river headwaters are moderately high, being 1,200 m and 900 m. The slopes in the upper 6.5 km of the river averaged 12.5% whilst those lower down the valleys are much lower, of the order of 0.25% to 5%. Kurau River sub basin and data collection sites included the Kurau- Ara confluence are shown in Figure 3.2 and Figure 3.3. Land use distribution in the year 2004 shows that primary forests contribute most at about 50% of the total area of Kurau River sub-basin, followed by rubber dominate at about 24% of the total area, oil palm at about 11.28% of the total area. It can be concluded that Kurau River sub basin is an undeveloped area with the majority of the land being used for agriculture. Rapid development in the Kurau River basin has led to an increased demand for river sand as a source of construction material, which has resulted in the increase in river sand mining activities that have rise to various problems. Kurau River is one of selected river based on previous studies (DID, 2009) that sand mining activities occurred in the river basin. The bed material sizes are in the sand-gravel range. 59 Figuree 3.2: Kurau River sub-basin and dataa collection ssites Figure 3..3: Ara -Kuraau river conffluence 60 0 3.3 3.3.1 River Hydrology and Hydraulic Stream Flow Data The Pondok Tanjung streamflow station is a telemetry station that is located in Pondok Tanjung (Ara- Kurau confluence) and it has been operating since 1960 as shown in Figure 3.4. The station is a well hydrometric site for low and high flow measurement. The historical streamflow data at the Pondok Tanjung streamflow station is provided by the DID Hydrology Division from year 1960 to the year 2008. The hydrographs for year 1970, 1972, 1986, 2006 and 2007 which present the highest discharge at the Pondok Tanjung streamflow station are shown in Figure 3.5. Figure 3.4: Pondok Tanjung stream flow station (5007421) 3.3.2 Water Level Record The historical water level record at the Pondok Tanjung streamflow station is provided by the DID Hydrology Division from year 1960 to the year 2008. Figure 3.6 shows the water level chart for year 1970, 1972, 1986, 2006 and 2007 which present the highest year the Pondok Tanjung streamflow station. 61 Figure 3.5: Discharge hydrograph for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung Figure 3.6: Water level chart for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung 3.3.3 Stage Discharge Data Figure 3.7 shows the flow rating curve for years 1996 to 2007. The shift in the flow rating curve association reflects the variability of flow at the Pondok Tanjung 62 station at Kurau River. The rating curve for the year 2007 and 2002 are defined for higher flow. 20 19 Stage (m) 18 17 16 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 15 14 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 140 160 180 200 Discharge (m³/s) Figure 3.7: Stage-discharge relationship at Pondok Tanjung for 1996-2007 3.3.4 Flood Frequency Analysis The ranking of flood over 48 years are given in Table 3.1. The review indicates that the 2007 flood at the Pondok Tanjung streamflow station had the highest discharge measured in 48 year period. Flood frequency analysis was carried out for 48 years of stream flow data using Normal distribution, Generalized extreme value, 3 Parameter Pearson, 3 Parameter lognormal, Gumbel Min, Log Pearson type III and 2 Parameter lognormal (Table 3.2). 63 Table 3.1: Flood ranking for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung Rank Q(m3/s) Year Date Rank Q(m3/s) Year Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 191.322 175.807 156.943 147.956 138.167 132.491 125.095 123.611 115.681 100.436 99.733 97.685 96.725 93.182 92.502 92.288 90.807 85.732 84.294 83.833 83.429 83.136 80.979 80.588 2007 1970 1986 2006 1972 1995 1997 2003 1998 1991 1978 1971 1999 1983 2005 1977 1994 1969 2001 1973 1990 1993 1984 1975 23-Oct 11- Oct 09-May 26-Mac 31- Oct 31- Oct 12-Nov 05- Oct 17-Agu 03-Jun 25- Oct 12-Agu 25- Oct 10-Sep 15-Dec 07-Nov 27-Nov 13-Oct 01-Nov 01-Nov 03-Nov 03-Jul 09-Nov 08-Dec 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 78.692 78.035 77.817 70.685 70.648 68.81 67.866 65.884 65.348 64.548 58.462 58.462 55.015 53.116 53.116 46.463 45.417 44.793 32.574 27.822 18.542 9.344 8.577 7.448 1979 2004 1989 2000 1987 1980 1981 1985 1988 1982 1960 1961 1962 1963 1664 1974 1992 1665 1976 2002 1996 1967 1966 1968 22-Nov 03-Feb 13-Apr 22-Nov 25- Oct 06-Jun 01-Jun 01-Oct 22-Jun 16-nov 31-Dec 01-Oct 21-Oct 13-Dec 11-Dec 24-Dec 29-Oct 29-Apr 01-Jan 18-Oct 13-Dec 18-Sep 22-Nov 30-Dec Figure 3.8 shows the measured stream flow data for the different type of distributions. The most valid model was determined with the goodness of fit tests. Chi-Squared test the most popular goodness of fit tests was used to compare the fitted distributions. Since the goodness of fit test statistical indicates the distance between the data and the fitted distributions, it is obvious that the distribution with the lowest statistic value is the best fitting model. The generalized extreme value has the lowest Chi- squared statistic value with better agreement with the measured streamflow data (Table 3.2). 64 The goodness of fit tests can be used to compare the fitted distributions. Table 3.3 shows the value of Chi Squared indicating the best distribution for flood analysis. The Generalized extreme value distribution with the lowest Chi squared was used for the flood frequency analysis. Consequently the discharge of 195.83 should be considered as the design peak discharge and sediment transport study for Kurau River. Table 3.2: Summary of flood frequency analysis for Kurau River at Pondok Tanjung Discharge (m3/s) Return period Generalized Extreme Value Pearson 3 Parameter Log normal 3 Parameter Normal Distribution Gumbel Min Log Pearson Type III Log normal 2 Parameter 200 211.006 222.3811 223.939 189.270 151.989 239.966 505.324 100 195.834 202.6552 204.063 178.006 147.053 223.900 407.830 50 179.215 182.5206 183.706 165.698 141.310 205.078 322.673 25 160.935 161.7328 162.633 152.015 134.445 183.027 248.701 10 133.597 132.5348 132.981 130.834 122.652 147.924 166.198 5 109.534 108.0684 108.141 110.971 110.044 115.853 113.886 2 68.612 67.88854 67.549 72.972 80.389 63.433 55.262 Table 3.3: Goodness of fit test with chi-squared statistic value Distribution Chi- Squared 1 Generalized Extreme Value 0.36421 2 Pearson 3 Parameter 1.6383z 3 Lognormal 3 Parameter 1.6602 4 Normal Distribution 2.6298 5 Gumbel Min 3.379 6 Logpearson Type III 11.354 7 Lognormal 2 Parameter 11.638 65 0 discharge Q (m³/s) discharge Q (m³/s) Normal Distribution actual data prediction 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 discharge Q (m³/s) discharge Q (m³/s) Lognormal 2 Parameter actual data prediction 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 actual data prediction 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Weilbull Probability Weilbull Probability 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Lognormal 3 Parameter 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Pearson 3 Parameter 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 actual data prediction 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 discharge Q (m³/s) actual data prediction 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Log-Pearson 3 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 actual data prediction 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 Weilbull Probability Weilbull Probability Generalized Extreme Value 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 actual data prediction 0 0.1 0.2 1 Weilbull Probability Gumbel Min 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 discharge Q (m³/s) discharge Q (m³/s) Weilbull Probability 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Weilbull Probability Figure 3.8: Flood frequency analysis using difference types of distribution 66 1 3.4 Field Data Measurement The current study was conducted at six cross sections of the Kurau River from January 2010 to January 2013 because of the difficulty in sampling and possibility of wading in the water in these areas. Owing to bank erosion and severe bed degradation, other locations were either inaccessible or impossible to wade into the water. These sites and the data collected by Ariffin (2004) from two other sites in Lui and Semenyih rivers were selected for development of bedload equation. The confluence zone of Kurau and Ara Rivers was also selected for the modelling part of this study. Hydraulic and sediment measurements were made along a series of cross sections in April 2012, with each reach being separated by approximately 15 to 20 meters. Figure 3.9: Langat River basin and data collection sites by Ariffin (2004) 67 3.4.1 Flow Measurement Flow discharges were measured at six sites using an electromagnetic current meter (Figure 3.10). The procedure for discharge measurement is based on Hydrology Procedure No.15: River Discharge measurement by Current Meter (DID, 1976). Measurement taken includes flow depth (y0), velocity (V) and river width (B). The flow velocities on the confluence zone of Kurau and Ara River at approximately the same time as the river depth were also measured. A Hydroboard Acoustic Doppler Profiler, ADP (SonTek River Surveyor core system; S5), and a sub-meter-accurate, differential GPS (DGPS) system integrated with PCM (Power and Communications Module) connected to a laptop computer were used for this measurement (Figure 3.11). Figure 3.10: Electromagnetic current meter 68 Transect coordinates were received by the PCM at 10-Hz and transferred to the ADP internal memory for integration and processing. It is then transmitted along with the ADP data from the PCM to the laptop for navigation to transect start and end points. As much of the wetted width of each transect was sampled as possible. Due to the blanking distance (0.2 m) and mounting depth (0.2 m) of the transducer, measured velocities include all but the top 0.5m of the water column. Survey data was processed using SonTek’s River Surveyor (v3.10) software. River Surveyor was used to create discharge summaries, export transects positional data (profile number, distance, and latitude/longitude) and to provide screenshots of cross-sectional velocity profiles for each transect. Data exported from the program for each transect was individually examined. Figure 3.11: SonTek River Surveyor Hydroboard with optional GPS 69 3.4.2 Geometry Data The six cross sections and confluence zone of Kurau and Ara rivers were surveyed using Electronic Distance Meter (EDM) (Table 3.4). Water surface and bed elevation during different flow were also observed. The geometry data along a series of cross sections were collected by using Sontek River Surveyor for sediment transport modelling (Figure 3.12). Table 3.4: Typical cross sections along Kurau River (19 June 2010) Locations Present condition Cross-section KRU1 28.0 Elevation(m) 27.0 26.0 25.0 24.0 23.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Distance(m) KRU2 Elevation(m) 20 19 18 17 16 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Distance(m) 40 KRU3 Elevation(m) 39 38 37 36 35 0 70 5 10 15 20 Distance(m) 25 30 Table 3.4: Continue Locations Present condition Cross-section 40 KRU4 Elevation(m) 39 38 37 36 35 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Distance (m) 36 KRU5 35 Elevation(m) 34 33 32 31 30 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 Distance(m) 55 ARA1 Elevation(m) 54 53 52 51 50 0 10 20 Distance(m) 71 30 40 50 Figure 3.12: River surveying at Ara River with river surveyor (ADP) 3.4.3 Sediment Data Bedload and bed material particle size distributions were selected to represent material transported and stored in the Kurau River. 3.4.3.1 Bed Material River bed materials were collected by Van Veen grab sampler (Figure 3.13). The width of the river was divided into seven spaced measuring points from left bank to the right bank. The spacing between measuring points differs for one cross section to the other and depends on the river width at different water levels. 72 Figure 3.13: Van Veen grab for bed material sampling 3.4.3.2 Bedload In the last decade there has been an increase in interest in the measurement and visualization of bed load movement in streams. As a result, there have been a series of new developments in bed load movement sensing apparatus including: devices based on repeated measurements of the stream cross-section (Ergenzinger, 1992), repeated bed load sampling using Helley-Smith samplers (Bunte, 1990; Claude et al., 2012; Helley and Smith, 1971; Ryan and Emmett, 2002; Sear, 2003), Brikbeck-type slot samplers with pressure pillows (Garcia et al., 2000; Laronne et al., 2003; Sear et al., 2000), magnetic induction devices (Bunte, 1996; Ergenzinger et al., 1994) acoustic Doppler velocity devices (Claude et al., 2012; Ramooz, 2007; Rennie et al., 2002) and hydrophones and impact sensing devices (Banzinger and Burch, 1990; Barton, 2006; Froehlich, 2003). 73 These devices could sample the pattern of movement across the stream width, or the pattern and quantity of movement through time. Direct and indirect methods used to measure rates of bedload transport and the characteristics of different sampling technologies and their applications can be found in Ryan et al. (2005) The type of sampler was used based on the ease of handling, the sampling efficiency and its operating cost (Ariffin, 2004). The hand Helley- Smith sampler was selected in this research due to its ability to capture a wide sample material range (0.5 to 16 mm), the high sediment trapping efficiency (Helley and Smith, 1971; Yuqian, 1989) easy handling, suitable for short term measurement and low operating cost. In the field study, each section was sampled eight times. At the beginning of each sampling event, water surface height was surveyed. The channel cross section was then divided into eight equal spaced increments based on flow width at sampling time. At each increment, flow depth and velocity were measured. Bedload was sampled immediately after velocity at each increment. Bedload was collected with a Helley-Smith bedload sampler made up of a square 7.6 cm orifice and 0.25 mm mesh bag with frame and sampling durations ranging from 3-10 minutes, depending on the intensity of bedload activity (Figure 3.14). 74 Figure 3.14: Hand held Helley-Smith sampler for bed load sampling 3.5 Techniques for Bedload Prediction The new mathematical modelling methods will be used to improve the sensitivity and performance of prediction equations in overcoming the difficulties of developing such equations based on a balance between simplicity and accuracy. The simple formula can estimate the bedload transport of small streams. Genetic 75 programming (GP) and artificial neural network (ANN) are powerful tools for pattern recognition and data interpretation. They were employed and compared with the nonlinear regression (NLR) method to present an explicit predictive equation for bedload transport in small streams. 3.5.1 Performance of Bedload Transport Equation Most of the equations depend on a lack of field data, a limited database, and untested model assumptions. Consequently, the application of many equations is limited to special conditions developed; only a few are generally accepted for practical use. The Meyer-Peter and Muller (1948) Rottner (1959), Chang (2002), Julien (2002), Wong and Parker (2006) and vanRijn (1993) are some of the most common and popular equations used to estimate the bedload transport rate in rivers and are summarized in Table 3.5. Selection of formulas was based on their applicability to sandy bed rivers and that the boundary conditions suit those of the Kurau River. 76 Table 3.5: The common bedload transport equations Equation Name   s  g  n     qb  8     (  s   )    nt  Meyer-Peter and Muller ( 1948) s 2R nt  V 1 d 6 n  90 26 1 2    2 3  d  0.14   0.778 50   Rh   0.05  s 2 R exp 1.5    V b  13 Julien ( Julien, 2002) b  Wong and Parker (2006) ϕb=4.93(θ-0.047)1.6 3.5.2   0.047  s   d 50    1 1.5 2 2   3      3 (3-2) 3 18 g d 50  2  2 b  2 (3-1) Chang (Cheng, 2002) vanRijn (1993) 2 No 3 3  d  qb   s Rh v av 0.667 50   Rh  Rottner (Yang, 1996) 3 (3-3) 3 g Gs  1d 50 (3-4) 3 0.088≤ d50 ≤ 4 (mm) 0.053 1.5  c r  (  1) 2.1 D*0.3  (3-5) (3-6) Dimensional Analysis The Buckingham π theorem is one of the approaches that researchers used in developing a general bedload equation (Khorram and Ergil, 2010). Based on the theorem, the proposed influential parameter is the general form of the intensity of the bed-load rate, b : b = f (θ, Dgr, R/s, Gs) (3-7) b  qb (3-8) G s  1gd 50 3 θ= RS0/ ((Gs-1).d50)   G  1 g  Dgr  d50  s 2     (3-9) 1 3 (3-10) 77 where qb (m2 ⁄s) is the volumetric bed-load sediment rate per unit width, Dgr is dimensionless grain size. In this study the median grain-size diameter, d50, assumed as the grain diameter ds. The terms Rh ⁄ds and Gs are embedded in the Shields’ parameter θ, and taking θ = f (Re), one can generate a rather simple relationship: b = f (θ) (3-11) And it can be expressed in the form of power law: b = αθ (3-12) The bedload transport rate at Kurau River sites found to be similar to Barry et al. (2004) and generally well described in log10 space (0.50 < R2<0.9) by a simple power function of total discharge (Q). Tb= αQ β (3-13) where Tb is bedload transport rate and α and β are empirical values. 3.5.3 Nonlinear Regression Method (NLR) Nonlinear regression is a method of finding a nonlinear model characterized by the fact that the prediction equation depends nonlinearly on one or more unknown parameters. This method can be employed when there is the relationship between the response and the predictors that satisfy a particular functional form. NLR can estimate models with random relationships between independent and dependent variables, whereas traditional linear regression is limited to estimating linear models. Based on the fundamental data and the relationship between the variables, the following function is suggested: 78 b  m.qn . i .Dgr h s 0  Gs 1 .g.d503  (3-14) where the following hydraulic parameters were used in the regression analysis: S0, water surface slope, θ, Shields parameter, q stream discharge per unit width (m2/s), dimensionless grain size Dgr, g, acceleration gravity, Gs, sediment specific gravity and m, n, i, h are empirical parameters that can be obtain by NLR method. 3.5.4 Artificial Neural Network (ANN) A neural network toolbox contained within the MATLAB package was used in this study. Bedload transport equations were integrated into a multilayer feedforward network with an error back propagation algorithm. A two-layer feed-forward network with sigmoid hidden neurons and linear output neurons (fitnet) can fit multidimensional mapping problems arbitrarily well, given consistent data and sufficient neurons in its hidden layer. Field data were provided and an appropriate neural network structure was selected for training purposes. Training was performed using the Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation, where the input and output were presented to the neural network as a series of learning. The network was set up with the four parameters as the input pattern of discharge (Q), water surface slope (S0), mean grain size (d50), and Shields parameter for the initiation of motion (θ) as most influential parameters were widely used in bedload transport equations, and the bed load transport rate Tb as the output pattern. In other words, the input layer contains four neurons while the output layer contains one. Between the two layers, there is another hidden layer that contains a suitable number of neurons under investigation (Figure 3.15). 79 Inputs Hidden layer 10 Output Q S0 Tb d50 θ Figure 3.15: Feed-forward multilayer network 3.5.5 Genetic Programming Method (GP) A GPTIPS run with the following settings was performed: Population size = 500, Number of generations = 25, Tournament size = 7 (with lexicographic selection pressure), Dmax = 3, Gmax = 4, Elitism = 0.01 % of the population, function node set = (plus, minus, times, protected). The default GPTIPS multigene symbolic regression function was used in order to minimize the root mean squared prediction error on the training data (Searson, 2009a). The following (default) recombination operator event probabilities were used: Crossover events = 0.85, mutation events = 0.1, direct reproduction = 0.05. The following sub-event probabilities were used: high level crossover = 0.2, low level crossover = 0.8, subtree mutation = 0.9, replace input terminal with another random terminal = 0.05, Gaussian perturbation of randomly selected constant = 0.05 (with a standard deviation of Gaussian = 0.1) (Table 3.6). These settings are not considered ‘optimal’ in any sense but were based on experience with modelling different data sets of similar size. 80 The selection of appropriate model input variables in GP, as with any datadriven prediction model is extremely important. The choice of input variables is generally based on a previous knowledge for most influential variables and physical insight into the problem (Khorram and Ergil, 2010). Four input parameters including discharge (Q), water surface slope (S0), mean grain size (d50) and Shields’ parameter for initiation of motion(θ) as a most influential parameters were widely used in bedload transport equations as variable data and Tb (bedload rate) as invariable data are used in the current study. Table 3.6: Multigene GP range of initially defined parameters Parameter Range Population size 500 Function set +, -, *, / Number of generations 25 Maximum number of genes 4 Maximum number of nodes per tree 13 Maximum depth of trees 3 Probability of GP tree mutation 0.1 Probability of GP tree cross over 0.85 Probability of GP tree direct copy 0.05 81 4 CHAPTER 4 BEDLOAD TRANSPORT CHARACTERISTICS 4.1 Introduction Understanding the spatial distribution of bed material transport is essential for many aspects of river management. Also the development of a relation to describe the bedload transport rate is of high importance for detailed study and improvement of models for prediction of bedload transport rate, prediction of channel change, and analysis of stability of engineered structures such as bridges in rivers (Rennie and Millar, 2004). In this section detailed analyses for bedload and bed material characteristics were performed for upstream and downstream of Kurau River. Size gradation of bedload and bed material was analysed in relation to shear stress, and flow discharges. Differences in bed load size distributions depending on the type of the flow are explained according to intrinsic characteristics of transport processes. The fractional transport rate was determined for each location as a function of the particle size to assess the relative mobility of various size classes in the upstream and downstream of Kurau River. In this section NLR, ANN and GP river system models were used to simulate and predict bedload transport in Kurau River. These models were employed for other small streams. Data from six sediment stations on Kurau River in Perak and two sediment stations in Lui and Semenyih River in Selangor (Ariffin, 2004), were compiled to obtain the formula as well as for comparison with other existing bedload 82 transport formulas. The performances of the GP, ANN, and statistical (NLR) models for small streams were evaluated and compared with five bedload transport formulas such as Meyer-Peter and Muller (1948) based on the energy slope method; Rottner (1959), Yang (1996), Chang (Cheng, 2002), van Rijn (1993), and Julien (2002) based on the regression method; and Wong and Parker (2006) based on the shear stress method. 4.2 4.2.1 River Characteristics Summary of River Data Collection Data of the six channel criteria ranged from 20000 km long in the drainage area and included a variety sand–gravel bed channels. Discharges ranged from 0.55 m3/s to 12.79 m3/s. All cross sections in the Kurau River have a single thread channel width. The top width ranged from 7 m to 19 m; the stream gradients ranged from 0.0007 to 0.001; median particle size of bed material (d50) ranged from 0.65 mm to 1.84 mm. Most channels were bounded by flood plains or alluvial terraces and were able to adjust freely to discharge sediment inputs. The dynamics of the river are relatively natural because the structures (i.e., bridges and some bank protection structures) have some influence on lateral channel mobility. Bedload discharge, hydraulics parameter and sediment data (grain size distribution, d50), were gathered from the Lui River, Semenyih River (Ariffin, 2004) and Kurau River as small streams. The range of measured data is shown in Table 4.1. Figure 4.2 to Figure 4.6 show cross sectional changes at different flow discharges. Lower bed elevations suggest bed erosion occurs at higher flow discharges. 83 Molinas and Wu (2001) categorized the rivers in large and medium by flow depth, flow discharge and flow velocities. They pointed out that large rivers refer to those with yearly average flow depths greater than 4 m, and medium rivers refer to those with yearly average flow depths between 2 m and 4 m. They mentioned that large rivers have flow discharges more than 134 m3/s for, flow velocities bigger than 0.21 m/s, flow depths more than 3 m, water surface slopes in the range of 0.02×l04 to 1.8×104 and median bed material diameters in the range of 0.09 mm to 0.99 mm. The flow discharges for medium rivers are between 13 m3/s to 4791 m3/s, flow velocities in the range of 0.20 m/s to 2.30 m/s, flow depths in the range of 1.50 m to 9.29 m, water surface slopes in the range of 0.06×104 to 25×104, median bed material diameters in the range of 0.02 mm to 2.60 mm. The summary of some rivers (large and medium) data is shown in Table 4.2. The range of data in Kurau, Semenyih and Lui rivers such as flow discharge (0.55-17.2), flow depth (0.23-1.15) and etc... are not the in the range of large and medium rivers as mentioned above. Consequently these three rivers are considered as small rivers. Details of the present data for Kurau River are shown in Appendix A. 84 Table 4.1: Range of field data for Kurau , Lui and Semeneyih River Kurau Location No of data KRU1 Q (m3/s) V (m/s) So×10-2 B (m) Y0 (m) A (m2) R (m) d50 (mm) Tb (kg/s) 8 3.18-12.8 0.53-0.82 0. 05-07 17-19 0.47-1.15 6-15.51 0.412-0.885 0.65-1.044 0.23-2.10 KRU2 8 1.6-6.1 0.5-0.73 0. 07-1.85 9-10.3 0.42-1.15 2.87-8.37 0.313-0.76 0.699-1.084 0.17-0.86 KRU3 8 0.55-1.52 0.31-0.52 0. 06-0. 96 7-9.2 0.28-0.38 1.39-2.89 0.166-0.303 0.99-1.404 0.03-0.26 KRU4 8 0.56-4.7 0.15-1.22 0. 1-0. 62 13-Dec 0.27-0.52 1.99-6.03 0.161-0.286 1.02-1.83 0.01-0.50 KRU5 8 2.32-6.6 0.49-1.56 0. 03-0. 51 13-Dec 0.37-1.03 3.46-9.78 0.224-0.699 0.74-1.51 0.13-1.52 ARA1 8 0.77-5.25 0.4-0.69 0. 03-3.12 11.3-13 0.27-0.86 1.94-7.57 0.167-0.567 1.29-1.84 0.12-1.04 92 0.7 – 17.2 0.2 – 1.0 0.03 - 0.93 15-15.5 0.23– 0.99 3.42-16.84 0.221-0.887 0.50 – 1.74 0.04-1.55 2.6 – 8.0 0.4 – 0.9 0.23 – 1.5 13-15 0.36 – 0.82 5.42-11.49 0.345-0.735 0.88 – 2.29 0.65-3.15 (present data) 85 Lui Kg Lui (Ariffin, 2004) Semenyih Kg. (Ariffin , 2004) Rinching 50 Data source Table 4.2: Summary of large and medium rivers (Monalis and Wu, 2001) Flow Flow Flow Water Median Discharge Velocity Depth Surface Diameter 3 4 (m /s) (m/s) (m) Slope×l10 (mm) Bed-Material Concentration (ppm) (a) Large Rivers (dyr (i)> 4.0 m) 86 Amazon and Orinoco River Systems (Posada 1995) 134-235000 0.37-2.42 3.56-62.33 0.14-1.8 0.093-0.90 0.1-2360 Mississippi River System (Posada 1995) 332-4100 0.37-1.77 3.17-21.80 0.03-1.8 0.18-0.99 0.2-370 Atchafalaya River at Simmesport (Toffaleti 1968) 382-14188 0.21-2.03 6.10-14.75 0.02-0.51 0.091-0.31 0.6-570 Mississippi River at Tarbert Landing (Toffaleti 1968) 4228-48830 0.62-1.61 6.74-16.40 0.18-0.43 0.18-0.33 12-260 Mississippi River at St. Louis (Toffaleti 1968) 1512-21608 0.62-2.42 4.66-17.28 0.25-1.34 0.18-1.15 7-510 Red River at Alexandria (Toffaleti 1968) 190-1538 0.37-1.14 3.00-7.38 0.10-0.22 8-500 Total of Large Rivers 134-235000 0.21-2.42 3.00-62.33 0.02-1 .8 0.091-0.99 0.1-2360 0.66-0.82 (b) Medium Rivers ( 2.0 m < dyr< 4.0 m, d > 1.5 m) ACOP Canal Data of Mahmood et al. (1979) 30-529 0.50-1.30 1.50-4.30 0.55-1.7 0.083-0.36 17-2083 Chop Canal Data of Chaudhry et al. (1970) 28-428 0.69-1.60 1.68-3.41 0.51-2.5 0.10-0.31 116-1 317 Canal Data of Chitale et al. (1966) 13-242 0.51-1.06 1.57-3.56 0.57-1.2 0.02-0.082 512-5759 Colorado River (US Bureau of Reclamation, (1958) River Data of Leopold (1969) South American River and Canal Data of NEDCO (1973) 97-500 109-499 0.53-1 .27 1.51-3.89 0.56-1 .26 1.50-4.11 0.37-4.1 0.37-3.5 0.16-0.70 0.14-0.81 18-769 11-564 29-4791 0.20-1 .64 1.53-9.29 0.06-6.2 0.10-1.08 3-3000 Portugal River Data of Peterson and Howells (1973) 107-660 0.93-1.44 1.50-2.44 6.1 -9.7 2.20-2.60 54-351 Rio Grande River Data of Nordin and Beverage (1965) 79-286 13-4791 Total of Medium Rivers 1.25-2.30 1.50-3.12 13-25 0.31-1.91 1300-5310 0.20-2.30 1.5-9.29 0.06-25 0.02-2.60 3-5759 (i)dyr Yearly avrage flow depth 4.2.2 Typical Cross-Sections for the River Study Site Kurau River surveyed cross sections are shown in Figure 4.1 to Figure 4.6. The figures indicate the changes in bed morphology during the data collection time. The maximum degradation occurred in KRU1 around 0.8 m during the minimum discharge and maximum discharge that measured in this cross section. 28 27 26 Elevation(m) 25 24 23 22 0 5 10 15 20 distance (m) 28/04/2010 Q=7.21 mᵌ/s 29/12/2010 Q=5.58 mᵌ/s 24/02/2011 Q=12.79 mᵌ/s 25 30 35 40 11/11/2010 Q=5.21 mᵌ/s 19/01/2011 Q=3.99 mᵌ/s 9/3/2011 Q=4.91 mᵌ/s Figure 4.1: Cross section KRU1 along Kurau River 20 19 Elevation(m) 18 17 16 15 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Distance(m) 19/05/2010 Q=1.6(mᵌ/s) 1/12/2010 Q=6.1(mᵌ/s) 16/02/2011 Q=1.65(mᵌ/s) 12/10/2010 Q=2.1(mᵌ/s) 19/01/2011 Q=2.25(mᵌ/s) 3/03/2011 Q=1.95(mᵌ/s) Figure 4.2: Cross section KRU2 along Kurau River 87 20 20 19 Elevation(m) 18 17 16 15 0 2 4 6 8 10 Distance(m) 5/7/2010 Q=0.79 mᵌ/s 29/12/2010 Q=1.03 mᵌ/s 16/2/2011 Q=1.32 mᵌ/s 11/05/2011 Q=1.52 mᵌ/s 12 14 16 18 20 5/10/2010 Q=0.55 mᵌ/s 6/1/2011 Q=0.66 mᵌ/s 9/3/2011 Q=0.62 mᵌ/s 2/06/2011 Q=0.72 mᵌ/s Figure 4.3: Cross section KRU3 along Kurau River 40 39 Elevation(m) 38 37 36 35 0 5 10 15 Distance(m) 19/05/2010 Q=0.73 mᵌ/s 20/12/2010 Q=0.56 mᵌ/s 8/2/2011 Q=2.59 mᵌ/s 5/5/2011 Q=4.7 mᵌ/s 20 25 5/10/2010 Q=1.33 mᵌ/s 26/01/2011 Q=1.18 mᵌ/s 16/02/2011 Q=1.41 mᵌ/s 9/6/2011 Q=2.21 mᵌ/s Figure 4.4: Cross section KRU4 along Kurau River 88 30 35 34 Elevation(m) 33 32 31 30 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 Distance(m) 28/06/2010 Q=6.44mᵌ/s 26/05/2011 Q=4.6 mᵌ/s 12/10/2010 Q=2.32 mᵌ/s 20/12/2010 Q=4.06 mᵌ/s 6/1/2011Q=5.68 mᵌ/s 8/2/2011 Q=5.39 mᵌ/s 24/02/2011 Q=6.6 mᵌ/s 21/06/2011 Q=2.23 mᵌ/s 30 Figure 4.5: Cross section KRU5 along Kurau River 55 54 Elevation(m) 53 52 51 50 0 5 10 15 Distance (m) 12/5/2010 Q=1.27 mᵌ/s 1/12/2010 Q=5.25 mᵌ/s 1/2/2011 Q=1.19mᵌ/s 5/5/2011 Q=1.68 mᵌ/s 20 25 27/10/2010 Q=0.776 mᵌ/s 6/1/2011 Q=2.29 mᵌ/s 3/3/2011 Q=1.02mᵌ/s 2/6/2011 Q=2.29 mᵌ/s Figure 4.6: Cross section A1 along Ara River 89 30 4.2.3 Parameter Affecting Bedload Transport All measured variables were plotted against the bedload transport to indicate the correlations of different parameters and to be used as basis for developing new bedload transport equation. The scatter plots of this variable against bedload transport rate are shown in Figure 4.7 to Figure 4.15. 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) kurau River Lui River Semenyih River 1 0.1 0.01 0.1 1 Discharge Q (m3/s) 10 Figure 4.7: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against discharge 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Kurau Lui Semenyih 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 Velocity V ( m/s ) 1 10 Figure 4.8: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against velocity 90 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Kurau Lui Semenyih 1 0.1 0.01 1 10 Width B (m) 100 Figure 4.9: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against width 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Kurau Lui Semenyih 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Water depth Yo (m) 10 Figure 4.10: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against water depth 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Kurau Lui Semenyih 1 0.1 0.01 1 10 100 B/Y ratio Figure 4.11: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against B/Y ratio 91 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Kurau Lui Semenyih 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Hydraulic radus R (m) 10 Figure 4.12: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against hydraulic radius 10 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Kurau Lui Semenyih 1 0.1 0.01 0.1 1 Area A ( m2 ) 10 100 Figure 4.13: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against area Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.0001 Kurau Lui Semenyih 0.001 0.01 Slope S0 0.1 1 Figure 4.14: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against slope 92 Bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) 10 1 0.1 Kurau Lui Semenyih 0.01 0.1 1 10 Median grain size d50 (mm) 100 Figure 4.15: Scatter plot of bedload transport rate against median grain size 4.3 Particle Size Distribution Analysis of particle size distributions of bedload and bed material for different discharges ensure better understanding of sediment transport processes for each particular river and generally increase information about parameters affecting bedload transport rates. The particle size distributions of bedload and bed material are illustrated in Figure 4.17. The results show that the bedload material is finer than the surface bed material for all analyzed sites. The median bedload particle size and median particle of bed material are less than unity in the upstream of the Kurau River. This finding demonstrates the size selectivity of bedload transport during the different water discharges (Ashworth et al., 1992; Wathen et al., 1995). In most of the samples analysed, sand and fine gravel were the main fractions of the bedload transport rate for the measured range of discharges, and the size 93 fractions enlarged with the increase in discharge. The source of fine material could be from external sources or material from the bed surfaces (i.e., fine material transported over a stable bed). The bedload frequency curves obtained from the upstream of the river were mainly bimodal and were unimodal only in a few cases. The unimodal bedload frequency curve indicates that uniform fine material is present in the bedload sample, whereas the bimodal curve shows sand and gravel modes with some concentration in special sizes because of the mobilization of coarser bed particles during higher discharges (Muskatirovic, 2008). Most bedload curves in the downstream were unimodal, and the size of fractions was enlarged, following approximately the same range. The presence of sand and fine gravel in most of the bedload particle size distributions in the downstream was caused by the fine sediment coming from the upstream network during flood events. The coarser fractions of bedload particles were transported by higher discharges, but they were generally smaller than those formed on the bed surface. The median particle size of the bedload sample, even for the highest measured values of the bedload transport rate, was equal or smaller than the median particle size of bed material. Comparison of the distribution size of the bedload in a medium frequency discharge between the upstream (KRU5) and downstream (KRU1) of the Kurau River (Figure 4.18) indicates that the amount of sediment particles of each fraction size in the upstream is greater than that in the downstream in the same fractions Figure 4.16. 94 30 Upstream Percentage retained (%) 25 20 15 6.44 (m³/s) 5.39 (m³/s) 10 4.6 (m³/s) 5 2.23 (m³/s) 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) 30 Downstream Percentage retained (%) 25 20 15 7.21 (m³/s) 5.58 (m³/s) 10 12.79 (m³/s) 3.18 (m³/s) 5 4.91 (m³/s) 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) Figure 4.16: Bedload frequency distribution size of upstream (KRU5) and downstream (KRU1) of Kurau River 95 100 90 Upstream Percentage passing (%) 80 70 60 50 3.18 (m³/s) 40 4.91 (m³/s) 30 5.58 (m³/s) 7.21 (m³/s) 20 12.79 (m³/s) 10 bed material 0 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) 100 90 Downstream Percentage passing (%) 80 70 60 50 2.23 (m³/s) 40 4.6 (m³/s) 30 5.39 (m³/s) 20 6.44 (m³/s) 10 bed material 0 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) Figure 4.17: Particle size distributions of bedload and bed material samples for Kurau River. 96 100 90 Percentage passing (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 Downstream 10 Upstream 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) Figure 4.18: Comparison of particle size distributions of bedload samples for upstream and downstream of Kurau River in same discharge. 4.4 Evaluation of Bedload Size Distribution with Increasing Shear Stress Figure 4.19 shows the size distribution of bedload sampled at different shear stresses and discharges. Unlike in the following analyses, all material in the upstream and downstream was included, and no upper size truncation was applied. To clarify the emerging pattern, the grain size distributions for all discharges and all samples were demonstrated in each shear stress, and an average size distribution was derived for each shear stress. Individual size classes were classified into five groups to represent fine sand (<0.3 mm), medium sand (0.3 mm to 0.71 mm), very coarse sand (0.71 mm to 2 mm), granules (2 mm to 5.3 mm), and fine pebbles (5.3 mm to 25 mm) from the classification sediment size(Wentworth, 1922) 97 . Table 4.3: The classifiication of seddiments by particle p size according a to the Wentworth scale Sedimeent name pebble Granulle Sand Mud Aggregate name Size range r (Wentworth Class) (metrric) Boulder Cobble Very coarsse gravel Coarse graavel Medium grravel Fine graveel Very fine gravel g Vary coarsse sand Coarse sannd Medium saand Fine sand Very fine sand s Silt Clay Colloid 256 mm m < 64–2556 mm 32–644 mm 16–322 mm 8–16 mm m 4–8 mm 2–4 mm m 1–2 mm m 0.5–11 mm 0.25––0.5 mm 125–2250 µm * scalee −8 < −6 to −8 62.5– –125 µm 3.906 625–62.5 µm m < 3.90 0625 µm < 1 µm -5 to-6 -4 to -5 -3 to -4 -2 to -3 -1 to -2 0 to -1 1 to 0 2 to 1 3 to 2 4 to 3 8 to 4 >8 >10 * = lo og2D/D0 whhere is the Krumbein phhi scale, is the diamete er of the particcle, and is a referencee diameter, eqqual to 1 mm (to ( make the equation e dimeensionally consistent). 100% Percentage passing (%) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 5.33-25 mm 30% 2-5.3 mm 20% 0.771-2 mm 0.33-0.71 mm 10% <00.3 mm 0% Shhear stress (N//m² ) Figure 4.119: Mean bedd load grain size distributtions for shear stress bannds arranged in order of incrreasing shearr stress (upstrream of Kuraau River KR RU5). 98 8 At the lowest flow in the upstream of the Kurau River ( = 5.4 N/m2), around 50% of the load was medium sand. The remainder was dominated by coarse sand (30%) and granules (18%); only 2% accounted for sediment coarser than 5.3 mm. With increasing shear stress, the grain size distribution became coarser. The proportion of bedload in fine sand and medium sand reduced, and the proportion of granules and fine pebbles increased. Interestingly, the proportion of coarse sand did not change significantly over the range of monitoring flows. However, from the point at which shear stress was 13.5 N/m2 and 14.2 N/m2 by increasing the flow, the granule size increased and the transience of fine pebbles was observed. In the upstream, the movement of fine size sand depended largely on its availability within the channel, leading to the decrease in transport rates after the peak discharge. Similar to the upstream at the lowest flow, in the downstream of the Kurau River (Figure 4.20), most of the material load was medium sand and coarse sand, with only 30% granules and approximately 5% fine pebbles. As shear stress increased, the grain size distribution became coarser. The proportion of bedload in fine sand and medium sand decreased, and the proportion of granules and fine pebbles increased, but the amount of coarse sand did not change in all shear stresses. The increase in the movement of sand at high flow and high shear stress in the Kurau River was caused by the unavailability of coarse granules and fine pebbles in the river. As mentioned previously, the Kurau River is a sand–gravel bed river with a mean particle size (d50) in the range of 0.5 mm to 1.9 mm. 99 100% g ppassing g ((%)) Percentage 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 5.3-25 mm 40% 2-5.3 mm 30% 0.71-2 mm 0.3-0.71 mm m 20% <0.3 mm 10% 0% 60.77 34.87 3.70 3 07 3.07 2.82 Shear stress (N N/m²) Figure 4.220: Mean bedd load grain size distributtions for shear stress bannds arranged in order of increaasing shear stress s (downsstream of Kuurau River K KRU1). The changes in i distributtion size frrom fine sand s to coaarser fractiion with increasingg shear stresss can be evvaluated usin ng the diam meter of the bedload at different d percentiles (dx) of thee size distriibution. Fig gure 4.21 shhows how thhe 10th, 16th, 30th, t bedloadd grain sizee distributio ons vary 50th, 60thh, 84th, andd 90th perccentiles of the with shearr stress in thhe upstream m and down nstream of thhe river. Inn each samp pling, the grain size of each perrcentile incrreased gradu ually with thhe increase in shear strress. The increase inn size of cooarse sand became b lesss constant at a high sheaar stress than n that of fine sand. For exampple, d30 incrreased to 0..1 mm in thhe upstream m, but d84 in ncreased from 1.5 mm m at low flow f to 3 mm m at high fllow. In thhe downstreeam, the chaanges increaased but beccame more constant th han those in the upsttream of thee river. To describe beetter the deppendence off grain size on shear stress for each dx, thee trend line is illustrateed in this study. As shoown in Figu ure 4.21, the gradieent of trend line from d10 to d90 off each sampple increasees by increaasing the shear stresss, indicatinng that the size s of the particle p shiffts to becom ming coarseer. In the 100 0 upstream, the trend of fine size (i.e., d10, d16, and d30) is mostly straight, and the trend of coarse size is soft. However, in the downstream, the increasing grain size is steady. The gradients are steeper than those upstream because of the existence of each grain size in the locations. 10 Particle size (mm) Upstream d10 1 d16 d30 d50 d60 d84 d90 0.1 5 7 9 11 13 15 Shear stress( N/m²) 10 Particle size (mm) Downstream d10 d16 1 d30 d50 d60 d84 d90 0.1 0 20 40 60 80 Shear stress( N/m²) Figure 4.21: Variation in grain size at the10th, 16th, 30th, 50th, 84th and 90th percentiles of the bedload size distribution with increasing shear stress. 101 4.5 Fractional Transport Rate The previous analysis demonstrates that bedload grain size varies with increasing shear stress. However, these changes cannot be understood without referring to the size distribution of bed material available for transport in the same section. Wilcock and Southard (1989) normalized the fractional transport rates by dividing all the various fractions by the corresponding proportion f in the sediment i bed to obtain equal mobility. Therefore, the ratio of the fractional transport rate of a given size fraction to the proportion of the given size fraction in the bed sediment is the same for all of size fractions. The fractional transport rate piqb, was determined for each location as a function of the particle size to assess the relative mobility of various size classes for all samples in the locations. The results describe the comparison between bedload and bed material grain size. The fraction of bedload particle size in the ith size range is pi, and qb is the total transport, calculated as the mean for the sampling period. Results of pi/fi for different values of Q were plotted, as the overall transport rate varies with the applied discharges (Figure 4.22 and Figure 4.23). Figure 4.22a and Figure 4.23a show the range of sediment sizes present in all recorded discharges. The degree to which the curves revolve from the horizontal indicates how much the particle size distribution of the bedload departs from that of the bed material (Wilcock and McArdell, 1993). Based on Figure 4.22a, the middle range sediment size has an equal rate of bedload transport and bed material. Fine sediment was loaded less in the upstream and downstream compared with the bed material. However, the fine sediment size 102 loaded more at low flow and less at high flow compared with the bed material distributions because the flow moves finer sediment more easily than coarser sediment from the bed. In contrast, at high flow, the fine sediment loaded less than the coarser sediment. In this condition, the increase in flow increased in shear stress and load of the coarser sediments. 10.00 a Pi/Fi 1.00 2.23 (m³/s) 0.10 4.6 (m³/s) 5.39 (m³/s) 6.44 (m³/s) 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Particle size (mm) 10 Scaled Fractional transport rate (kg/ms) b 10 1 2.23 (m³/s) 4.6 (m³/s) 0.1 5.39 (m³/s) A B 6.44 (m³/s) 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) Figure 4.22: Transport ratio as a function of grain size at upstream (a) the transport ratio Pi/fi where pi is the proportion of each size fraction i present in transported material and fi is the proportion of each size fraction in the bed material (b) the scaled fractional transport rate computed as qbpi/fi, where qb is the sediment transport rate. 103 10.00 a Pi/Fi 1.00 3.18 (m³/s) 0.10 4.91 (m³/s) 5.58 (m³/s) 7.21 (m³/s) 12.79 (m³/s) 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) 10 Scaled Fractional transport rate (kg/ms) b 1 3.18 (m³/s) 0.1 5.58 (m³/s) 4.91 (m³/s) 7.21 (m³/s) B A 12.79 (m³/s) 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) Figure 4.23: Transport ratio as a function of grain size at downstream (a) the transport ratio Pi/fi (b) the scaled fractional transport rate qbpi/fi. The range of 0.7< pi/fi <2 was selected to define the balance condition approximately. This range indicates that the transport proportion of the bedload is the same as that of bed material of this size. The departure from the value pi/fi range was statistically significant compared with that of other sizes. 104 Figure 4.22b and 4.23b demonstrate that the fractional sediment transport ratios for the given flows have a similar range, except the fine sediment side and the coarse sediment side (i.e., outside of lines A and B). Fractions finer than line A on the fine sediment side are relatively rare in the bedload than in the bed material. The condition of equal mobility may seem confusing because transporting the coarser fractions is more difficult than transporting the finer fractions for a flow. Larger particles are more difficult to move because they are heavier. This condition is known as the particle–weight effect in mixed-sized sediment transport. Two important countervailing effects tend to offset the particle–weight effect. First is the hiding–sheltering effect, in which larger particles are more exposed to the flow, and thus a greater fluid force is exerted on them. However, smaller particles tend to be sheltered from the forces of the flow by the larger particles (Einstein, 1950 ). Second is the rollability effect, in which larger particles can roll easily over a bed of smaller particles but not the other way around. The relative importance of the particle– weight's effect and the combination of the hiding–sheltering' s effect and the roll ability's effect are essential factors in mixed-sized sediment transport (Southard, 2006). The hiding -sheltering and rollability effect usually occurred on the armored bed surface. Armoring is a small-scale sorting process that results in a thin layer of coarse grains at the bed surface (Sutherland, 1987). The presence of an armor layer on the bed surface is a common phenomenon in rivers. Two types of armor layers can be distinguished: stable armor layers and dynamic armor layers. Dynamic armor layers develop if the bed shear stress is large enough to transport both the fine and the coarse grain-size fractions (involving a continuous supply of sediment from upstream) and the innate difference in mobility between coarse and fine grains causes the fine grains to be winnowed from the bed surface, overexposing the coarse 105 grains on the bed surface. Dynamic armor layers may disappear at high bed shear stresses, but this is not necessarily the case (Gomez, 1995; Wilcock and DeTemple, 2005). The dynamic armored bed condition at the downstream of Kurau River can be exist as a results of frequency curve of discharges and an extended period of flows over a mixed sand and gravel bed. It is described by the distribution size of bed material samples in different discharges and the condition of equal mobility in downstream of Kurau River. Therefore, because of this dynamic armored bed with coarse sediment the fine sediment is relatively rare in the bedload than in the bed material. The change in the range of fractional transport rate, as a function of particle size to assess the relative mobility of various sizes of classes, shows that fractional transport rates decreases with the decrease in sediment loading in the first part (i.e., left side of line A). The reason is that the fine fraction is present in the bedload because of the overpass in the suspension at high flows, not at low flows. In the second part (i.e., between lines A and B), the fractional transport rates are approximately equal. Sediments are present in the load in proportions similar to those present in the bed. In the third part (i.e., right side of line B) in the coarse material, the fractional transport ratio decreases with the increase in particle size and moves in the partial transport system. The horizontal part of the data points (i.e., between lines A and B) indicates that the transport of variously sized sediment particles approaches equal mobility. 106 The transported bedload is composed approximately of the same value of sediment as bed material. The fractional transport ratio depends regularly on the proportion in the bed in the Kurau River and the transport rate of fraction independent of the particle size. In comparison, the range of fractions in equal mobility in the upstream within 0.4<dx<4.5 was found to be greater than that in the downstream equal mobility range (0.55< dx < 3). This finding demonstrates the stable condition of sediment transport of the upstream compared with that in the downstream. The low amount of Pi/fi in the downstream shows the sedimentation in the section caused by the geomorphology of the Kurau River in the downstream. 4.6 4.6.1 Performance of Bedload Transport Equation Assessment of Existing Equation for Kurau River Predicted bedload transport rates by Meyer-Peter and Muller (1948), Rottner (1959), Chang (Cheng, 2002), Julien (2002), Wong and Parker (2006) and van Rijn (1993) were compared with observed values from Kurau River. The performances of the equations were measured using the discrepancy ratio (DR), which is the ratio of the predicted bedload to measured bedload (DR = predicted/measured). A discrepancy ratio of 0.5-2.0 (0.5<DR <2.0) was used as a criterion in the evaluation of the selected equations. Based on the relationship within measured and predicted values the formulas in most cases performed disconcert and they over predicted and under predicted of the measured values (Table 4.4). All equations produced an average discrepancy ratio out of range 0.5-2. Figure 4.24 depicts comparisons of bedload transport predictions and measurements from Kurau River study sites. 107 Table 4.4: Summary of bedload transport equations assessment Discrepancy ratio between 0.5 and 2 No data % 1 3.33 No data Coefficient of determination, (R2 ) Average Discrepancy ratio (DR ) Rottner 48 0.70 7.36 MPM Wong 48 48 0.38 0.09 0.11 9.10 1 8 4.00 37.78 Chang 48 0.02 16.27 6 18.18 Julien 48 0.07 5.35 6 18.18 vanRijn 48 0.03 33.40 2 6.45 Equation 10 Rottner Meyer-Peter and Muller Predicted Tb(kg/s) 1 Predicted Tb(kg/s) 1 0.1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 0.01 0.1 Measured Tb(kg/s) 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) 10 wong julien Predicted Tb(kg/s) Predicted Tb(kg/s) 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb(kg/s) Measured Tb(kg/s) 10 10 Chang Van Rijn 1 Predicted Tb(kg/s) Predicted Tb(kg/s) 10 0.1 0.01 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb(kg/s) 10 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb(kg/s) 10 Figure 4.24: Comparison of predicted and measured bedload rates for Kurau River 108 4.6.2 Prediction of Bedload Transport in Kurau River with Nonlinear Regression Method Blizard and Wohl (1998) reported the relationship between bedload transport and hydraulic variables, thus, multiplication of the hydraulic variables in the form of power law based on Equation (3-12) and (3-13) can better describe the behaviour of the bedload transport rate (Tb). Figure 4.25 shows the bedload rating curve and fit of this function at study sites. Power function of flow discharge, Shields’ parameter (θ), median grain size (d50) and the channel gradient assumed as the variables of the bedload transport rate function in the Kurau River sites. The average flow rate and the sediment movement are strongly coupled in a highly non-linear manner (Wang et al., 2011). Therefore new equation was extracted based on the relationship between intensity bedload rate and hydraulic data where parameters α and in terms of Bed load Transport rate Tb(kg/s) channel characteristics were evaluated quantitatively by nonlinear regression method. 10 y = 0.144x1.1 R² = 0.88 1 KRU1 KRU2 0.1 KRU3 KRU4 0.01 KRU5 A1 0.001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 Discharge Q (m3/s) 10 Figure 4.25: Bedload rating curve along Kurau River 109 The nonlinear regression method was used to assess the relationship between each independent variable and the bedload transport rate. The coefficients obtained to produce a significant relationship between bedload transport and other parameters. Partial R2 values were calculated for each variable included in the models. Based on equation (3.7) several runs were performed with various initial settings and the performance of the developed equation was analysed and calibrated for each run. The best value estimated parameters are listed in Table 4.5. Table 4.6 shows the statistical analysis of experimental data and correlation coefficient (R2). Table 4.5: Parameter estimates of experimental data based on equation (3-14) Parameter m n i h Estimate 2.46×10-8 1.81×10-6 1.000 1.000 Std. Error 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 95% Confidence Interval Lower Bound Upper Bound 2.461×10-8 2.462×10-8 -1.201×10-5 1.564×10-5 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 Table 4.6: Statistical analysis of experimental data based on equation (3-14) Source Sum of Squares df Mean Squares Regression 0.000 4 0.000 Residual 0.000 32 0.000 Uncorrected Total 0.000 36 Corrected Total 0.000 35 Dependent variable: qb a. R squared = 1 - (Residual Sum of Squares) / (Corrected Sum of Squares) = 1. Based on the first accurate analysis the value of n was rounded to 0.2, h=1 where simplify the final approximation equation, the value i=1.00 applied to the equation. Equation (4-1) was entered as a base for the next run of nonlinear regression with the new adjusted invariables. Table 4.7 shows the briefly parameter 110 estimate for coefficient and Table 4.8 shows that this equation is significant with the R2 value of 0.948. b  m.q0.2 . .Dgr s 0  Gs 1 .g.d503  (4-1) Table 4.7: Parameter estimates of experimental data base on equation (4-1) Parameter Estimate Std. Error m 3×10-8 0.000 95% Confidence Interval Lower Bound 2.93×10-8 Upper Bound 3.06×10-8 Table 4.8: Statistical analysis of experimental data base on equation (4-1) Source Sum of Squares df Mean Squares Regression 0.000 4 0.000 Residual 0.000 32 0.000 Uncorrected Total 0.000 36 Corrected Total 0.000 35 Dependent variable: qb a. R squared = 1 - (Residual Sum of Squares) / (Corrected Sum of Squares) = 0.98. The unit of parameters follow the SI unit. Therefore, the value of Tb was found in the same scale of the other variables in SI unit (kg/s). The nonlinear equation was  Gs 1 .g.d503  derived from the analysis expressed in equation (4-2). b  3108.q0.2 . .Dgr  s0 (4-2) The predictive abilities of the NLR equation (4-2) are assessed through validation the model by the set of data of the Kurau River of present study and previous study (DID, 2009). The assessment of Equation (4-2) is shown in Table 4.9 with acceptable average discrepancy ratio of 1 ,and Figure 4.26 shows the best fitting model of total data with acceptable R2= 0.89. 111 Table 4.9: Assessment of NLR equation Data No Data Coefficient of Average determination, Discrepancy ratio (R2 ) (0.5<DR <0.2) Present study 48 0.98 0.85 DID 2009 20 0.82 1.16 Total 60 0.90 1.00 predicted Tb (kg/s)~[Eq 4-2] 10 1 0.1 Present study DID 2009 0.01 0.01 0.1 Measured Tb(kg/s) 1 10 Figure 4.26: Validation of NLR equation in Kurau River 4.6.3 Prediction of Bedload Transport in Kurau River by Genetic Programming Multiple sets of training, testing, and validation data were randomly selected and numerous runs were performed with various model setting such as number of generation and genes and depth of trees by the trial and error. From 69 available data 50% were used for training (present study) and 25 % were used for testing and 25 % 112 (DID, 2009) for validation. Consequently, the models were selected according to statistical criteria such as R2, RMSE, and MAE. The best relationship was selected from the optimum R2, RMSE and MAE for each training, test and validation to prevent from over fitting of the model by selecting the high R2 of the training. The following relationship was selected to model the bedload transport: Tb= 0.09427 Q + 35.81 S + 0.06682 Q (d50 + θ) - 38.02 Q S0 - 0.06172 (4-3) where Tb is the bedload transport rate (kg/s), d50 median grain size (mm), S0 water surface slope (m/m) and θ Shield's parameter. Figure 4.27 shows the expression of genes for GP formulation. 113 Gene 1and base term * C * C S Q * Gene * C + Q θ d50 Gene * S C * Gene + C * Q * C S C Figure 4.27: Expression genes for GP formulation The accuracy of the developed equation is examined by plotting the measured versus predicted values of bedload rate for training, testing, and all data as shown in Figure 4.28, Figure 4.29 and Figure 4.31, respectively. The values of R2, RMSE, and MAE are equal to 0.96, 0.083 and 0.067, respectively, for training sets (Figure 4.28) and 0.78, 0.159 and 0.099, respectively, for testing sets (Figure 4.29). 114 10 Predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.96 RMSE=0.083 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.28: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for the training data set. The predictive abilities of the GP equation (4-3) were assessed through modle validation using Kurau River data sets of the present study and previous study (DID, 2009). The measured versus predicted values of bedload rate for validation set is illustrated in Figure 4.31. The values of R2, RMSE, and MAE for this data set were obtained equal to 0.89, 0.110, and 0.082, respectively. The R2 is equal to 0.90 while RMSE and MAE are equal to 0.116 and 0.080 respectively for all data sets (Figure 4.31). In fact, the evolved model has achieved higher accuracy for both testing and validation sets in order to confirm that enough generalization obtained. 115 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.78 RMSE=0.159 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.29: Measured versus predicted values of Tbfor testing data set. 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.89 RMSE=0.110 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.30: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for validation data set. 116 10 predicted Tb (kg/s)~[Eq 4-3] R²=0.90 RMSE=0.116 1 0.1 Present study DID 2009 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.31: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for all data set. 4.6.4 Combination of ANN and GP The combination of GP and ANN was suggested for best prediction result for predicting the sediment transport (Singh et al. (2007). The combination of GP and ANN was performed for the modelling of bedload transport rate in Kurau River. First the bedload transport rate was calculated using GP Equation (4-3), and then the outcome was given as input to the ANN, which consisted of one input node, one output node and 10 hidden layers. Figure 4.32 shows the test result in the form of a scatter plot of predicted against measured bedload transport. The underlying error measures are R2 = 0.92, RMSE = 0.11 kg/s. The results show the combination of GP-ANN can be applied to provide predictions of bedload transport rate which performed better than GP application. As an alternative, a neural network consisting 117 of the input of four variables (Q, S, d50, θ) and one output Tb was trained and validated. For this purpose, the data were shuffled and divided in two parts; one part of them was used in the learning process by random, the other part was used for the verification. Often this can be done in more than one way by changing the percentage of data for training process and verification. Finally from 69 available data 50% were used for training and 25 % were used for testing and validation. The number of neurons in the hidden layer was determined by calibration using several computer run tests on random data sets. 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.92 RMSE=0.11 1 0.1 Present study DID 2009 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.32: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by GP-ANN The best fit of the obtained and given data for bedload transport rate is shown in Figure 4.33 to Figure 4.36 where the number of neurons in the hidden layer is 15. The correlation of determination, root mean square error and mean absolute error of 118 training, testing and validation of modelling shows in Table 4.10. The result shows the acceptable network obtain but not as well as GP. Table 4.10: Summary of results of ANN Data Percentage of R2 RMSE MAE total data Training 50% 0.9 0.16 0.088 Testing 25% 0.81 0.16 0.013 Validation 25% 0.9 0.10 0.085 Total 100% 0.86 0.15 0.1 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.90 RMSE=0.16 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.33: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for training data set The outcome of the ANN was calibrated with GP and the result shows an expected success with improving the R2, and the indicating errors (R2= 0.94, 119 RMSE=0.1 and MAE= 0.075). The plot scatter of measured against the predicted bedload transport rate is shown in Figure 4.37. The combined ANN-GP model results thus appear to be more acceptable than the single ANN or GP models. The combination shows that the ANN first carries out a good function approximation; thereby GP was made the search of an optimum solution easier and improve the accuracy of the single ANN and GP results. 10 Predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.81 RMSE=0.16 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.34: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for testing data set 120 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.90 RMSE=0.1 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.35: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for validation data set 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.86 RMSE=0.15 1 0.1 Present study DID 2009 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.36: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for total data set 121 10 predicted Tb (kg/s) R²=0.95 RMSE=0.10 1 0.1 Present study DID 2009 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.37: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN-GP 4.6.5 Comparison of Bedload Equations for Kurau River Many measures for model evaluation have been documented in the literature of the sediment transport application. Several conventional measures such as correlation coefficient (r or R2), index of agreement (d), root mean squared error RMSE, and so on, were critically reviewed by (Legates and McCabe, 1999), and suggested that it is inappropriate to use only correlation coefficient for model evaluation. The authors suggested a complete assessment of model performance should include at least one ‘goodness-of-fit’ or relative error measure like d and at least one absolute error measure (e.g., RMSE or MAE) with additional supporting information. Accordingly, two conventional evaluation criteria, RMSE (root mean square error) and U (inequality coefficient), are used in the present study to measure the performances of models based on training data and testing data. 122 RMSE provides a quantitative indication of the model absolute error in terms of the units of the variable, with the characteristic that larger errors receive greater attention than smaller ones. This characteristic can help eliminate approaches with significant errors (Wu et al., 2008). The inequality coefficient (U) was used to determine how accurate a bedload equation predicted the actual value of bedload discharge in the Kurau River of similar bedload-transport conditions. The inequality coefficient (U) is defined as: U 2 1 n  n  i 1 Tbo i  2 1 n    i 1 Tbp   i n  rmse 1 2 1 2 (4-4) where RMSE is the root-mean-square error, define as 2   n  Tbo  Tbp i   RSME   i 1   n    MAE  n i 1 1 2 (4-5) Tboi  Tbpi (4-6) n where Tbi is the measured bed load rate, Tbo is the predicted bedload rate, i denotes a given flow, and n is the number of flows. The scaling of the denominator is such that U always falls between 0 and 1. If U = 0, then Tbi= Tbo and there is a perfect fit. If U = 1, then Tbo  Tbp and the equation lacks a predictive value. For the purpose of this study, the GP, NLR methods can represent the measured data when U is very small and closed in 0. For the Meyer-Peter and Muller, Rottner, Wong, Chang, Julien and vanRijn equations, U near to 1.This demonstrates that the predicted value does not fit the measured bedload (Table 4.11). 123 The results in Table 4.11 show that the observed transport data are not very well predicted by the existing bedload transport formulae. Furthermore, the observed transport data are best fitted with GP, ANN based and nonlinear regression functions. Figure 4.38 shows the comparison of the bedload rating curve with different equation and methods. Figure 4.39 demonstrates observed versus predicted transport rate from Kurau River study sites, and indicates that, predicted values by GP, GPANN, ANN, ANN-GP and NLR methods are typically within an order of magnitude of observed values. However the ANN-GP model shows a better performance with 0.95 as the correlation coefficient, but the function of NLR has the minimum errors and is fundamental and not complex. Table 4.11: Comparison of bedload transport equations for Kurau River Models Coefficient of Root mean determination, square error (R2) (RMSE) Mean Absolute error, (MAE) Inequality Equation coefficient number (U) NLR 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 GP 0.90 0.083 0.08 0.07 (4-2) (4-3) ANN 0.86 0.15 0.10 0.08 - ANN-GP 0.95 0.10 0.07 0.09 - GP_ANN 0.92 0.11 0.07 0.08 - Rottner 0.84 2.25 1.95 0.66 (3-2) MPM 0.38 0.61 0.46 0.91 (3-1) Wong 0.10 3.3 1.71 0.81 (3-5) Chang 0.02 4.64 2.68 0.85 (3-3) Julien 0.07 2.09 1.22 0.72 (3-4) vanRijn 0.03 5.96 3.99 0.87 (3-6) 124 Calculated bedload Tb (kg/s) Present study(R² = 0.89) NLR (R² = 0.98) GP (R² = 0.90) Rottner (R² = 0.76) MPM (R² = 0.35) chang (R² = 0.22) Julien (R² = 0.18) Wong (R² = 0.19) Van Rijn (R² =0.2) 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Discharge Q ( mᵌ/s) Figure 4.38: Comparison of bedload rating curve for Kurau River predicted Tb (kg/s) 10 1 GP 0.1 GP-ANN ANN ANN-GP NLR 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.39: Comparisons of predicted and measured bedload rates for Kurau River 125 4.7 Development of Bedload Equation for Small Rivers (Kurau, Lui, Semenyih) Sediment transport in small streams is diverse and highly variable due to the various characteristics of channel morphology. The hydraulic geometry of channels in small rivers is affected by various parameters. Each channel section is in many ways unique because it is influenced by its own particle history of flow conditions, sediment transport and distribution of channel roughness elements, and management activities, all of which should be considered in bedload transport estimation (Beschta and Platts, 1986). As shown in Figure 4.40, the bedload transport rate for these rivers has good relation with discharge in power function. All these rivers can be represented by the following relationship; Tb=0.164 Q1.314 with R2=0.926 where Tb is the bedload transport rate (kg/s) and Q is the flow discharge (m3/s). Bedload transport rateTb(kg/s) 10 y = 0.17x1.31 R² = 0.95 1 0.1 Present study (Kurau) Ariffin 2004(Lui, Semenyih) 0.01 0.1 1 Discharge Q (m³/s) Figure 4.40: Bedload rating curve for three rivers 126 10 4.7.1 Assessment of Existing Equations for Small Rivers (Kurau, Lui and Semenyih) The predicted bedload transport rates by Meyer-Peter and Muller (1948), Rottner (1959), Chang (Cheng, 2002), Julien (2002), Wong and Parker (2006) and vanRijn (1993) were compared with observed values with a log10 transformation applied to all equations. A discrepancy ratio of 0.5-2.0 (0.5<DR <2.0) was used as a criterion in the evaluation of the selected equations (Table 4.12). The results of the comparisons between bedload transport predictions and measurements from the study sites are shown in Figure 4.41. Based on the relationship between measured and predicted values, the formula results were disconcerted, and the measured values were overpredicted and underpredicted. Table 4.12: Summary of bedload transport equations assessment for three rivers Equation No Data Coefficient of determination, R2 Average Discrepancy ratio DR Discrepancy ratio between 0.5 and 2 No data % MPM 136 0.35 0.10 1 0.68 Rottner 136 0.35 3.23 45 30.82 Chang 136 0.22 2.54 58 39.72 Wong 136 0.19 11.88 54 36.99 Julien 136 0.18 13.72 20 13.72 vanRijn 136 0.085 0.49 15 10.27 127 10 1.000 Predicted Tb(kg/s) Rottner Meyer-Peter and Muller Predicted Tb (kg/s) 1 0.100 0.1 0.01 0.010 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb(kg/s) 10 0.001 wong 10 julien 100 Predicted Tb (kg/s) 10 Predicted Tb (kg/s) 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb (kg/s) 1 0.1 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 0.001 Measured Tb (kg/s) 10 10 10 VanRijn Predicted Tb(kg/s) Chang Predicted Tb (kg/s) 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb (kg/s) 1 0.1 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Measured Tb (kg/s) 0.01 10 0.1 1 Measured Tb(kg/s) 10 Figure 4.41: Performance of existing bedload transport formula in Kurau, Lui and Semenyih rivers. 128 4.7.2 Nonlinear Regression Result for Small Rivers (Kurau, Lui and Semenyih) Based on the section 4.6.2 and the relationship between the variables, the following function as same as a function for Kurau River is suggested for data of small streams: b  m.qn . i .Dgr h s 0  Gs 1 .g.d503  (4-7) where the following hydraulic parameters were used in the regression analysis: S0, water surface slope, θ, Shields parameter, q, stream discharge per unit width (water discharge was calculated for each increment, and stream discharge was obtained by summing the individual increments) Dgr, is dimensionless grain size. Based on Equation (4-7), several runs were performed with various initial settings for power and constant values, and the performance of the developed equation was analysed for each run. The best values of estimated parameters are listed in Table 4.13. Table 4.13: Parameter estimates of experimental data based on equation (4-7) Parameter Estimate Std. Error m n i h 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.47E-8 0.001 1.001 0.998 95% Confidence Interval Lower Bound Upper Bound 2.445E-8 2.503E-8 -0.002 0 .004 0.999 1.002 0.995 1.001 Based on the first accurate analysis, the value of n was rounded to 0.1, h = 1, where the final approximation equation was simplified by applying the value i = 1.00 129 to the equation. Equation (4-8) was entered as a base for the second run of NLR with the new adjusted invariables. Table 4.14 shows the brief parameter estimate for the coefficient. Table 4.15 shows that this prediction is significant with the R2 value of s 0.99. b  m.q0.1. .Dgr 0  Gs 1 .g.d503  (4-8) Table 4.14: Parameter estimates of experimental data based on equation (4-8) Parameter m Estimate 2.71E-8 Std. Error 0.000 95% Confidence Interval Lower Bound Upper Bound 2.699E-8 2.730E-8 Table 4.15: Statistical analysis of experimental data base on equation (4-7) Source Sum of Squares Regression 0.000 Residual 0.000 Uncorrected Total 0.000 Corrected Total 0.000 df 4 160 164 Mean Squares 0.000 0.000 163 Dependent variable: qb a. R squared = 1 - (Residual Sum of Squares) / (Corrected Sum of Squares) = 0.995. The unit of the parameters follow the SI unit. Therefore, the value of Tb was found in the same scale as the other variables in SI unit (kg/s). The nonlinear equation was derived from the analysis expressed in Equation (4-9). b  2.71108 q0.1. .Dgr s 0  Gs 1 .g.d503  130 (4-9) The predictive abilities of the NLR, Equation (4-9) were assessed by the total data gathered from the Kurau, Lui, and Semenyih rivers. Figure 4.42 shows the best fitting model of data by acceptable R2 = 0.99. Predicted Tb (kg/s)~[Eq 4-9] 10 1 0.1 Present study (Kurau) Ariffin 2004 (Lui, Semenyih) 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.42: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for total data set modelled by NLR 4.7.3 Artificial Neural Network Results It is well known that the bedload transport predictions are of higher accuracy when more measured data are taken into consideration. The best configuration may be determined by the trial and error method. For this purpose, the data were shuffled and divided in two parts; one part of them was used in the learning process by random, the other part was used for the verification. Also, the data from all rivers were uniformly distributed among the training and test data sets. Often this can be done in more than one way by changing the percentage of data for training process and verification. Finally from 190 available data 60% were used for training and 131 40 % were used for testing and validation. The number of neurons in the hidden layer was determined by calibration using several computer run tests on random data sets. There is no generally accepted standard for evaluating model performance for ANN model performance. The common procedure is the use of the coefficient of determination R2, when evaluating the goodness of fit of models. The best fit of the model obtained and given data for bedload transport rate is shown in Figure 4.43 to Figure 4.46, where the number of neurons in the hidden layer is 15. Figure 4.46 shows the verification between the measured and estimated values for these new patterns, which clearly show that the linear coefficient of correlation is very high between the observed data and the values predicted through neural nets. The values are 0.99 and 0.93 in training and testing. Overall, the linear coefficient of correlation is 0.978. 10 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) R²=0.99 RMSE=0.047 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Measured bedload tranport rateTb(kg/s) 132 10 Figure 4.43: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for the training data set 10 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) R²=0.93 RMSE=0.114 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured bedload tranport rateTb(kg/s) Figure 4.44: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for testing data set Estimated bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) 10 1 0.1 R²=0.95 RMSE=0.118 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Measured bedload tranport rateTb(kg/s) 133 10 Figure 4.45: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN for validation data set 10 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) R²=0.97 RMSE=0.161 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured bedload tranport rateTb(kg/s) Figure 4.46: Measured versus predicted values of Tb by ANN with for total data set. 4.8 Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis was carried out to identify the dominant parameters influencing the bedload transport. Table 4.16 shows the result of the sensitivity analysis for 5 parameters with the reduced data set. In the process of the sensitivity analysis, the parameters were excluded one by one from the list of input variables. Then, the parameter with the least relative importance compared to all of the other parameters is extracted from the model construction, based on the highest correlation coefficient. This procedure is repeated for all parameters one by one. In the first stage, the least effective parameter was determined to be P ((1-Gs).g.d503), since the highest correlation is obtained when P is excluded from the input list. Therefore, in the second stage, P 134 was omitted, and the analysis repeated for the rest of the variables. In Table 4.15, the results also are given for different hidden nodes, and it can be seen for getting better results, increasing the number of hidden nodes is not necessary. In summary, the parameters can be listed from the most effective to the least effective as follows: Q, d50, θ, S0 and P. Table 4.16: Sensitivity analysis results for parameters Model parameters Hidden nod 5 Hidden node 10 Train R2 Test R2 Q,S,d50,θ,P 0.99 0.99 0.16 0.98 0.98 Q, S, d50, θ 0.98 0.97 0.18 0.99 S, d50, θ, P 0.97 0.93 0.177 Q, S, θ, P 0.99 0.97 Q, d50, θ, P 0.98 Q, d50, S, P 0.98 RMSE Train Test RMS R2 R2 E Model with variables Q, S,d50, θ Hidden node 15 Train R2 Test R2 RMSE 0.16 0.98 0.99 0.17 0.98 0.16 0.99 0.99 0.17 0.98 0.96 0.162 0.97 0.89 0.21 0.155 0.99 0.94 0.18 0.99 0.96 0.186 0.98 0.19 0.99 0.98 0.201 0.99 0.98 0.176 0.96 0.22 0.98 0.97 0.198 0.98 0.98 0.195 Model with variables Q, S, d50, θ S, d50, θ 0.91 0.91 0.3 0.87 0.89 0.335 0.91 0.93 0.3 Q, S, θ 0.98 0.98 0.202 0.98 0.97 0.184 0.99 0.96 0.184 Q, S, d50 0.97 0.97 0.2 0.98 0.97 0.21 0.98 0.98 0.18 Q, d50, θ 0.98 0.98 0.196 0.99 0.98 0.176 0.99 0.98 0.174 Model with variables Q, d50, θ Q, d50 0.98 0.98 0.205 0.98 0.98 0.194 0.98 0.97 0.194 Q, θ 0.98 0.97 0.206 0.99 0.97 0.185 0.97 0.97 0.194 d50, θ 0.88 0.94 0.3 0.92 0.87 0.31 0.93 0.89 0.29 Model with variables Q, d50 Q 0.92 0.94 0.203 0.92 0.94 0.199 0.97 0.94 0.202 d50 0.11 0.42 0.450 0.15 0.36 0.460 0.16 0.72 0.466 135 4.9 Genetic Programming Result Multiple sets of training, testing, and validation data were randomly selected and numerous runs were performed with various model setting such as number of generation and genes and depth of trees by the trial and error. A GPTIPS run with the following settings was performed: population size = 500, number of generations = 10, tournament size = 7 (with lexicographic selection pressure), Dmax = 3, Gmax = 4, Elitism = 0.01% of the population, function node set = (plus, minus, times, protected). As same as Kurau River four input parameters as variable data, including discharge (Q), water surface slope (s0), mean grain size (d50), and Shields parameter for the initiation of motion (θ), as well as the bed load rate (Tb) as invariable data were used to estimate the bedload transport rate, where Tb = f (Q, S0, d50, θ) (4-10) The performance of the developed equation was analysed for each run. Consequently, the best models were selected according to statistical criteria such as R2, root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). The best relationship was selected from the optimum R2 for each training, test, and validation to prevent from over fitting of the model by selecting the high R2 of the training. The following relationship was selected to model the bedload transport: Tb= 0.2269 Q + 0.131d50 + 0.0606 θ - 0.6375Q S0 - 0.2514 (4-11) where Tb is the bedload transport rate (kg/s), Q is discharge m3/s, θ is Shield's parameter and S0 is water surface slope . 136 The precision of the developed equation is examined by plotting the measured versus predicted values of bedload rate for training and testing. All of the data are shown in Figure 4.47 to Figure 4.48. The values of R2, RMSE, and MAE are equal to 0.97, 0.079, and 0.063, respectively, for the training sets (Figure 4.47), and 0.90, 0.13, and 0.098, respectively, for the testing sets (Figure 4.48). For all of the data sets, R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 0.11, and MAE = 0.085 (Figure 4.49). Figure 4.50 illustrates the measured versus predicted values of bedload rate for the validation data set. The obtained values of R2, RMSE, and MAE for this data set were equal to 0.92, 0.124, and 0.093, respectively. In fact, the evolved model achieves high accuracy for both testing and validation sets in order to confirm that enough generalization was obtained. 10 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) R²=0.97 RMSE=0.08 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Measured bedload transport rateTb(kg/s 10 Figure 4.47: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for the training data set. 137 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) 10 R²=0.90 RMSE=0.14 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured bedload transport rate Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.48: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for testing data set 10 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) R²=0.93 RMSE=0.11 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured bedload transport rateTb(kg/s Figure 4.49: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for total dataset 138 10 Estimated bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) R²=0.92 RMSE=0.12 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured bedload transport rateTb(kg/s) Figure 4.50: Measured versus predicted values of Tb for validation dataset 4.9.1 Comparison of Bedload Equations for Small Streams The results in Table 4.17 show that the observed bedload transport data do not have a consistent relationship with the performances of the bedload transport formulas; otherwise, the observed bedload transport data best fitted by the GP and ANN estimates and the NLR function result. The predicted bedload transport rates from the GP method, ANN, and NLR were compared to the observed values. Comparison of the bedload rating curve for different formula and methods is shown in Figure 4.51. 139 Table 4.17: Bedload equations assessment Coefficient of determination R2 Root mean square error RMSE Mean absolute error MAE Inequality coefficient U Equation number GP 0.93 0.12 0.09 0.11 (4-11) NLR 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 (4-9) ANN 0.97 0.16 0.11 0.09 - MPM 0.35 0.94 0.76 0.83 (3-1) Rottner 0.35 1.54 1.21 0.45 (3-2) Chang 0.22 1.61 1.08 0.51 (3-3) Wong 0.19 0.91 0.64 0.41 (3-5) Julien 0.18 1.02 0.83 1.00 (3-4) vanRijn 0.085 0.88 0.68 0.87 (3-6) Models Figure 4.52 provides the observed versus predicted transport rate of the small rivers, and indicates that the predicted values by GP, ANN, and NLR are typically within an order of magnitude of observed values. The ANN model actually shows a better performance with a 0.97 coefficient of determination. A major advantage of the GP and ANN approach to bedload transport modelling is the automatic ability of the GP and ANN to select input variables that contribute beneficially to the model and to ignore those that do not, and also the GP does not assume any a priori functional form of the solution but in NLR, the model structure is specified in advance (which is in general difficult to do) and the model coefficients are determined. 140 Predicted Tb(kg/s) Present Study (R=0.92) GP (R² = 0.93) NLR(R² = 0.88) ANN(R² = 0.84) Rottner (R² =0.83) MPM (R² =0.48) Chang (R² =0.18) Julien(R² =0.14) Wong (R² =0.13) VanRijn(R² =0.06 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 Discharge Q( m3/s) 10 Figure 4.51: Comparison of bedload rating curve for small streams Predicted Tb(kg/s) 10 1 0.1 NLR GP ANN 0.01 0.01 0.1 1 10 Measured Tb(kg/s) Figure 4.52: Comparisons of predicted and measured bedload rates for small streams by different models 141 5 CHAPTER 5 RIVER CONFLUENCE SEDIMENT TRANSPORT MODELLING 5.1 Introduction Modelling river systems by using computers is a powerful tool for river engineering, habitat evaluation and flood forecasting. Accordingly modifications can be tested on the model before they are constructed. As mentioned in site description Kurau River is important as main domestic water supply and main sources for irrigating the paddy areas in some part of the state of Perak. Human activity includes the recently railway construction, changes in land use and river sand mining make changes to river morphology and perturbation in river equilibrium. Changes in the sediment load affect the efficiency of reservoir as most of the transported sediment in the river will be deposited in the reservoir and this problem require the river management at the upstream of river such as controlling the sediment transport and consideration changes in river morphology. The different morphology and geometry in each section of the river provide the different potential of sediment transport where need detail studies. The Kurau sub basin is consisting of two main river tributaries namely Kurau River and Ara River. These two rivers join together at Pondok Tanjung. River channel confluence morphology needs to be studied because it is an important and complex place due to rapid changes in sediment discharge, flow structure, and channel morphology. The changes usually occur to accommodate the convergence of sediment and water from combining tributaries. 142 Various alternative techniques have been developed to provide quantitative predictions of the complexity of the flow movement and its interaction with its boundaries. Modelling is one such technique. In recent year multi-dimensional computer programs for computing several different processes such as sediment transport, water quality, and water surface profiles etc has been developed. These multi-dimensional programs may be twodimensional, three dimensional with hydrostatic pressure assumption, fully threedimensional. Two- and three-dimensional models are based on the detailed topography survey, bed roughness data and boundary conditions such as water level and discharge. In this part of the study the sediment flow in Ara and Kurau confluence was simulated by SSIIM, three-dimensional software to evaluate the changes in bedload transport, bed morphology and bed material in channel confluence. 5.2 SSIIM SSIIM is an abbreviation for Sediment Simulation In Intakes with Multiblock option. The program is designed for use generally in research for hydraulic, river, sedimentation and environmental engineering. It solves the Navier-Stokes equations in a three-dimensional non-orthogonal grid, using the "k-ε" model for turbulence, the control volume method with the SIMPLE algorithm and it solves the convectiondiffusion equation for several parameters, including sediments (Olsen, 2011). 143 The advantage of using SS SIIM, comp pared to othher CFD proograms is th hat it can model seddiment transport with a movable bed in a complex c geoometry. SSIIM can compute time dependdent changes in bed and d surface levels employy multiple sediment s sizes and can handle wetting andd drying off cells resultting in a chhanging grid d (Olsen, 2011). Thiis makes the program ideal i for thee modelling to be done in this stud dy. 5.3 ns SSIIIM version Therre are two different versions v of SSIIM: SS SIIM1 and SSIIM2. The main differencee between the t two verrsions is th hat SSIIM1 uses a strructured grid (cells (nodes) arre arrangedd in rows and column ns (Figure 5.1)) whille SSIIM2 uses an unstructurred grid (ceells and nodes are nott arranged in rows annd columns (Figure 5.2)). In an a unstructuured 3D gridd, each celll will have one index, it is not possible to identifyingg of the grrid locationn by two in ndex whichh is random mly generatted. The inflow andd outflow areas a are sppecified by the use of the graphiccal discharg ge editor while thiss editor doees not exist in SSIIM1 version. Also A in SSIIIM2 generaating and connectingg multiple blocks b is poossible by the t grid ediitor. The strructured griid editor just workss on one bloock. Fiigure 5.1: Strructured gridd 144 4 Figure 5.2: Unstructured grid SSIIM 1 is easier to use, but cannot apply wetting and drying of cells (Olsen, 2011). The main strength of the unstructured version is capability of modelling complex geometry and its algorithms for wetting and drying. For the simulations to be done in this study, only SSIIM 2 will be used due to the complex geometry and wetting and drying of cells. In the rest of this thesis, when the name SSIIM is used, it is referring to the Windows version of SSIIM 2. 5.4 Theoretical Basis Brief theoretical background of the model is discussed below. The SSIIM program solves the Navier-Stokes equations with the k-epsilon model for velocity and turbulence on a three-dimensional almost general non-orthogonal grid. A control volume method is used for the power-law scheme or the second order upwind scheme together with the discretization. The SIMPLE method is used for the pressure coupling. The velocity field in the geometry obtains with an implicit solver. The convection-diffusion equations for different sediment sizes are solved by using the velocities. 145 5.4.1 Water Flow Calculation The Navier-Stokes equations for turbulent flow are solved to obtain the water velocity in a general three-dimensional geometry. The Navier-Stokes equations for constant density and non-compressible flow can be modelled as follow:  Ui Ui 1   Ui   Pij   ui u j t  xi   xi  (5-1) The left most term on the left side is transient term and the next term is convective term. The first term on the right hand side is pressure term and the next term on the right side of the equation is the Reynolds stress term. A turbulence model is required for evaluating this term. The transient term is neglected in the default algorithm in SSIIM. To include this term, time steps and a number of inner iterations in the calculations, different data sets are used in the control file. For transient calculations it is possible to give the water levels and discharges as input time series. 5.4.1.1 The k-ε turbulence model The eddy viscosity concept with the k-ε turbulence model is introduced with the Boussinesq approximation to model the Reynolds stress term:  U Ui ui u j  vT  i    xi  x j   2   k ij  3 (5-2) The first term on the right side of the equation forms the diffusive term in the Navier- Stokes equation. The second term is often neglected, but can be included in SSIIM 1 by adding some data set in the control file. The third term on the right side is incorporated into the pressure. The eddy viscosity in the k-ε is as: vT  c 2 k (5-3) 146 Turbulent kinetic energy k, defined by: 1 k  ui u j 2 (5-4) k is modelled as k k   vT  k  U j     P  t  x j  x j   k  x j  k (5-5) where Pk is given by: Pk  vT U j  xi  U j Ui     xi  x j    (5-6) The dissipation of k is denoted ε, and modelled as:     vT    2 U j     C 1 Pk  C 2 t  x j  xi   k  x j  k k (5-7) In all above equations C's are different constants. The k- ε model is the default turbulence model in SSIIM. 5.4.1.2 Wall laws The default wall law in SSIIM for rough as is given by Schlichting (1979) defined as: U 1  30 y   ln   u x k  ks  (5-8) The shear velocity is denoted ux and k is a constant equal to 0.4. y is the distance to the wall and the roughness, ks, is equivalent to a diameter of particles on the bed. 147 5.4.2 Sediment Flow Calculation Sediment transport is generally divided in bedload and suspended load. The suspended load can be calculated with the convection-diffusion equation for the sediment concentration, c c c c   c  U j w    t  xj  z  x j  T  x j  (5-9) where w is the fall velocity of the sediment particles and Г diffusion coefficient, which is taken from the k-εmodel.  vT Sc (5-10) Where Sc is the Scmidth number, set to 1.0 as default in model, but different value can be adopted in the model. SSIIM calculates sediment transport by size fractions. Each fraction is specified in the control file, where the diameter and fall velocity is given. A vertical sediment concentration distribution according to the Hunter-Rouse Equation will then be used. The Rouse number (Whipple, 2004) commands the mode of sediment transport. It is the ratio of particle settling velocity to the shear velocity (rate of fall versus strength of turbulence acting to suspend particles): Rouse number Bedload: 50% Suspended: 100% Suspended: Wash Load: #= ws ; k = 0.4 (Von Karman’s constant) ku* ws  2.5 ku* w 1.2  s  2.5 ku* w 0.8  s  1.2 ku* ws  0.8 ku* 148 Van Rijn (1984) formula is used in SSIIM for calculating the suspended load for the equilibrium sediment concentration, cbed, close to the bed:    c     0.3 d  c   0.015 a    s   w  g  0.1   2   w  1.5 Cbed (5-11) where d is the sediment particle diameter, a is a reference level set equal to the roughness height,  is the bed shear stress, c is the critical bed shear stress for movement of sediment particles according to Shield’s curve,  and s are water and w sediment density,  is the viscosity of the water and g is the acceleration of gravity. The empirical parameters in the equation (0.015, 1.5 and 0.3) may be changed by using the some data set in the control file. The bed load, qb, also can be calculated by using van Rijn’s formula:    c    c    0.053 0.1 0.3    s   w  g  D50   2   w  2.1 qb 1.5 D50 5.5  s  w  g w (5-12) Graphical Interface In the windows version of SSIIM's user interface, grids can be created, discharges specified and simulations can be started for water flow or for water flow with sediments. It is also possible to follow the simulations and to view the results after a simulation. Different variables can be shown by choosing different sub-option in the view option of the menu. The different views are Map graphics with contour plots or vectors, Longitudinal or cross-sectional profiles, Grid Editor and Discharge 149 Editor. Some of the most important variables are velocity vectors, water level, bed changes a sediment concentration. The results are shown as plots of the different variables (Olsen, 2011). Figure 5.3 shows SSIIM's graphical interface. In this figure, the interface is showing a map of Kurau- Ara influence, and the chosen variable is bed level. Figure 5.3: SSIIM graphical interface 5.6 Input Files In general, a SSIM run starts by reading input files, or generating the grid using the Grid Editor. After generation of the grid, the inflow and outflow should be defined using the Discharge Editor. Then the data was saved in the Unstruc or koordina files, before the computations are started and the results are viewed. 150 As an input for model four main things are needed as follow: 1. Geometry data of the hydraulic structure 2. Water inflow/outflow data 3. Sediment data 4. Different controlling parameters To run the program a file called Control is necessary. Control file controls all parameters. Most of the parameters used in the simulations are in the Control file. This file include physical parameters like water level, discharge and friction factors, also the other parameters like time step, number of iterations and parameters that decides what kind of formulae to be used. SSIIM have default values for most of the parameters, so for simple situations, the program can be run without a complicated Control file. Transient calculations run with parameters in a file called Timei. This file contains parameters which can vary over time such as water level, discharge, and sediment concentrations. All inputs and outputs of the SSIIM model are given in SI units (Olsen, 2011). The Control file is made with data sets, all the data sets such as F, G, W, S, I which can be used are explained in the SSIIM manual (Olsen, 2011). 5.7 Output Files The 'boogie' file is an intermediate file which shows a print-out of intermediate results from the calculation. It shows parameters as average water velocity, water 151 depth and shear stress in the initialization. Trap efficiency and sediment grain size distribution are also written in this file. If any error occurs during the run of program, the explanation is written in 'boogie" before the program terminates. After simulation when prescribed number of iterations have been calculated or when the solution has converged, the results are written to 'result' file and 'bedres' file. The result file stores the information about the water flow simulation. This information includes velocities in three dimensions, k, ε, pressure, and fluxes. The bedres file is written only after sediment simulation. It stores information about bed roughness, grain size distribution, sediment thickness, and bedform height. SSIIM can read the result and bedres files later to show all the graphical results from the simulation (Olsen, 2011). Figure 5.4 shows flowchart included the various files are used in each SSIIM run. Most of the files are only used for special purposes and they are normally not required. The program can also produce many of the input files. All the necessary input files can be generated by the program for simpler cases. 152 unstruc control koordina SSIIM2 result geodata timei koomin timeo boogie compres interpol interres Figure 5.4: SSIIM flowchart (Olsen, 2011) 5.8 Making a Grid in SSIIM The grid generation is a time consuming part of the numerical modelling process. The grid generation has done by using three softwares: Gridmeister, Matlab and SSIIM for this study. The Gridmeister program usually applies to support the CFD and especially the SSIIM user working in the field of hydraulic engineering with the structured grid generation. The input data is the geometry data of Kurau and Ara confluence boundary that represented by x-and y- coordinates. The geometry data was saved by "DXF" format in a CAD program and used in gridmeister. The outputs are koordina and a control file. The control file includes the correct grid information and koordina file includes i and j that are the cells number in X and Y direction, X and Y the coordinates of the cells and Z equal to zero (Figure 5.5). 153 Figure 5.5: Koordina file After generating a 2D structure grid, the output files used in MATLAB software for making a 3D unstructured grid. The koordina file and the field geometry cross section were used in MATLAB for making a 3D surface grid by using the TriscatterdInterp function. The format of output file was change for using in SSIIM that named koosurf to generate the 3D mesh (Figure 5.6). Figure 5.7 shows a koosurf file included i, j, X, Y, Z (bed), Z (water surface). 154 Ara Kurau Figure 5.6: 3D grid generation Figure 5.7: Koosurf file 155 5.8.1 Grid Editor When the koosurf file is present, the grid for the xy- plane of Kurau and Ara confluence can be viewed in the graphical interface of SSIIM by choosing the add block from koosurf in blocks menu. The program generates the grid in the vertical direction according to the z-coordinates by selecting the 3D grid from Generate menu. The grid can either be multiblock or the simpler version with only one block. With the most recent wetting/drying algorithm, it may be more suitable to make a single block of the geometry (Olsen, 2011). 5.8.2 Multiblock and One Block Grid A multiblock grid is an unstructured grid made up of several structured grids which are glued together. For the simulations of sediment flow in Ara and Kurau river confluence, experiments have been made with both the two blocks and the one block grids (Figure 5.8 and Figure 5.9). For making grid with 2 blocks, one block was added by choosing the Add block from koosurf in the Block menu. The next step was to make the grid 3D, this is done by choosing Generate 3D grid in the interface. After having the grid the content has written to the Unstruc file. This is done in the File option of the main menu. The next step was reading Unstruc file by the new SSIIM window then the second block was added from the Block menu. Then the blocks were glued together. The water surface was first covered with blocks, and then the boxes were connected. In the end there will be an unstructured grid covering the entire water body. The program then generates the grid in the vertical direction according to the bed levels given in the koosurf file. A three-dimensional multiblock grid for the given water body has then been generated. 156 Block 2 Block 1 Ara River Kurau River 70.0 m Level 2 Block 2 Block 1 70.0 m Level 2 Figure 5.8: Two block grid 157 Outblocked Ara River Outblocked Kurau River 70.0 m Level 1 Figure 5.9: One block grid The location and magnitude of inflow and outflow is specified in discharge editor. There can be several groups of inflows and outflows in the grid, but for making continuity, total inflow discharges and total outflow discharge should be equal to each other. The information about the grid, including the discharges was stored in the Unstruc file by choosing the write unstruc from File menu. 158 For the simulations of sediment flow in river confluence two type grids (two blocks and one block) was tested for equal situations and the conclusion was that the simulation gave better results and converged faster for the grid with only one block. A disadvantage of using two block grids was that the time needed for the simulation will increase because of the extra boundaries. The sum of all the water inflow and outflow in the geometry is shown in Boogie file that start with the word "Cont:". This should be a very low value, typically under 10-7. This value for simulation with 2 blocks increased by time but with one block the value is acceptable. The solutions were diverged with increasing Cont value by time or have not got reasonable results. Table 5.1 shows some Cont value for one and 2 blocks simulation. Due to this, only the one-block grid has been used for the simulations in this study. Table 5.1: Comparison of Cont value for one and two block grid Iteration Cont value One block Two block 1 -2.28013164e-011 -3.09416937e-011 100 -4.34141612e-012 -5.91961575e+001 500 6.78315043e-012 1.66492505e+002 1000 -1.03997366e-012 2.22419433e+002 2000 -5.50826051e-012 1.91046643e+002 3000 -1.79767312e-012 1.90132543e+002 4800 -7.26496641e-012 2.17529220e+002 159 During the grid generation, some considerations have been taken to ensure a well functioning grid that will be given stable calculations. The grid cells are almost orthogonal. Nonorthogonality makes the simulation to be slow down. For decreasing false diffusion, the grid lines are aligned with the direction of the flow, especially close to inflow and outflow areas. The distortion ratio (the dimension of a grid cell in one direction divided by the dimension of the cell in the other direction) is not too big. The size of a grid cell does not differ too much from the size of the neighbouring cells. This could lead to physically impossible results (Olsen, 2011). For this purpose the grid sensitivity has done by choosing a different size of the grid cell. The best results have achieved by the grid size of 0.75×0.75 m for each cell. The grid for Ara-Kurau river confluence has about 64138 cells at the start of the calculations. The grid has up to 11 cells in the vertical direction depending on the depth of the specific location in the river confluence. The number of cells may decrease during calculations due to wetting and drying algorithm. If the water level goes down, or if the bed level goes up due to sedimentation, there might be a decrease of cells in the vertical direction. As cells dry up there will also be a decrease of cells in the xy-plane. 5.9 Sediment Flow Simulation in Confluence of Kurau and Ara River The simulation of river channel confluence is one of the most complex situations that can be modelled in SSIIM. This is an unsteady water flow computation with sediments, moving surface, and moving bed. It also has to include the wetting and drying of cells, as the flow is changed and many cells will dry up due to sedimentation. The simulation carried out at Ara and Kurau river confluence that 160 is located between 691915.7559 and 691874.4946 North Latitude and 554178.7400 and 554212.3463 East Longitude in Zone 47 in UTM coordinate system with approximately 141.5 m in length and 111.5 m in width. The coordinate was changed with deducting 691800 from latitude and 554000 from longitude coordinate for easy using in software. 5.9.1 Characteristics of Kurau -Ara Confluence The field site for this study is the confluence of the Kurau and Ara rivers in Pondok Tanjung at the upstream of the Bukit Merah reservoir in Perak (Figure 3.2). The two confluent channels have different widths and different bed height. The Ara width is around 28 m and Kurau around 23 meters and the bed of Ara is approximately 0.45 m higher than the bed of the Kurau channel and goes through the confluence at an angle of 135o. The width of confluence at its apex is 36 m reducing to 26 m in width further downstream. The confluence is a sand bed junction and this sandy bed making the most of the likelihood of active sediment movement and change in bed morphology as flow stage varied (Figure 5.10). The morphology of this confluence with discordant bed is dominated by avalanche slopes, a central scour, and a bar formed below the downstream junction corner (Figure 5.11). The deepest zone within the two confluent channels is an extension of the Kurau channel thalweg in to the confluence. The finest bed sediments (d50 = 0.5 mm) are found the left side of the Ara mouth while the coarsest bed sediments (d50 = 1.5 mm) are located on downstream from the region of maximum scour. The two confluent channels have same grain size distributions and sediment pattern is moderately sorted with a d50 of 1 mm. 161 Kurau Ara Lateral bar Figure 5.10: View of the confluence of the Kurau and Ara rivers 16.4 260 16.2 240 16 Lateral bar 15.8 Ara 220 Latitude N 15.6 200 15.4 180 Scour zone 15.2 160 15 140 14.8 120 14.6 Kurau 80 100 120 140 160 Longitude E 180 200 220 Figure 5.11: Contour bed level of the Kurau-Ara confluence 162 14.4 Elevation (m) 5.9.2 Input Data SSIIM needs input data for sediment sizes, sediment fall velocities, and sediment concentrations. For the simulation, eight sediment sizes of bedload samples in Kurau and Ara River were used. Figure 5.12 to Figure 5.14 shows the distribution grain size of bedload sample in Kurau and Ara River. The fall velocities (Vanoni, 2006) and sediment sizes are given in Table 5.2. The concentrations were calculated from the percentages of each sediment size for the given water discharge and its sediment load. The calculation made and concentration value for different flow is explained in appendix. The sediment concentrations results are given as cubic meters sediments per cubic meters water. 100 90 Percentage Passing (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 D50=1 mm 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 Particle size (mm) Figure 5.12: Sediment distribution size of bedload in Kurau River branch 163 100 Percentage Passing (%) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 D50=1.1 mm 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 Particle size (mm) 100 Figure 5.13: Sediment distribution size of bedload in Ara River 100 90 Percentage Passing (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 D50=1.8 mm 0 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 Particle size (mm) Figure 5.14: Sediment distribution size of bedload in main Kurau River 164 Table 5.2: Sediment characteristics 5.9.3 No dx Size (mm) Fall velocity (ωs) (m/s) 1 d90 3.67 0.29 2 d85 2.84 0.25 3 d75 2.22 0.21 4 d65 1.37 0.18 5 d50 1 0.14 6 d25 0.7 0.085 7 d15 0.47 0.068 8 d10 0.38 0.055 Input Files The most important input files were prepared for the sediment flow simulation is Control and Timei file. The control file was made after several tests concluded in what algorithms would give a good and stable solution. The timei file was prepared by the chosen values for discharges, water levels and sediment concentrations. In addition to these files, the Unstruc file included the grid information has been used in the simulations. The information about cells outside of the grid has been stored in a file called koordina. This file is also used in case new cells become wet. 5.9.3.1 Control File Some parts of the data set in the control file are explained in this section. For more details on the data sets, see the SSIIM manual (Olsen, 2011). The simulation uses van Rijn's formula to calculate the concentrations at the bed. This is given in the F 10 data set. The F 6 data set gives the coefficients for this formula. This data set has been used to calibrate the model to give a total bed change as close to the 165 measured amount as possible. The roughness in the rivers were measured and used as input for the simulations. The value is set to 0.063 metres in the F 16 data set. In the F 33 data set the time step of the simulation is set to 30 seconds, with 10 inner iterations per time step. This simulation is a transient sediment computation with free water surface, specified on the F 36 and F 37 data sets. Since wetting and drying may happen for this simulation, an algorithm that changes the shape of the grid cells close to the boundaries is necessary, this is given in the F 102 data set. Algorithms that help to stabilise triangle cells are also included in data sets F 113 and F 235. The chosen sediment sizes and their fall velocities are given in the S data sets. The N data set gives the percentage size fraction of the bed sediments which is taken from different samples for different flow discharges. G 13 data set was used for outblocking option in this study. Two parts of Ara and Kurau confluence were blocked out for using 1 block to ensure getting better results (Figure 5.9). The sediment flow simulation uses a 30 second time step. To simulate 3 days, 86400 iterations are necessary. This is given in the K 1 data set in the control file. The control file was used in this study is shown in Figure 5.15. 5.9.3.2 Timei File The timei file used in this simulation gives the concentrations of sediment loading in Kurau and Ara River. The timei file is shown in Figure 5.16. The data given in the file are upstream water levels, and downstream water levels, and different water discharge. The file specifies the concentrations of the 8 sediment groups for both Kurau and Ara rivers given in the control file. 166 Figure 5.15: Control file used in SSIIM modelling 167 Figure 5.16: Time File 168 5.9.4 Numerical Algorithms Several numerical algorithms were chosen to be able to model the sediment flow of Kurau and Ara river confluence simulation. The combination of algorithms in the control files leads to a successful simulation. The simulation may give different result or may lead to crashing by choosing other algorithms. The algorithms were used in this study describe as below: Data set F 36 7 was used for the computation of the vertical elevation of the water surface. The data set reads one integer. If the integer is 7, as it is in this simulation, the water surface is updated based on the pressure in only its neighbouring cells. Data set F 64 was used for the grid generation to generate the grid lines in the longitudinal and lateral direction. The algorithm used in these simulations is F 64 11that is the most tested options for sediment transport computations in rivers. The algorithm gives a body fitted grid with priority to close to the bed. While most of sediments are transported close to the bed, the hexahedral cells will give better results in sediment computations than tetrahedral cells would. The F 102 1 algorithm is also employed for the sediment flow simulation. This algorithm is used to change the shape of the grid cells close to the boundary for the wetting and drying simulations. The F 113 data set was implemented to stabilize the solution in the shallow areas close to the side walls. The algorithm used in these simulations is the F 113 4. 169 The algorithm uses second-order interpolation instead of third-order interpolations for pressure gradients. The F 222 data set invokes algorithms which prevents the downstream bed level to rise to a height which may block the outflow. The F 233 data set invokes an algorithm that, instead of using the pressure in the surface cells to compute the water level, uses a depth-averaged pressure field. The F 235 data set was used to improve the stability in triangular cells. F 235 10 which is used in this case, is the most successful of these algorithms. This option invokes an algorithm that gives extra relaxation in the triangular cells. The F 244 data set was implemented to reduce instabilities in triangular cells. Two relaxation factors used in the algorithms, the first floating point is used for the velocities in the cells, in the F235 10 algorithms. The second integer is used for the fluxes on the cell surfaces, if F 235 is between 8 and 23. 5.9.5 Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the influence of parameters on predicting velocity, water level and bed elevation for the confluence. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to provide parameter estimation guidance for the calibration. Large numbers of parameters were tested, from grid size, turbulence models, discretization schemes, values for critical bed shear stress parameters, parameters in 170 bed form and roughness prediction formulas, and empirical coefficients in the sediment transport capacity formula etc. It is not possible to go into further detail due to dearth of space. The summary of obtained mentioned parameters after sensitivity analysis that was used to calibrate the model is shown in Table 5.4. 5.9.6 Calibration and Validation 5.9.6.1 Model Calibration SSIIM model first is tested with sensitivity analysis and calibrated using field data from one time and then validated with a different set of data in different time. Calibration of SSIIM was primarily accomplished by adjusting model parameter until a reasonable match was found between model predictions and field data. Validation for the model was carried out by comparing measured, water level and bed level with different discharges to the prediction average velocity, water level and bed level by model. Calibration of SSIIM was performed using the flow and bed elevation data in April 2012. In order to calibrate flow several roughness coefficient and relaxation factor for the tree velocity equations, the pressure correction equation and k and e equation are adjusted to gain the correct observe velocity and water level, meanwhile for suspended and bedload sediment calibration, parameter of sediment transport response need to be adjusted to fit with the observed sediment data. Coefficients in van Rijn's formula for bedload and suspended sediment transport were adjusted to gain a good fit with the observed sediment transport. Also several algorithms as mentioned in section 5.9.4 were used in a SSIIM program for obtaining the correct result from the simulation. 171 The vanRijn's bedload transport parameter was calibrated for different discharge flow and bedload transport rate with the value of calculating bedload transport from genetic programming derived equation for Kurau River in section 4.9. The estimate of bedload transport rate with GP formula and van Rijn formula are shown in Figure 5.17 and Table 5.3. The parameters of the van Rijn formula were determined for calibration follows:    c    c    420 0.1    g  D500.5  s  w2    w  1.115 qb D50  s  w  g w (5-13) 100.000 Eq. 4.11 Van Rijn formula Bed load transport rate Tb (kg/s) 1.5 10.000 1.000 0.100 0.1 1 10 Discharge Q(m³/s) Figure 5.17: Comparison of Bedload transport rate 172 100 Table 5.3: Comparison of Bedload transport rate Bedload transport rate (kg/s) Discharge (m3/s) GP formula van Raijn' formula 4 0.781 0.886 -0.104 5 1.007 1.065 -0.058 6 1.232 1.248 -0.016 7 1.457 1.433 0.024 8 1.683 1.621 0.062 9 1.908 1.811 0.097 10 2.134 2.004 0.130 11 2.356 2.233 0.123 12 2.582 2.432 0.150 14 3.009 3.066 -0.057 15 3.235 3.295 -0.061 18 3.895 3.960 -0.065 20 4.346 4.217 0.129 23 5.013 4.880 0.133 Difference The parameters after calibration are summarized in Table 5.4. The simulated flow average velocity, water level and bed elevation were compared with observed data and coefficient of determination was calculated for measured and simulated water level and bed level as shown in Figure 5.18 to Figure 5.30. 173 Table 5.4: Parameter calibrated in SSIIM No Description 1 Roughness coefficient (R) 0.063 2 Schumidt's coefficient 1 3 Relaxation factor for horizontal velocity ( u) 0.8 4 Relaxation factor for longitudinal velocity (v) 0.8 5 Relaxation factor for vertical velocity (w) 0.8 6 Relaxation factor for pressure correction equation 0.02 7 Relaxation factor for k correction equation 0.05 8 Relaxation factor for e correction equation 0.05 9 Parameters to decrease the eddy-viscosity as a function of the water density gradients and the Richardson number 10 Relaxation factors used in the algorithms to reduce instabilities in triangular cells for velocity and fluxes on the cell surface -0.5 10.0 -1.5 3.33 0.5 0.8 11 Parameter in Brook’s formula for reduction of the critical sediment particle shear stress when the bed slopes 12 Relaxation factor for second order interpolation of bed concentration Coefficient for van Rijn' formula for bed concentration 13 14 Coefficient for van Rijn' formula for bed load sediment transport 174 1.23 0.78 0.2 0.5 9 0.3 0.02 420 1.115 -0.5 1.5 1.2 Measured Velocity (m/s) 1 Simulated 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 5 10 15 Distance (m) 20 25 30 Figure 5.18: Measured and simulated average velocity in Ara mouth 0.7 Measured 0.6 Simulated Velocity (m/s) 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 Distance (m) 20 25 Figure 5.19: Measured and simulated average velocity in Kurau mouth 175 (a) Depth (m) 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 5 0 100 1 15 20 25 30 Distancce (m) (b) Figure 5.20: 5 Compaarison cross-ssectional bed d level and avverage velocity a) simulaated b) Measuured, April 2012 at Ara River R 176 6 1.5 Depth (m) (aa) 1 0.5 0 0 5 10 1 15 20 Distance (m) ( (b) Figure 5.21: 5 Compaarison cross-ssectional bed d level and avverage velocity a) simulaated b) Measurred, April 2012 at Kurau River 177 7 Ara A' Legend A 16.466812 16.133136 15.799461 15.465785 15.132109 14.798434 14.464758 Kurau 90.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.465 m, max= 16.467 m Figure 5.22: Measured bed level (April 2012) Ara RSK7 RSK6 RSK5 RSK4 RSK3 RSK2 RSK1 RSA Legend 16.460000 16.130000 15.800000 15.450000 15.130000 14.800000 14.450000 Kurau 90.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.450 m, max= 16.460 m Figure 5.23: Simulated contour bed level 178 16.5 16.5 RSK1 16.0 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) RSA 15.5 15.0 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.5 0 10 Distance (m) 20 15.5 15.0 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.5 0 30 10 30 17.0 RSK2 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) 15.5 15.0 14.5 30 15.5 15.0 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.0 14.0 10Distance20(m) 16.0 14.5 Measured BL Simulated BL 0 RSK3 16.5 16.0 0 40 16.5 16.5 10 Distance (m) 20 30 RSK5 RSK4 16.0 Elevation(m) 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.5 0 10 20 15.5 15.0 14.5 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.0 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.0 30 0 10 Distance (m) 16.5 RSK6 Elevation(m) 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.5 20 30 Distance (m) 16.5 Elevation(m) 20 Distance (m) 16.5 Elevation(m) 16.0 Measured BL Simulated BL RSK7 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.5 14.0 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.0 0 10 20 30 0 Distance (m) 10 20 Distance (m) 30 40 Figure 5.24: Comparison cross sectional bed level in different condition of Ara and Kurau confluence (Measured BL, April 2012) 179 16.0 15.8 15.6 Elevation(m) 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 Measured BL Simulated BL 14.2 14.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Distance (m) Figure 5.25: Comparison of measured and simulated Longitudinal bed level at downstream of confluence (AA') (Measured BL, April 2012) Simulated bed level(m) 16.0 R² = 0.98 15.5 15.0 14.5 14.0 14.0 14.5 15.0 15.5 16.0 Measured bed level (m) Figure 5.26: Scatter plot of measured bed level against simulated bed level (April 2012) 180 16.44 16.42 16.40 Elevation(m) 16.38 16.36 16.34 16.32 16.30 16.28 16.26 16.24 Measured wl 16.22 Simulated wl 16.20 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Distance (m) Figure 5.27: Comparison of measured and simulated water level at downstream of confluence (AA') (April 2012) Simulated water level (m) 16.5 R² = 0.97 16.4 16.3 16.2 16.2 16.3 16.4 Measured water level (m) 16.5 Figure 5.28: Scatter plot of measured water level against simulated water level (April 2012) 181 Legend 16.580581 16.528214 16.475847 16.423481 16.371114 16.318747 16.266380 80.0 m Water levels, min= 16.27 m, max= 16.58 m Figure 5.29: Measured water level (April 2012) Legend 16.563013 16.515460 16.467906 16.420353 16.372799 16.325246 16.277692 80.0 m Water levels, min= 16.28 m, max= 16.56 m Figure 5.30: Simulated water level 182 5.9.6.2 Model Validation Sediment transport process was validated for the Ara- Kurau confluence. The simulation SSIIM was carried using surveyed cross section and flow discharge measurement for three events: low flow, moderate flow and high flow at the confluence. As part of the validation, measured bed level profiles, water levels during July to October were compared to the prediction bed level profiles and water levels by SSIIM model (Table 5.5 to Table 5.7 and Figure 5.31to Figure 5.33). Table 5.5: Comparisons of water and bed level for Q=15 m3/s (19 July 2012) Location Water level (m) Observed Predict Bed level (m) Difference Observed Predict Difference RSA 16.45 16.46 -0.02 15.73 15.66 0.07 RSK1 16.44 16.47 -0.03 14.86 14.88 -0.02 RSK2 16.42 16.46 -0.04463 14.58 14.39 0.187 RSK3 16.40 16.46 -0.05393 14.47 14.64 -0.166 RSK4 16.38 16.45 -0.06612 14.72 14.63 0.089 RSK5 16.36 16.43 -0.07151 14.72 14.73 -0.004 RSK6 16.33 16.42 -0.08551 14.81 15.13 -0.328 Table 5.6: Comparisons of water and bed level for Q=43 m3/s (27 Sept 2012) Location Water level (m) Bed level (m) RSA Observed 17.300 Predict 17.290 Difference 0.010 Observed 15.560 Predict 15.520 RSK1 17.290 17.271 0.019 14.970 14.920 0.050 RSK2 17.213 17.260 -0.047 14.516 14.478 0.038 RSK3 17.207 17.246 -0.039 14.468 14.315 0.153 RSK4 17.193 17.210 -0.017 14.584 14.512 0.072 RSK5 17.181 17.194 -0.013 14.465 14.507 -0.042 RSK6 17.177 17.144 0.033 14.459 14.615 -0.155 183 Difference 0.040 18.00 Elevation (m) 17.00 16.00 15.00 14.00 Water level Bed level Observed water level Observed bed level 13.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Distance (m) Figure 5.31: Comparisons of water and bed level (AA') for Q=15 m3/s (19 July 2012) 18.00 Elevation (m) 17.00 16.00 15.00 14.00 Water level Bed level Observed water level Observed bed level 13.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Distance (m) Figure 5.32: Comparisons of water and bed level (AA') for Q=15 m3/s (20 July 2012) 184 Table 5.7: Comparisons of water and bed level for Q=11 m3/s (8 Oct 2012) Location Water level (m) Bed level (m) RSA Observed 16.430 Predict 16.460 Difference -0.030 Observed 15.710 Predict 15.660 Difference 0.050 RSK1 16.421 16.460 -0.039 14.921 14.880 0.041 RSK2 16.410 16.449 -0.038 14.460 14.560 -0.100 RSK3 16.396 16.442 -0.046 14.456 14.424 0.032 RSK4 16.360 16.430 -0.070 14.560 14.651 -0.091 RSK5 16.344 16.410 -0.066 14.814 14.686 0.128 RSK6 16.310 16.400 -0.090 14.850 14.737 0.113 18.00 Elevation (m) 17.00 16.00 15.00 14.00 Water level Bed level Observed water level Observed bed level 13.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Distance (m) Figure 5.33: Comparisons of water and bed level (AA') for Q=11 m3/s (8 Oct 2012) 185 5.9.7 Short Term Changes in Bedload Transport, Bed Morphology and Bed Material Characteristics The morphology and sedimentology of sand bed river channel confluences are complex and subject to important temporal variations caused by the different hydrological responses of the two incoming rivers. Short term variation in bed morphology and spatial patterns of bed material was documented in detail over a period of 7 days. During this short event water level varied from 1.7 m to 2.8 m of bankfull depth, and the momentum ratio Mr = (ρQU)Ara /( ρQU)Kurau, where Q is discharge, and U is the section averaged velocity in each channel ranged from 0.8 to 2.6 (Table 5.8). The simulation was started with the low flows with Mr < 1 during the first 2 days and then followed a high flow event when the confluence was characterized by a high momentum ratio. For analysing the bed change and characteristic of sediment patterns, result of flow and bedload transport from six of the flow stage with Mr>1 and Mr<1 will be presented. This simulation is representative of morphological change during an event in Kurau and Ara confluence at the end of September and first week of October data collection. The morphology changes will be shown in 8 cross sections, two at Ara and Kurau mouth (RSA, RSK1) and the other six cross sections (RSK2, RSK3, RSK4, RSK5, RSK6, RSK7) along the main Kurau at the downstream of confluence (Figure 5.34). 186 Table 5.8: Hydraulic condition during an event at Kurau _Ara confluence a Water Level, m 1.7 1.85 2.35 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.8 Flow discharge, m3/s Kurau 5 8 14 15 12 10 7 Ara 4 7 17 28 23 15 6 Flow Depth, m Flow Velocity, m/s Kurau 0.45 0.71 1.01 1.05 0.92 0.82 0.61 Kurau 0.39 0.49 0.6 0.62 0.57 0.53 0.5 Ara 0.42 0.5 0.93 1.17 1.1 0.86 0.5 aMain Kurau b Mr= (Q.U.ρ) Ara/ (Q.U.ρ) Kurau Figure 5.34: Morphology of Kuaru -Ara confluence 187 Ara 0.43 0.5 0.65 0.85 0.75 0.62 0.43 Mrb 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.6 2.5 1.7 0.7 5.9.7.1 Morphological Changes The confluence morphology during the first step (Q=9 to Q=15 m3/s) was drastically modified. The bed morphology at Q=15 m3/s is shown in Figure 5.37, cross sectionals change are shown in Figure 5.39 and longitudinal change in Ara and Kurau are shown in Figure 5.35 and Figure 5.36. The valance face for both of Kurau and Ara is illustrated in the longitudinal profile of confluence. Low flow condition (Mr<1), privileged the expansion of the Ara mouth bar over 4 meters and extended by ~ 2m into the confluence and constrained the principal flow at the confluence in the middle of the channel, as indicated by expansion of the deepest zone of the bed (Figure 5.38). The angel of the avalanche face changed from 50 o to 30o at the end of the Ara mouth bar. During this period bed erosion occurred on the right hand of main Kurau in lateral bar and along the channels in downstream of confluence (RSK3, RSK4). This erosion was followed by a deposition phase at the downstream of the lateral bar in the secondary bar (RSK5, RSK6, RSK7) and at the left hand of confluence downstream. 188 16.2 16.0 15.8 Elevation(m) 15.6 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 Measured BL April 2012 Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14.2 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.35: Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of confluence after Q=15m3/s 15.8 15.6 Elevation(m) 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 Measured BL April 2012 14.2 Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.36: Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of confluence after Q=15m3/s 189 Ara Legend 16 6.777551 16 6.364626 15 5.951700 15 5.538775 15 5.125850 14 4.712925 14 4.360000 Kurau u 80.0 m Bed levells, min= 14.3 360 m, max= 16.778 m Figure 5.37: Bed morph hology after Q=15 Q m3/s Ara Kurau Figure 5.38: Change in bed morpphology afterr Q=15m3/s. Zone of erossion and deposition m white as deeposition to black b as during eaach period arre illustrated with colour change from erosion. 190 0 16.5 16.5 RSK1 16 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) RSA 15.5 15 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 0 10 20 16.0 15.5 15.0 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 0 30 10 Distance (m) 16.5 16.5 RSK2 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) 16 15.5 15 14.5 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 15.5 15 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 RSK4 RSK5 Elevation(m) 16 Elevation(m) 16 40 16.5 15.5 15 14.5 0 10 Distance (m) 16.5 20 15.5 15 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14 0 30 16.5 Elevation(m) 16 15.5 15 14.5 10 20 30 20 RSK7 16 15.5 15 14.5 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14 10 Distance (m) RSK6 0 16 14.5 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14 Elevation(m) 30 RSK3 14.5 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14 20 Distance (m) Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) 14 0 30 Distance (m) 10 Distance (m) 20 30 Figure 5.39: Channel cross section profiles, Q=15m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) 191 The erosion in downstream of confluence continued with increasing flow and changing the momentum ration from Mr<1 to Mr>1. The bed morphology after this event is shown in Figure 5.40. During this period deposition occurred in the Ara mouth bar and at the right hand of the post confluence entrance (Figure 5.42 and Figure 4.41). The cross sectional changes in bed morphology during this period are shown in Figure 5.41 and the plan of erosion and deposition is shown in Figure 5.44. In this event the lateral bar and also the sediment deposition in the downstream of main bar were scoured in the inner bank (RSK5, RSK6 and RSK7). Increasing the discharge was not great enough to obviously change the shape of the downstream channel bed of confluence (RSK2 and RSK3). The channel morphology changes and sediment transport in this period largely reflected sustained next high flow conditions. Ara Legend 16.590823 16.233427 15.876031 15.518635 15.161239 14.803843 14.446447 Kurau 80.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.446 m, max= 16.591 m Figure 5.40: Bed morphology after Q=31 m3/s 192 16.5 16.5 RSK1 16 16.0 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) RSA 15.5 15.5 15 15.0 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14.5 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 0 16 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 30 RSK3 RSK2 16 15.5 15 14.5 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 15 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14 40 16.5 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 RSK4 RSK5 Elevation (m) 16 15.5 14.5 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14 Elevation (m) 20 16.5 16.5 15.5 16 15.5 15 14.5 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 15 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 0 16.5 Elevation (m) 15.5 10 Distance (m) 20 30 RSK7 RSK6 16 Elevation (m) 10 Distance (m) 16 15.5 15 14.5 0 10 Distance (m) 20 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 Q=15 (mᵌ /s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14 15 14 30 0 10 Distance (m) Figure 5.41: Channel cross section profiles, Q=31m3/s 193 20 30 16.2 16.0 15.8 Elevation(m) 15.6 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14.4 14.2 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.42: Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of confluence between Q=15m3/s and Q=31m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) 15.8 15.6 Elevation(m) 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 Measured Q= 15 (mᵌ/s) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14.2 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.43: Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of confluence between Q=15m3/s and Q=31m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) 194 Ara Kurau Figure 5.44: Change in bed morphology between Q=15m3/s and Q=31m3/s. Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. High flows occurred in next step and discharge flow changed from 31 to 43 m3/s, and the water depth changed from 2.35 to 2.8 m. At this larger discharge ratio (Mr=2. 6), the influence of the Ara River into the confluence and the curvature of flows through tributary increase. This, aided by larger flow separation, generates maximum sediment transport pathways which are constricted to smaller zones around the confluence rather than through the centre of the confluence. The morphological effect of these changes is larger bed scour, larger bar formed within the separation zone (Figure 5.45 and Figure 5.46) and the retreat of the tributary channel avalanche face from the confluence. 195 Ara 1.7299 m/s 10.0 m Level 11 Kurau Figure 5.45: Flow separation Mr>1 Ara Kurau Figure 5.46: Flow separation at Ara- Kurau confluence (Mr>1) 196 During this high flow event the Ara mouth bar was eroded over and the scour zone at the entrance the Kurau River increased in the direction of the Ara side. This led to the retraction of the front of the Ara mouth bar and the development of a steeper avalanche face. The steepest part of the face was located close to the edge of the shear layer and appeared to be maintained by the presence of the shear layer along the side of the Ara mouth bar and the lateral bar (Boyer et al., 2006). The bed morphology after Q=43m3/s shows in Figure 5.47 Ara Legend 17.391625 16.864688 16.337750 15.810813 15.283875 14.756938 14.280000 Kurau 80.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.280 m, max= 17.392 m Figure 5.47: Bed morphology after Q=43m3/s 197 This high momentum flow was directed toward the main channel side of downstream channel after the Ara mouth. The deepest part of the main channel extended further downstream through the confluence and near to the bars due to acceleration of flow along the mixing interface. This acceleration corresponds to increase in bed shear stress over distance and high bed shear stresses in the centre of the confluence both of which advance scour zone (Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2008). The cross sectional and longitudinal changes during this flood event is shown in Figure 5.48 , Figure 5.49 and Figure 5.50. The central portion of the confluence was scoured and cross sections profile reshaped through erosion of the inner channels (RSK2, RSK3) and the scour hole align itself in the direction of Ara River (RSK4). Excavation of bed material decreased bed elevation by 0.5 and shifted the face of this part of the cross section toward the outer bank of the downstream confluence by 1 meter (RSK4, RSK5). Over this period, a bar complex developed along the inner bank that include the lateral bar and a secondary bar created at the downstream end of the lateral bar due to deposition of suspended and eroded sediments in a separation zone in the lee of the lateral bar (Figure 5.51). Deposition along the front of the protruding lateral bar in downstream of confluence increased the bed elevation by about 0.5 m within the outer bank (RSK4, RSK5 and RSK6). 198 16.6 17.0 RSK1 RSA 16.5 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 16.1 16.0 15.6 15.5 15.1 15.0 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.6 0 10 20 Distance (m) 14.5 0 30 RSK2 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 20 30 15.5 15 14.5 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14 0 RSK3 16.5 16 10 20 Distance (m) 30 16 15.5 15 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 40 0 17 10 Distance (m) 20 30 17 RSK4 16 15.5 15 16 15.5 15 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 10 Distance (m) 20 14 0 30 17.5 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 RSK6 17 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 0 RSK5 16.5 Elevation (m) 16.5 Elevation (m) 10 Distance (m) 17 16.5 RSK7 16.5 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 16 15.5 15 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 16 15.5 15 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 0 10 Distance (m) Figure 5.48: Channel cross section profiles, Q=43m3/s 199 20 30 16.2 16.0 15.8 Elevation(m) 15.6 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.4 14.2 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.49: Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of confluence between Q=31m3/s and Q=43m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) 15.8 15.6 15.4 Elevation(m) 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured 14.4 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) 14.2 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.50: Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of confluence between Q=31m3/s and Q=43m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) 200 Ara Kurau Figure 5.51: Change in bed morphology between Q=31m3/s and Q=43m3/s. Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. From this temporal change in high flow and discharge momentum ratio Mr>1, it was possible to demarcate the location on the Ara side were more responsive and active in its morphological change and it responded to the migration of the shear layer within the confluence as flow stage changes from Mr<1 to Mr>1. The bed morphology of confluence after Q=35 m3/s is shown in Figure 5.54. Erosive event during high flow was followed by a deposition phase as the discharge decreased to 35 m3/s and water level decreased from 2.8 to 2.5 m (Figure 5.52 and Figure 5.53). The bed elevation was increased at the entrance of Kurau (RSK1) by ~0.4 m on the right hand and erosion occurred along the outer of lateral bar and 201 deposition was concentrated along the inner bank of RSK4, RSK5 and RSK6 and in the downstream of main Kurau , RSK7 (Figure 5.56). The scour hole migrated to the centre of the channel. Bed change morphology which included the deposition of a bar in the inner bank and weak scour at the outer bank during this period is shown in Figure 5.55. 16.0 15.8 15.6 Elevation(m) 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.4 14.2 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.52: Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of confluence between Q=43m3/s and Q=35m3/s (Measured bed level April2012) 15.8 15.6 Elevation(m) 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured 14.4 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) 14.2 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.53: Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of confluence between Q=43m3/s and Q=35m3/s (Measured bed level April2012) 202 Ara Legend 17.500000 16.500000 16.000000 15.500000 15.000000 14.500000 14.310000 Kurau 80.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.310 m, max= 17.500 m Figure 5.54: Bed mophology after Q=35m3/s Ara Kurau Figure 5.55: Change in bed morphology between Q=43m3/s and Q=35m3/s. Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. 203 16.6 16.6 RSK1 16.1 16.1 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) RSA 15.6 15.1 15.6 15.1 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.6 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 0 RSK2 20 30 RSK3 16.5 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) 16 15.5 15 16 15.5 15 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 40 0 17 10 Distance (m) 20 30 17 RSK4 16 15.5 15 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 16 15.5 15 10 Distance (m) 20 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 RSK5 16.5 Elevation(m) 16.5 Elevation(m) 10 Distance (m) 17 16.5 0 30 10 Distance (m) 20 30 17 17.5 RSK6 17 16.5 16 15.5 15 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 0 RSK7 16.5 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.6 10 Distance (m) 20 16 15.5 15 Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 0 30 10 20 Distance (m) Figure 5.56: Channel cross section profiles, Q=35m3/s 204 30 40 Next step the total discharge was decreased (Q=13m3/s) and discharge ratio dropped below 1, the Kurau flow discharge was the dominant flow. The bed morphology after change of flow momentum is shown in Figure 5.57. The low momentum flow ratio prompted migration of flow separation to the centre of confluence (Figure 5.58). Comparisons of channel cross sections confirm that bed morphology is similar to Q= 35 and Q=13 m3/s but that some minor changes can be identified (Figure 5.59 and Figure 5.60). These minor changes and low discharge ratio flow eroded the Kurau mouth at the cross section RSK1 and lateral and secondary bars along the inner bank (RSK6 and RSK7). The deposition occurred in left hand of the Ara mouth (RSA) and outer bank of the lateral bar in cross sections RSK5 and RSK6 (Figure 5.62). Ara Legend 16.615858 16.241548 15.867239 15.492929 15.118619 14.744310 14.360000 Kurau 80.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.360 m, max= 16.616 m Figure 5.57: Bed morphology after Q=13 m3/s 205 Ara 1.6078 m/s 10.0 m Level 11 Kurau Figure 5.58: Flow separation Mr<1 16.0 15.8 15.6 Elevation(m) 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured 14.4 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.2 Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.59: Longitudinal bed change profile of Ara and downstream of confluence between Q=35m3/s and Q=13m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) 206 15.8 15.6 15.4 Elevation(m) 15.2 15.0 14.8 14.6 Measured 14.4 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.2 Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Distance (m) Figure 5.60: Longitudinal bed change profile of Kurau and downstream of confluence between Q=35m3/s and Q=13m3/s (Measured bed level April 2012) Ara Kurau Figure 5.61: Change in bed morphology between Q=35m3/s and Q=13m3/s. Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as erosion. 207 16.6 16.5 RSK1 16.1 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) RSA 15.6 15.1 16.0 15.5 15.0 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.6 0 10 Distance (m) 20 0 30 RSK2 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 10 15 Distance (m) 20 25 15.5 15 14.5 30 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14 14 10 20 Distance (m) 15.5 14.5 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 0 RSK3 16 16 0 40 16.5 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 RSK4 RSK5 Elevation (m) 16 Elevation (m) 5 16.5 16.5 15.5 16 15.5 15 14.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 0 17 10 20 Distance (m) 30 16.5 RSK6 RSK7 Elevation (m) 16.5 Elevation (m) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 16 15.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 16 15.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 0 10 20 Distance (m) Figure 5.62: Channel cross section profiles, Q=13 m3/s 208 30 40 5.9.7.2 Lateral bar At Kurau-Ara asymmetrical planform confluence the frequently occurring bar is that formed just below the downstream junction corner. The origin of this bar is linked to the formation of a large zone of separated flow (Best and Reid, 1984). Flow separation occurs at the downstream junction corner where fluid of the Ara channel cannot remain attached to the channel wall. This creates a zone of low velocity, recirculating flow which provides a favourable site for sediment deposition. Sediment predominantly from the Ara channel is concentrated along a distinct pathway and is carried into this zone. Because of the low flow velocities present material quickly comes to rest. An examination of natural channel confluences reveals that this bar is composed of relatively fine grained sediment, another indication of the low velocities within the region. The separation zone bar dips into the central scour but grades into the general bed elevation downstream where the effects of the flow separation zone diminish beyond the point at which the combined flow reattaches itself to the stream bank. The size of this bar is therefore related to the size of the separation zone which grows both at higher confluence angles and higher discharge ratios (Best and Reid, 1984; McGuirk and Rodi, 1978). Erosion of the far bank may cause channel widening opposite this bar because of the constriction of the effective channel width through which the combined discharges must flow (Best and Reid, 1984). Figure 5.63 and Figure 5.64 show the change of lateral bar during the event longitudinally and cross sectional. The Figures indicate that the morphological change in lateral bar completely depend on flow momentum. 209 16.6 16.5 Elevation (m) 16.4 16.3 16.2 16.1 16.0 15.9 0 5 10 Q=15(mᵌ/s) 15 20 Latral bar distance (m) Q=31(mᵌ/s) 25 Q=43(mᵌ/s) 30 35 Q=35(mᵌ/s) Figure 5.63: longitudinal profile of lateral change in different flow momentum 16.5 RSK4 Elevation (m) 16.0 15.5 Q=12 (m3/s) Q=15 (mᵌ /s) 15.0 Q= 31 (mᵌ/s) Q= 43 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Distance (m) Figure 5.64: Cross sectional lateral change in different flow momentum 210 30 5.9.7.3 Bedload Transport Rates The Bedload transport rating curve of Ara and Kurau at upstream of confluence is obtained with SSIIM is shown in Figure 5.65. The figures depict the good accuracy of prediction of bedload transport by SSIIM and significant of coefficient determination (R2= 0.98) of bedload transport rate by SSIIM shows the ability of good prediction of bedload transport (Figure 5.66). Bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) 10 Ara 1 Eq 4.11 SSIIM 0.1 1 10 Discharge (m³/s) 100 Bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) 10 Kurau 1 Eq 4.11 SSIIM 0.1 1 10 Discharge (m³/s) 100 Figure 5.65: Bed load transport rating curve in Ara and Kurau River branch 211 Bedload transport rate (SSIIM)Tb (kg/s) 10 R² = 0.981 1 Kurau Ara 0.1 0.1 1 Bedload transport rate (Eq.4.11)Tb (kg/s) 10 Figure 5.66: Bed load transport rate value by SSIIM against the calculated bedload transport rate with Eq. 4.11 The relationship between sediment loads and the discharges in the main channel and the tributary is an important factor for confluence morphology, including the development, relative importance and location of erosion, deposition and change in bed elevation (Leite Ribeiro et al., 2012). The simulation of flow sediment in the confluence of Ara and Kurau shows that for each flow discharge, bed load transport rates varied throughout the confluence, laterally and longitudinally, and also from one event to the other. In the first step, bed load transport rates were found to increase at the entrance of the confluence (RSK2, RSK3) and then decrease in the downstream direction at cross section RSK5 and RSK6 (Figure 5.67). Bed load transport rates were higher in the upstream portion of the confluence than in the Kurau and Ara channels, corresponding with erosion within the 212 confluencee. For this flow dischaarge and wiith the mom mentum ratiio less than n one the location of the maxim mum bedloaad transport rate at eachh cross sectiion is on the side of the Kurau channel aloong the connfluence. Araa Bed load l transportt rate 0.4 kg s-1m-11 Leg gend 16.777 7551 16.364 4626 15.951700 15.538 8775 15.125 5850 14.712 2925 14.360 0000 Flow directiion Shear layerr Kurrau 8 80.0 m Bed d levels, min= m 14.360 m, max= = 16.778 m Figure 5.67: 5 Bed moorphology annd spatial disstribution of bedload b trannsport rate Mr=0.9. M Nexxt event thee flow dischharge increased to 31m m3/s and thhe flow mo omentum ratio channge from Mr<1 M to Mrr>1. The bed b load traansport ratee slightly in ncreased further doownstream particularly p y along the edge of thhe shear layyer (RSK5, RSK6). The locatiion of maxiimum bed load l transport rates off each crosss section is the Ara side alongg the confluence. Bed load l transpo ort is high inn the Ara m mouth whilee there is 213 3 some trannsport of seediment from m Kurau. At A upstream m maximum m bedload transport t rate is obsserved in thee Ara side (Figure ( 5.68 8). Araa Beed load transpport rate 0.4 kg s-11m-1 Flow dirrection Legend 16.777551 16.364626 15.951700 15.538775 15.125850 14.712925 14.300000 Shear laayer Ku urau 80.0 m Bed leve els, min= 14.300 1 m, max= m 16.778 m Figure 5.68: 5 Bed moorphology annd spatial disstribution of bedload b trannsport rate Mr=1.3. M Bedload transpoort for highh flow disch harge with high h momenntum ratio (Mr=2.6) ( is shown in Figure 5.69. Thiis figure illlustrates thhe high beedload tran nsport in comparisoon with thee other flow w occurred within the confluencee, however bedload transport rate r in Kurrau River iss very low, and may be b explainedd by the fact that a most propportion of the t bed seddiment is trransported in suspension rather than the bundled. 214 4 Thesse relativelly high bedd load tran nsport rates are continnuing, conssiderably increased at the entrrance of coonfluence (RSK2, RSK K3) and thhen decrease in the R and RSK6). The location l of maximum bed b load downstreaam directionn (RSK4, RSK5 transport rates r at eacch cross sections are the t Ara sidde along the confluencce. The distributioon of bed load transporrt rates in crross sections shows thaat the highesst values at the coonfluence (ccross sectioons RSK2 and RSK33) are gennerally nearr to the boundaries of the shhear layer, and these patterns arre changedd depending g on the momentum m ratio. Thhe forms off bedload transport t allso define tthat deposittion and erosion arre happeninng at diffeerent locatio ons in the confluencee according g to the magnitudee of the mom mentum ratiio. Ara Bed looad transport rrate 0.4 kg s-1m-1 Flow directioon Leg gend 17.3916 625 16.8646 688 16.3377 750 15.8108 813 15.2838 875 14.7569 938 14.2800 000 Shear layer Kurau K 8 80.0 m Bed d levels, min n= 14.280 m, m max= 17..392 m Figure 5.69 5 : Bed moorphology annd spatial disstribution of bedload trannsport rate Mr=2.6. M 215 5 Nexxt event the flow dischaarge come down d and also a the dom minant flow w is from the Kurauu River witth flow moomentum raatio less thaan one andd the shear layer is moved neear to the Ara side. The bed dload transpport in thiis event decreases d considerabbly. Like thhe other eveent the max ximum bed load transpport rates take place near and on both sides of the shear layeer (Figure 5.70). 5 The maximum bedload i both Araa and Kurauu Rivers hap ppened in the middle oof channelss (RSK1, transport in RSA). In the upstreaam region of o the conffluence (crooss sectionss RSK2, RS SK3 and RSK4), higher h sedim ment transpport rates occurred o onn the Ara side whilee further downstreaam (RSK7) higher rate is along thee Kurau sidee. Ara Bed load l transportt rate 0.025 kg s-1m-1 Lege end Flow directiion 16.61585 58 16.23821 15 15.86057 72 15.48292 29 15.10528 86 14.72764 43 14.35000 00 Shear layerr Kuraau 80 0.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.350 m, m max= 16..616 m Figure 5.70: 5 Bed moorphology annd spatial disstribution of bedload b trannsport rate Mr=0.7. M 216 6 The shear layer that develops along the interface of two merging flows is a common hydrodynamic feature of channel confluences (Figure 5.71). Shear layer is characterized by increased turbulence levels at the junction of the flows coming from the main channel and the tributary (Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2008). As shown in Figure 5.72 the shear layer is tridimensional as it develops both vertically and laterally in the downstream of a region of flow separation. The position of shear layer varies according to the discharge ratio and the height of the bed discordance. As shown in Figure 5.67 to Figure 5.70 this position is critical for the dynamics of the confluence as it influences flow mixing and sediment transport pathways thus affecting the resulting bed morphology (Boyer et al., 2006). Rhoads (1996) explained that dual surface-convergent helical cells develop on either side of the mixing interface at the entrance to the downstream channel (Figure 5.71), which sweeps sediment laterally away from the centre of the confluence, contributing to scour and separation of sediment loads. The locus of the zone of high bed shear stress near the centre of the channel leads to degradation of accumulated sediment over the inner part of the downstream channel (edge the shear layer). 217 Shear layer Shear layer helicoidal flow cells Figure 5.71: Shear layer and distinct vortices about vertical axes at RSK1 Ara Kurau Figure 5.72: Shear layer in the confluence of Ara and Kurau 218 Figure 5.73 shows the variation of bedload transport rate in the cross sections at the downstream of confluence with changing the discharge and flow momentum. This figure depicted the increasing of bedload capacity through the confluence zone between RSK2 and RSK4. The increases in bedload transport capacity from the Ara sediment supply though the confluence was provided by some hydro-morphological interactions (Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2001). The existing of the lateral bar at the inner bank of the downstream channel caused a reduction in the local flow depth, an acceleration of the near-bed flow, and outward deflection of this flow by topographic steering. The bed discordance between Ara and Kurau gave rise to a two-layer flow structure and to three-dimensional flow patterns that were characterized by near-bed cores of high velocity with increased bedload transport capacity. The coincidence of the shear layer that was generated the considerable turbulence indicated that the increased turbulence levels contribute substantially to the required increase in bedload transport capacity. 11 Q=15 m³/s Mr=0.9 Q=31 m³/s Mr=1.3 Q=43 m³/s Mr=2.6 Q=13 m³/s Mr=0.7 Bedload transport rate Tb (kg/s) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 RSK2 RSK3 RSK4 Cross section RSK5 RSK6 Figure 5.73: Bedload rate in cross sections at downstream of confluence 219 The spatial distribution of bed load transport rates consequently seems to be varied with the changes in bed morphology. For low flow condition, the extent of the bed load transport pathway on the Kurau side responds to the migration of the Ara mouth bar and the lateral bar into the confluence (Figure 5.67), this migration in turn being controlled by the change in the position of the shear layer. As the shear layer invades on the lateral bar and secondary bar (high momentum ratio), it causes their regular erosion and may explain the high bed load transport rates occurred between RSK3 and RSK6 along the Ara side (Figure 5.68). These forms are interrelated with the boundaries of the shear layer and respond to the movement of the shear layer as momentum ratio alterations. 5.9.7.4 Sediment Pattern Patterns of sediment distribution within the confluence respond not only to the flow dynamics but also control the bed morphology: this in turn affects both the flow and sediment transport pathways. An understanding of the behaviour of sediment within channel confluences therefore has fundamental implications for the investigation of junction bed morphology (Best, 1988). The bedload transport between the Ara and the Kurau River as mentioned in previous section mainly occurs near the downstream junction corner of the confluence due to the formation of depression in the upstream junction corner that causes an asymmetric distribution of the flow and sediment transport. Bedload provided by the Ara to the Kurau channel is mainly transported by the near-bed flow originating from the Kurau branch channel. This near-bed flow has an element that is focused on the slope of the bar. The interaction between the near-bed flow and the 220 downward slope gravitational impinges on the sediment particles conditions the slope of the bar and causes sediment sorting. Moreover, this near-bed flow prevents deposition of fine sediment at the inner-bank and the formation of a zone of flow recirculation (Rhoads et al., 2009). The spatial distribution of bed material was evaluated for tree flow conditions as Mr <1 with total discharge Q=15m3/s, at high flow Mr>1 and Q=43 m3/s and low flow Q=13 m3/s, Mr<1. At the apex of the junction when the momentum flux ratio is less than 1 (Q=15m3/s), the distribution of bed material reveals separate zones of fine and coarse sediment within the confluence (Figure 5.74). A zone of fine gravel from the Ara extends laterally across the downstream confluence channel from the RSK2 and the inner bank of the lateral bar into the base of a scour hole (RSK3). Figure 5.74 illustrates the lateral displacement of fine gravel by the position of limit of the 3 mm curve moving from the Ara right bank toward the centre of the confluence. This movement of coarse sediment seems to be related to the position of the mixing layer which is controlled by the momentum flow and sediment ratio. The sediment near the inner bank of the downstream channel consists mainly of sand (d50=1.5 mm) that extends along the top of the bar. A track of coarse sand extends along the front of the lateral bar near the outer bank. This track of sediment, presumably comprised of material from the Kurau River, located within the downstream channel where it is replaced by the fine gravel-dominated sediment from the Ara River. The median grain size in upstream junction as a flow stagnation zone where the two incoming flows diverge towards the outer banks is fine sand (d50=1.5 mm) and it could 221 explained by the low bed shear stresses in the stagnation zone (Best, 1988) (Figure 5.75). Ara Legend 0.003505 0.003012 0.002519 0.002025 0.001531 0.001038 0.000545 Kurau 80.0 m Bed grain size distribution, D50, layer 2, min= 0.54 mm, max= 3.51 mm Figure 5.74: Distribution of bed median size, D50 Q=15 m3/s, Mr<1 222 Ara Legend 2.756875 2.326643 1.896410 1.466178 1.035946 0.605714 0.175482 Kurau 80.0 m Bed shear stress, min=1.754817e-001, max=2.756875e+000 Figure 5.75: Bed shear stress in confluence Q=15m3/s The high flow in the next step cussed re adjustment of the grain size pattern to reflect the dominant flow of the Ara River. At high flow with Mr>1 the Ara flow penetrates slightly into the main channel, allowing the Ara sediments to be deposited on the Kurau side (Figure 5.76). As the momentum flow ratio increased, finer particles from the Kurau are found on the Ara bed at the upstream junction.the median grain size increased from 3 mm to 3.5 mm at the lateral moving from the Ara to the left bank of downstream confluence included the maximum depth zone (Figure 5.76) . 223 The increase in the median grain size appears to be the result of the increasing bed shear stress as flow in Ara and Kurau rises (Figure 5.77). For high momentum ratio the coarser sediments are located near to the left bank while in low flow ratio the coarser sediment is located in centre of the channel. A sudden transition from fine gravel to coarse sand occurred along the inner bank, between the outer bank and the top of the lateral bar. Mix gravel and sand cover the channel bed near the outer bank of the lateral bar (cross section RSK4). The area along the inner bank of secondary bar at the right hand of downstream main Kurau is underlain by fine and coarse sand material. Ara Coarse Fine Legend 0.003506 0.003012 0.002519 0.002025 0.001532 0.001038 0.000545 Kurau 80.0 m Bed grain size distribution, D50, layer 2, min= 0.54 mm, max= 3.51 mm Figure 5.76: Distribution of bed median size at high flow, D50 Q=43 m3/s, Mr>1 224 Ara Legend 3.100000 2.636577 2.173153 1.709730 1.246306 0.782883 0.319459 Kurau 80.0 m Bed shear stress, min=3.194591e-001, max=3.100000e+000 Figure 5.77: Bed shear stress in confluence Q=43m3/s A sustained change in flow discharge and momentum ratio from Mr>1 to Mr <1 redistributed the surficial bed material through the confluence. The pattern of the bed sediment differs from the high flow condition in that input of sediment from Kurau and Ara River remain segregated well downstream of confluence (Figure 5.78). During this period a wedge of sediment advanced to the confluence of the Kurau River. Medium to coarse sand cover the outer bank along the lateral bar and fine gravel is shifted toward the inner bank of lateral bar. The coarse material is confined to the mouth of Ara and a narrow track in outer bank of lateral bar and continued to farther downstream. Fine sediment also is present along the inner bank 225 of secondary bar and the inner channel and extended far down stream. This movement of fine sediment from Kurau and coarse sediment from Ara in low flow is because of high bed shear stresses in the centre of the confluence and an increase in bed shear stress over distance (Figure 5.79) due to acceleration of flow along the mixing interface (Rhoads and Sukhodolov, 2008). Ara Coarse Fine Legend 0.003505 0.003012 0.002519 0.002025 0.001531 0.001038 0.000545 Kurau 80.0 m Bed grain size distribution, D50, layer 2, min= 0.54 mm, max= 3.51 mm Figure 5.78: Distribution of bed median size at low flow, D50 Q=13 m3/s, Mr<1 226 For the three discharge flow, the grain size distribution on the bar at the downstream junction corner was considerably constant compared to the other part of confluence such as scour hole and upstream of the junction. The particle size of lateral bar was usually finer than the average median grain size of the post confluence channel. However, the particle size in the upstream part of the bar is more affected by the changes in flow conditions than the downstream end where the median diameters not varied during the period. During high discharge-ratio the flow curvature from the Ara into the downstream channel produces two effects that influence bed material patterns. First, the magnitude of bed shear stress along the inner bank appears to decrease rapidly leading to deposition along the inner bank and a downstream fining of bed material on the bar surface. On the other hand, the magnitude of bed shear stress increases rapidly near the outer bank along the bar edge, downstream coarsening of the bed material. Second, curvature of the flow from the Ara leads to the development of helical motion of flow within the downstream channel that is characterized by outward near-surface flow and inward near-bed flow (Rhoads and Kenworthy, 1995). During low discharge-ratio events, the main flow of the Kurau River causes penetration of a wedge of fine sediment in the downstream channel along the outer bank. Fine material from the Kurau River and coarse material from the Ara are confined within the confluence to opposing sides of the scour hole before combining in the downstream channel (Figure 5.78). This combination is influenced by the transformation of the pattern of secondary circulation from dual surface-convergence cells, which separate the sediment loads of the two incoming streams, into a single dominant helical cell that extends over most of the downstream channel, which leads 227 to connect bedload transport from the Kurau River toward the inner bank of the downstream channel (Rhoads, 1996). Ara Legend 2.000000 1.695345 1.390691 1.086036 0.781382 0.476727 0.172072 Kurau 80.0 m Bed shear stress, min=1.720723e-001, max=2.000000e+000 Figure 5.79: Bed shear stress at low flow Q=13m3/s 228 5.9.8 High Flow Modelling The 2007 flood is the largest flood for Kurau River since 1960, where this flood event is slightly lower than the 100 ARI. Therefore, the high discharge at 191.32 m3/s of the event occurred on 23 October 2007 was considered as the design peak discharge. Figure 5.80 shows the hydrograph for the October 2007. The morphology variation and bedload transport analysis was carried out in this flood event. The grid was created with105437 cells and discharge specified for Ara and Kurau rivers. 250 Discharge (m³/s) 200 191.322 m3/s 150 100 50 32.708 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Time (day) Figure 5.80: Hydrograph of the October 2007 flood 229 Figure 5.81: The morphology of Kurau-Ara confluence before flood Figure 5.82 depicts peak water surface and changes of the channel geometry due to erosion and deposition by the simulated changes in the channel bed profile. The original channel geometry was based on survey in April 2012. The result shows the erosion of the bed occurred at all cross sections along the downstream of the confluence (Figure 5.83) and flood level was higher at the downstream compare to upstream of the confluence. 230 Ara Legend 20.256214 19.226845 17.500000 16.500000 15.500000 14.500000 14.080000 Kurau 90.0 m Bed levels, min= 14.080 m, max= 20.256 m Figure 5.82: Bed morphology of Kurau-Ara confluence after flood 231 Ara Kurau Figure 5.83: Change in bed morphology after Q=191.32m3/s. Zone of erosion and deposition during each period are illustrated with colour change from white as deposition to black as Elevation(m) erosion. 20.0 19.5 19.0 18.5 18.0 17.5 17.0 16.5 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.5 14.0 13.5 13.0 Befor flood After flood Peak W.s. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Distance (m) Figure 5.84: Longitudinal bed change profile of downstream of confluence 232 70 Figure 5.85 shows the cross section changes for the location along the confluence of Kurau and Ara rivers. In general erosion has occurred at most inner bank of cross sections after flood 2007, while the high flow favoured the progression of the Ara mouth bar at the left side of Ara River. The high junction angle between Ara and Kurau rivers made deep scour hole and segregation of bedload from each confluent channel became more prominent. Bed load transport during this flood event as expected increased but not surprising in amount and may be explained by the fact that a large proportion of the bed sediment is transported in suspension rather than the bedload (Figure 5.86). The distribution of bed load transport in the Kurau river mouth is more than Ara mouth and the bed load transport rate slightly decreased further downstream particularly along the edge of the shear layer (RSK5, RSK6). The location of maximum bed load transport rates of each cross section is varied along the both sides of confluence. 233 19 20.0 RSA Elevation(m) Elevation(m) 17 16 15 18.0 17.0 16.0 15.0 Befor flood After flood 14 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 0 40 20 30 Distance (m) 40 50 18 17 16 15 Befor flood After flood 14 13 0 RSK3 19 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) 10 20 RSK2 19 10 20 Distance (m) 30 18 17 16 15 14 Befor flood After flood 13 40 0 20 10 20 Distance (m) 30 40 20 RSK4 19 18 17 16 15 Befor flood After flood 14 13 0 RSK5 19 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) Befor flood After flood 14.0 20 10 20 Distance (m) 30 18 17 16 15 Befor flood After flood 14 13 0 40 10 20 Distance (m) 30 40 20 20 RSK6 19 RSK7 19 18 Elevation(m) Elevation(m) RSK1 19.0 18 17 16 15 Befor flood After flood 14 13 18 17 16 15 Befor flood After flood 14 13 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 40 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 Figure 5.85: Modelled cross section changes before and after flood 2007 234 40 Ara Legend d B load transsport rate Bed 1 kg s-1m-1 20.25621 14 19.22684 45 17.50000 00 16.50000 00 15.50000 00 14.50000 00 14.08000 00 Flow diirection Shear llayer Ku urau 90.0 0m Bed lev vels, min= 14.080 0 m, max= = 20.256 m Figuure 5.86: Bed morphologgy and spatiaal distributionn of bedloadd transport ratte (Q=191.3 32m3/s) 235 5 6 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 6.1 Conclusion The bedload transport characteristics in a sand–gravel bed Kurau River was studied the conclusion of this study is as follows. 6.1.1 Bedload Transport Characteristics The bedload transport in the Kurau River is low; movement of large sediments (i.e., granules and pebbles) of bed material are rare, and it occurs at a relatively high discharge. At a low discharge, sand was transported over the bed. By increasing flow, the pattern of the mobile sediment changed, and distribution became more bimodal. Comparison of the distribution size of the bedload in a medium frequency discharge between the upstream and downstream of the Kurau River indicates that the amount of sediment particles of each fraction size in the upstream is greater than that in the downstream in the same fractions. This finding demonstrates the size selectivity of bedload transport during the observed water discharges. The equal mobility of the bedload and bed material in the Kurau River is achieved at moderate flows in streams, even when the size distribution of the bedload is finer than the size distribution of the bed material at high flow. The frequency of the discharge shows that the mean size distribution of the bedload is similar to that of the bed material distribution. 236 6.1.2 Estimating Bedload Transport Hydraulic and sediment data from Kurau River in Malaysia were used to predict bedload transport and to evaluate the performance of available bedload transport equations. The performances of empirical bedload transport equations such as Meyer-Peter and Muller, Wong and Parker, as well as Chang, Julien and van Rijn were evaluated. No consistent relationship was observed between the predicted and observed bedload at the sites. Moreover, based on the relationship between the bedload transport (Tb) and discharge (Q) and the Shields parameter (θ), the power function of the hydraulic variable best described the observed bedload transport at the small streams. This power function was subsequently developed into a predictive transport equation. The NLR, ANN and GP methods were used to predict bedload transport at first for Kurau River and then were updated by feeding networks by more data from the other small streams for obtaining simple equation. In NLR (Eq 4.2), maximum likelihood estimates of the regression parameters were obtained using the iterative estimation algorithm procedure. The RSME (0.069) and coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.99) suggest a good agreement between observed and predicted bedload transport rates for Kurau River. The Eq 4.2 was updated by adding the Semenyih and Lui river data. The bedload transport predicted by Equation 4.9 shows a good result by RMSE equal to 0.00 kg/s and U= 0.00. The results show that the ANN and GP model with four input nodes Q, S, θ, and d50 can accurately not surprisingly estimate the bedload transport rate. The combination of ANN with GP shows better agreement between computed and observed bedload transport rate. The developed equations for small streams by GP 237 (Eq 4.11) and ANN after updating the GP and ANN by feeding the networks with the Lui and Semeniyh data also show reasonable performance under field conditions. The predicted bedload transport was compared with observed values, and the minimum RMSE and inequality ratio (U) were used to select the best performing model. In this case, the ANN and GP models performed better than the NLR-based model and other equations. It should be considered that specific condition and complex behaviour of small streams affect the bedload transport rate. So, the obtained equations may require reanalyzing in some highly different condition to correct the equation coefficients. In general, unlike the other transport equations that were tested, the equation derived using the GP model mostly predicted the bedload transport rate to within an order of magnitude of the measured values in small streams and had the lowest RMSE. However, it is not much simpler than the NLR equation. 6.1.3 Sediment Transport in River Channel Confluence The sediment transport and morphology characteristic of river confluence are very complex and include various associations between flow structure, bed morphology and sediment transport which will change over differing temporal and spatial scales. SSIIM2 a three dimensional numerical model, was used successfully to investigate the morphodynamics of Ara- Kurau confluence. The sediment transport modelling in the confluence gave more understanding about the changes in 238 morphology, sediment pattern and bedload transport within and at the downstream of the confluence. SSIIM2 was calibrated and validated for average velocity, water surface and bed elevation profile, bedload transport at upstream of confluence with using the calibrated vanRijn equation for several times. Good agreement was obtained for bedload transport rate, and bed level and water profiles between the measured data and predicted results by SSIIM. The study has demonstrated that the short term hydrologic variability can considerably influence the morphodynamics of Ara-Kurau channel confluence. For low flow with momentum ratio, Mr, less than 1, the shear layer is in the middle of the confluence, the input sediment loads are separated around the scour hole before mixing, the bed load mostly travels through the confluence near the edge of shear layer in the left side of the post confluence channel (Kurau side), the Ara mouth bar is created and lateral bar is eroded, the sediment deposited on the downstream of the lateral bar (secondary bar). A zone of fine gravel from the Ara extends laterally across the downstream confluence channel. This movement of coarse sediment is related to the position of the mixing layer which is controlled by the momentum flow and sediment ratio. For flow condition when momentum ratio is greater than 1, the shear layer is near the Kurau channel side, the bedload transport follow the flow coming from Ara in to the confluence, moving from the Ara side toward the downstream of the confluence. The erosion occurs in the Kurau mouth and right side of Ara at the 239 entrance of confluence and inner bank of lateral bar. Sediment deposition occurs at the outer bank of lateral bar and at secondary bar. For the different flow condition, the grain size distribution on the bar at the downstream junction corner is remarkably constant compared to the other part of confluence such as scour hole and upstream of the junction. The particle size of lateral bar is usually finer than the average median grain size of the Kurau channel. However, the particle size in the upstream part of the bar is more affected by the changes in flow conditions than the downstream end where the median diameters not varied during the period. SSIIM2 has been used to simulate the river channel confluence for flood event with 100 ARI. Bed load transport during flood event as expected increased but not surprisingly in amount and may be explained by the fact that a large proportion of the bed sediment is transported in suspension rather than the bedload. The channel bed degradation had occurred at most cross sections and deposition had occurred at the upstream part of confluence. 6.2 Recommendations  More study is required into the nature of a range of differing size confluence.  More study is required to quantify the suspended and dissolved load transport at confluence. 240 7 REFERENCES Ab. Ghani, A., and Azamathulla, H. M. (2012) Development of GEP-based functional relationship for sediment transport in tropical rivers. Neural Computing and Applications, 1-6. Ab. Ghani, A., Azamathulla, H. M., Chang, C., Zakaria, N., and Hasan, Z. 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Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing 19, 271-289. 258 8 APPENDIX A BEDLOAD TRANSPORT DATA FOR KURAU RIVER Table A.1: The measured data of Kurau River locatin KRU1 KRU2 Batu 14 KRU3 Kg Bechah KRU4 Kg Perak KRU5 Cherok Pelandok ARA1 Sg Ara Date 28/04/2010 11/11/2010 29/12/2010 19/01/2011 24/02/2011 9/03/2011 26/05/2011 21/06/2011 19/05/2010 12/10/2010 01/12/2010 19/01/2011 16/02/2011 03/03/2011 11/05/2011 02/06/2011 05/07/2010 05/10/2010 29/12/2010 26/01/2011 16/02/2011 09/03/2011 11/05/2011 02/06/2011 19/05/2010 05/10/2010 20/12/2010 26/01/2011 8/02/2011 16/02/2011 05/05/2011 09/06/2011 28/06/2010 12/10/2010 20/12/2010 06/01/2011 08/02/2011 24/02/2011 26/05/2011 21/06/2011 12/05/2010 27/10/2010 01/12/2010 06/01/2011 01/02/2011 03/03/2011 05/05/2011 02/06/2011 Q (m3/s) V (m) Y (m) B (m) A (m2) R (m) S (m/m) d50 (mm) Tb (kg/s) 7.21 5.21 5.58 3.99 12.79 4.91 3.18 7.69 1.6 2.10 6.10 2.25 1.65 1.95 3.14 2.97 0.79 0.55 1.03 0.66 1.32 0.62 1.52 0.72 0.73 1.33 0.56 1.18 2.59 1.41 2.21 4.7 6.44 2.32 4.06 5.68 5.39 6.6 2.23 4.6 1.27 0.776 5.25 2.29 1.19 1.02 1.68 2.29 0.6 0.54 0.56 0.55 0.82 0.56 0.53 0.73 0.56 0.5 0.73 0.58 0.55 0.54 0.61 0.58 0.37 0.31 0.48 0.42 0.47 0.45 0.52 0.37 0.37 0.45 0.15 0.45 1.22 0.6 0.55 0.78 0.66 0.53 0.58 0.6 1.56 0.68 0.49 0.62 0.49 0.4 0.69 0.58 0.51 0.52 0.56 0.54 0.87 0.65 0.88 0.52 1 0.8 0.47 0.85 0.42 0.53 1.15 0.5 0.45 0.52 0.63 0.7 0.3 0.33 0.37 0.28 0.6 0.37 0.38 0.3 0.27 0.3 0.45 0.35 0.3 0.33 0.36 0.52 0.94 0.39 0.57 1.04 0.34 1.03 0.37 0.62 0.46 0.4 0.86 0.64 0.5 0.5 0.27 0.5 19 17.5 17 17.3 17 17.2 15 14 9 9.5 10.3 9 9 9 9.3 8.8 7.7 7 7 7.6 9.2 8.3 8.8 7.5 12.32 12.7 13 12.4 12 12.32 12.2 12.8 12.1 13.4 14 13.4 12.8 13.2 12.8 13.3 11.4 11.3 13 12.4 11 11.7 11.7 12 12.07 9.68 9.96 7.20 15.51 8.77 6.00 10.59 2.87 4.19 8.37 3.90 2.98 3.58 5.15 5.17 2.15 1.75 2.14 1.59 2.84 1.39 2.89 1.97 1.99 2.93 3.75 2.65 2.12 2.36 4.03 6.03 9.78 4.39 6.95 9.50 1.56 9.64 4.56 7.43 2.57 1.94 7.57 3.95 2.32 1.97 3.00 4.23 0.626 0.547 0.574 0.412 0.885 0.503 0.395 0.735 0.313 0.428 0.760 0.421 0.326 0.388 0.530 0.559 0.242 0.274 0.300 0.207 0.303 0.166 0.322 0.259 0.161 0.230 0.286 0.213 0.176 0.188 0.320 0.464 0.688 0.324 0.487 0.690 0.268 0.699 0.352 0.548 0.242 0.169 0.567 0.314 0.209 0.167 0.253 0.346 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0027 0.0070 0.00075 0.0090 0.0046 0.00076 0.00076 0.00076 0.00300 0.01850 0.00070 0.00130 0.00120 0.0060 0.0006 0.0010 0.0010 0.0096 0.0066 0.0001 0.0020 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0062 0.0048 0.0051 0.0008 0.0008 0.0021 0.0021 0.0021 0.0020 0.0051 0.0003 0.0020 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0010 0.0003 0.0057 0.0312 0.0040 0.0050 1.04 0.87 0.80 1.04 0.98 0.97 1.22 0.67 0.91 0.75 0.90 0.98 1.08 0.69 0.7 0.75 1.17 0.99 0.87 1.21 1.40 1.17 1.70 0.80 1.31 1.02 1.20 1.83 1.12 1.22 1.1 0.98 0.75 0.87 0.80 0.79 0.74 0.86 0.85 0.80 1.51 1.29 1.10 1.52 1.84 1.56 1.5 1.53 1.9 0.66 0.88 0.63 2.098 0.72 0.745 1.407 0.168 0.299 0.859 0.304 0.253 0.346 0.75 0.44 0.064 0.128 0.113 0.073 0.265 0.081 0.247 0.086 0.09 0.223 0.13 0.092 0.347 0.14 0.813 0.9 0.89 0.341 1.473 0.728 0.876 1.051 0.527 0.896 0.128 0.174 1.04 0.293 0.116 0.133 0.337 0.523 9 APPENDIX B RIVER SURVEYOR CROSS SECTIONAL DATA FOR ARA- KURAU CONFLUENCE Figure B.1: Survoyed boundry and cross sections in Ara-Kurau confluence (9 April 2012) Table B.1: The measured data with river surveyor of Ara River in Ara-Kurau confluence Discharge Measurement Summary Date Measured: Tuesday, April 09, 2012 Site I nformation Measurement I nformation Site Name Station Number Location Party Boat/ Motor Meas. Number Ara-Kurau Junction Ara Branch System I nformation System Setup System Type Serial Number Firmware Version Software Version RS-S5 515 2.00 3.01 Units Transducer Depth (m) Salinity (ppt) Magnetic Declination (deg) Discharge Calculation Settings Track Reference Depth Reference Coordinate System Distance Velocity Area Discharge Temperature 0.13 0.0 -6.0 m m/ s m2 m3/s degC Discharge Results GPS-VTG Bottom-Track ENU Left Method Right Method Top Fit Type Bottom Fit Type Distance Mean Vel Sloped Bank Sloped Bank Power Fit Power Fit Width (m) Area (m2) Mean Speed (m/ s) Total Q (m3/s) 22.21 10.1 1.281 6.432 Measurement Results Tr # Time Discharge % Time Duration Temp. Track DMG Width Area Boat Water Left Right Top Middle Bottom Total MBTotal Measured 1L 2:17:16 PM 0:03:10 30.9 34.70 23.75 25.75 10.5 0.183 0.629 0.00 0.01 3.01 2.76 0.86 6.635 -- 41.6 2R 2:20:40 PM 0:02:25 30.7 33.44 26.98 28.58 11.4 0.231 0.535 0.00 0.00 2.73 2.63 0.76 6.116 -- 43.0 2:41:56 3L PM 0:02:12 30.2 23.24 20.15 21.35 11.5 0.176 0.563 0.00 -0.02 2.61 3.06 0.82 6.468 -- 47.0 2:44:32 4R PM 0:02:13 30.2 24.91 21.62 22.82 12.0 0.187 0.634 0.00 -0.02 3.13 3.54 0.94 7.591 -- 46.4 2:56:46 5L PM 0:01:55 30.2 20.18 16.86 17.66 9.5 0.175 0.684 0.00 0.00 2.40 3.06 1.03 6.500 -- 47.1 2:58:56 6R PM 0:01:48 30.2 20.40 17.64 18.44 10.3 0.189 0.666 0.00 0.00 2.50 3.22 1.15 6.871 -- 46.9 3:11:49 7L PM 0:01:27 30.2 16.15 15.24 16.04 9.7 0.186 0.611 0.00 0.01 1.78 2.99 1.14 5.920 -- 50.4 3:13:28 PM 0:01:07 30.1 17.23 14.75 15.55 9.7 0.257 0.537 0.00 0.00 1.36 2.64 1.21 5.220 -- 50.6 3:15:06 9R PM 0:01:50 30.1 16.50 14.91 15.71 0.7 0.150 9.543 0.00 0.07 1.99 3.31 1.09 6.459 -- 51.2 3:29:08 10 L PM 0:01:58 30.0 28.00 24.13 24.93 10.0 0.237 0.593 0.00 0.03 2.40 2.73 0.76 5.919 -- 46.2 3:31:32 11 R PM 0:01:40 30.0 27.74 24.04 24.84 10.5 0.277 0.650 0.00 0.03 2.82 3.21 0.78 6.841 -- 47.0 3:38:59 12 L PM 0:02:33 29.9 33.00 27.47 28.37 12.2 0.216 0.509 0.00 0.00 2.62 2.78 0.78 6.188 -- 45.0 3:41:47 PM 0:02:07 29.9 32.73 27.84 28.74 13.7 0.258 0.500 0.01 0.00 2.83 3.20 0.85 6.881 -- 46.4 Mean 30.2 25.25 21.18 22.21 10.1 0.209 1.281 0.00 0.01 2.48 3.01 0.94 6.432 0.000 46.8 Std Dev 0.3 6.58 4.72 4.87 3.0 0.038 2.386 0.00 0.02 0.48 0.27 0.16 0.562 0.000 2.7 COV 0.0 0.261 0.223 0.219 0.293 0.180 1.862 2.461 2.729 0.194 0.091 0.172 0.087 0.000 0.057 8R 13 R Exposure Time: 0:26:25 FigureB.2: Surveyed cross sections in Ara branch (9 April 2012) TableB.2: The measured data with river surveyor of Kurau River in Ara-Kurau confluence Discharge Measurement Summary Site I nformation Site Name Station Number Location Ara-Kurau Junction Party Boat/ Motor Meas. Number Kurau Branch System I nformation System Type Serial Number Firmware Version Software Version Date Measured: Tuesday, April 09, 2012 Measurement I nformation System Setup RS-S5 515 2.00 3.01 Units Transducer Depth (m) Salinity (ppt) Magnetic Declination (deg) Discharge Calculation Settings Track Reference Depth Reference Coordinate System Distance Velocity Area Discharge Temperature 0.16 0.0 -6.0 m m/ s m2 m3/s degC Discharge Results GPS-VTG Bottom-Track ENU Left Method Right Method Top Fit Type Bottom Fit Type Sloped Bank Sloped Bank Power Fit Power Fit Width (m) Area (m2) Mean Speed (m/ s) Total Q (m3/s) 25.12 23.4 0.594 6.331 Measurement Results Tr # Time Distance Mean Vel Discharge % Time Duration Temp. Track DMG Width Area Boat Water Left Right Top Middle Bottom Total MBTotal Measured 1R 11:56:14 AM 0:01:44 29.7 26.88 24.59 25.99 22.5 0.259 0.360 0.04 0.00 2.24 4.97 0.86 8.122 -- 61.2 2L 11:58:26 AM 0:01:36 29.3 29.42 24.70 26.10 21.7 0.306 0.278 0.03 0.00 1.74 3.52 0.73 6.030 -- 58.4 3L 12:02:57 PM 0:02:15 28.8 22.04 20.50 21.90 1.3 0.163 5.060 0.06 0.04 1.63 4.14 0.62 6.491 -- 63.8 4R 12:05:37 PM 0:01:08 28.7 20.81 20.24 21.64 20.0 0.306 0.397 0.01 0.02 2.02 5.15 0.73 7.923 -- 65.0 5L 12:07:54 PM 0:03:32 28.6 23.94 20.83 22.83 18.8 0.113 0.359 0.03 0.03 1.83 4.23 0.64 6.760 -- 62.5 6R 12:11:55 PM 0:01:17 28.5 22.14 20.31 22.31 19.9 0.287 0.411 0.03 0.04 2.25 4.86 0.98 8.155 -- 59.5 7R 12:55:16 PM 0:01:34 31.2 25.09 23.33 24.83 17.2 0.267 0.390 0.00 0.00 1.81 4.08 0.82 6.717 -- 60.8 8L 12:57:17 PM 0:01:31 30.6 23.72 23.13 24.63 16.4 0.261 0.342 0.01 0.00 1.58 3.33 0.67 5.600 -- 59.5 9R 1:00:53 PM 0:01:18 30.1 22.31 20.87 22.87 18.9 0.286 0.396 0.00 0.00 2.06 4.54 0.88 7.483 -- 60.6 10 L 1:02:37 PM 0:01:16 29.9 22.73 21.22 23.22 19.1 0.299 0.329 0.00 0.00 1.58 4.07 0.63 6.268 -- 64.8 11 R 1:06:31 PM 0:01:22 29.5 24.06 21.78 24.28 21.9 0.293 0.361 0.02 0.00 2.11 4.74 1.04 7.901 -- 59.9 12 L 1:08:15 PM 0:01:32 29.4 23.20 21.88 24.38 22.2 0.252 0.306 0.03 -0.01 1.61 4.54 0.65 6.815 -- 66.5 13 L 1:35:09 PM 0:01:31 29.0 23.47 21.30 23.30 26.1 0.258 0.214 0.04 0.04 1.30 3.44 0.76 5.588 -- 61.6 14 R 1:37:05 PM 0:01:10 29.0 23.40 21.54 23.54 25.8 0.334 0.303 0.04 -0.06 1.72 5.33 0.77 7.815 -- 67.3 15 L 1:44:24 PM 0:03:07 28.8 42.07 27.34 29.04 28.8 0.225 -0.090 0.03 0.03 -0.34 -1.87 -0.43 -2.581 -- 69.4 16 R 1:48:17 PM 0:01:23 28.6 41.97 38.89 41.09 74.1 0.506 0.084 0.02 0.00 0.94 3.85 1.40 6.208 -- 62.0 Mean 29.3 26.08 23.28 25.12 23.4 0.276 0.594 0.02 0.01 1.63 3.93 0.74 6.331 0.000 62.7 Std Dev 0.8 6.34 4.45 4.50 14.3 0.080 1.160 0.02 0.02 0.61 1.61 0.36 2.453 0.000 3.0 COV 0.0 0.243 0.191 0.179 0.611 0.290 1.954 0.693 2.748 0.371 0.409 0.486 0.387 0.000 0.049 Exposure Time: 0:27:16 FigureB.3: Surveyed cross sections in Kurau branch (9 April 2012) Table B.3: The measured data with river surveyor at main Kurau in Ara-Kurau confluence Discharge Measurement Summary Site I nformation Date Measured: Tuesday, April 09, 2012 Measurement I nformation Site Name Station Number Location Party Boat/ Motor Meas. Number Ara-Kurau Junction M a i n Ku r a u System I nformation System Setup System Type Serial Number Firmware Version Software Version RS-S5 515 2.00 3.01 Units Transducer Depth (m) Salinity (ppt) Magnetic Declination (deg) Discharge Calculation Settings Track Reference Depth Reference Coordinate System Distance Velocity Area Discharge Temperature 0.16 0.0 -6.0 m m/ s m2 m3/s degC Discharge Results GPS-VTG Bottom-Track ENU Left Method Right Method Top Fit Type Bottom Fit Type Distance Mean Vel Sloped Bank Sloped Bank Power Fit Power Fit Width (m) Area (m2) Mean Speed (m/ s) Total Q (m3/s) 27.10 19.9 0.638 12.571 Measurement Results Tr # Time Discharge % Time Duration Temp. Track DMG Width Area Boat Water Left Right Top Middle Bottom Total MBTotal Measured 3:14:29 PM 0:06:44 30.4 54.14 27.74 28.74 19.5 0.134 0.597 0.00 0.00 3.08 6.57 2.01 11.654 -- 56.4 3:21:23 2R PM 0:03:05 30.5 47.47 32.49 33.49 22.9 0.257 0.575 0.00 0.00 3.68 7.15 2.34 13.175 -- 54.3 3:24:44 3L PM 0:02:03 30.4 34.53 27.75 28.75 21.0 0.281 0.525 0.00 0.00 3.04 6.11 1.88 11.029 -- 55.4 3:26:59 4R PM 0:02:00 30.4 36.77 27.31 28.31 20.2 0.306 0.620 0.00 0.00 3.50 6.98 2.05 12.519 -- 55.7 3:30:14 5L PM 0:02:10 30.3 33.96 26.42 27.42 20.7 0.261 0.561 0.00 0.00 2.73 6.78 2.10 11.619 -- 58.4 3:33:16 6R PM 0:01:30 30.4 30.48 25.43 26.73 20.6 0.339 0.600 0.00 0.00 2.90 7.47 2.02 12.385 -- 60.3 3:43:02 PM 0:01:11 30.3 18.14 16.50 22.70 17.1 0.255 0.787 -0.02 0.00 3.44 7.76 2.29 13.476 -- 57.5 3:46:22 8L PM 0:01:23 30.4 22.32 19.99 22.99 18.0 0.269 0.699 0.01 0.00 3.43 6.97 2.22 12.617 -- 55.2 3:48:04 9R PM 0:01:35 30.5 25.14 20.63 23.63 18.3 0.265 0.697 0.02 0.00 3.39 7.21 2.11 12.732 -- 56.6 4:39:39 10 R PM 0:02:16 32.7 29.34 26.72 27.72 19.8 0.216 0.735 0.08 0.00 5.01 7.32 2.13 14.538 -- 50.3 4:42:18 11 L PM 0:01:44 32.3 29.05 26.65 27.65 20.3 0.279 0.617 0.00 0.00 4.14 6.55 1.85 12.539 -- 52.2 Mean 30.8 32.85 25.24 27.10 19.9 0.260 0.638 0.01 0.00 3.49 6.99 2.09 12.571 0.000 55.7 Std Dev 0.8 10.03 4.27 2.97 1.5 0.050 0.077 0.03 0.00 0.61 0.45 0.15 0.917 0.000 2.6 COV 0.0 0.305 0.169 0.110 0.077 0.191 0.121 2.859 -2.680 0.175 0.064 0.071 0.073 0.000 0.047 1L 7R Exposure Time: 0:25:41 FigureB.4: Surveyed cross sections in main Kurau (9 April 2012) Table 9.4: The measured data with river surveyor at Ara-Kurau confluence Discharge Measurement Summary Date Measured: Thursday, July 19, 2012 Site I nformation Measurement I nformation Site Name Station Number Location Ara-Kurau Junction System I nformation System Type Serial Number Firmware Version Software Version Party Boat/ Motor Meas. Number System Setup RS-S5 515 2.00 3.01 Units Transducer Depth (m) Salinity (ppt) Magnetic Declination (deg) Discharge Calculation Settings Track Reference Depth Reference Coordinate System Distance Velocity Area Discharge Temperature 0.16 0.0 -6.0 m m/ s m2 m3/s degC Discharge Results GPS-VTG Bottom-Track ENU Left Method Right Method Top Fit Type Bottom Fit Type Sloped Bank Sloped Bank Power Fit Power Fit Width (m) Area (m2) Mean Speed (m/ s) Total Q (m3/s) 21.63 18.9 0.393 9.396 Measurement Results Tr # Time Distance Mean Vel Discharge % Time Duration Temp. Track DMG Width Area Boat Water Left Right Top Middle Bottom Total MBTotal Measured 1L 11:19:48 AM 0:02:00 27.9 20.42 18.93 20.93 13.5 0.170 0.410 0.00 0.00 2.11 2.78 0.63 5.520 -- 50.4 2R 11:22:06 AM 0:01:19 27.7 20.80 19.50 21.50 13.6 0.263 0.497 0.00 -0.01 2.60 3.41 0.75 6.749 -- 50.4 3L 12:23:36 PM 0:01:08 28.4 19.15 1.86 2.36 0.9 0.282 -1.098 -0.02 0.00 -0.46 -0.49 -0.06 -1.030 -- 47.8 4L 12:24:52 PM 0:01:09 28.2 22.04 20.93 21.93 14.5 0.319 0.439 0.01 0.00 2.38 3.24 0.75 6.379 -- 50.8 5R 12:26:30 PM 0:01:57 28.0 27.70 21.90 22.90 15.1 0.237 0.483 0.02 -0.01 2.71 3.78 0.79 7.297 -- 51.7 6R 12:29:19 PM 0:01:22 27.9 24.04 21.74 22.74 15.2 0.293 0.515 0.02 0.00 2.92 4.06 0.85 7.845 -- 51.7 7L 1:22:00 PM 0:01:55 27.6 24.06 22.28 23.78 25.6 0.209 0.452 0.00 0.00 2.12 7.44 2.03 11.590 -- 64.2 8R 1:24:07 PM 0:01:09 27.7 24.33 22.18 23.68 25.9 0.353 0.574 0.00 0.00 2.76 9.50 2.61 14.878 -- 63.9 9L 1:26:17 PM 0:01:00 27.7 20.31 19.40 20.90 28.1 0.338 0.472 -0.04 0.00 2.28 8.84 2.16 13.248 -- 66.4 10 R 1:27:27 PM 0:01:08 27.7 21.02 18.45 19.95 27.2 0.309 0.571 -0.02 0.00 2.68 10.19 2.69 15.536 -- 65.4 11 L 1:34:39 PM 0:01:30 27.9 27.80 26.61 27.61 16.3 0.309 0.484 0.00 0.00 2.96 4.04 0.89 7.898 -- 51.2 12 R 1:36:21 PM 0:01:07 27.9 28.80 27.08 28.08 18.7 0.430 0.497 0.00 0.00 3.29 4.74 1.25 9.274 -- 51.1 13 L 1:38:47 PM 0:01:23 28.0 27.08 25.51 26.51 14.6 0.326 0.580 0.00 0.00 3.38 4.04 1.05 8.483 -- 47.7 14 L 1:48:27 PM 0:02:53 27.9 21.57 19.58 20.58 26.6 0.125 0.462 -0.03 -0.01 2.37 7.86 2.09 12.290 -- 63.6 15 R 1:51:38 PM 0:01:02 27.9 21.04 20.05 21.05 26.8 0.339 0.558 -0.02 0.00 2.82 9.97 2.22 14.981 -- 66.3 Mean 27.9 23.34 20.40 21.63 18.9 0.287 0.393 -0.01 0.00 2.46 5.56 1.38 9.396 0.000 56.2 Std Dev 0.2 3.08 5.61 5.71 7.4 0.074 0.402 0.02 0.00 0.86 3.07 0.81 4.295 0.000 7.3 COV 0.0 0.132 0.275 0.264 0.393 0.259 1.022 3.065 -2.550 0.350 0.551 0.589 0.457 0.000 0.130 Exposure Time: 0:22:02 T 1 20120719111948 i T 2 20120719112205 i T 3 20120719122334 i T 4 20120719122451 i T 5 20120719122629 i T 6 20120719122917 i FigureB.5: Surveyed cross sections in Ara -Kurau confluence (19 July 2012) FigureB.6: Surveyed cross sections in Ara -Kurau confluence (19 July 2012) Table B.5: The measured data with river surveyor at Ara-Kurau confluence Discharge Measurement Summary Site I nformation Measurement I nformation Site Name Station Number Location Ara-Kurau Junction System I nformation System Type Serial Number Firmware Version Software Version Date Measured: Monday, Oct ober 08 , 2012 Party Boat/ Motor Meas. Number System Setup RS-S5 515 2.00 3.01 Units Transducer Depth (m) Salinity (ppt) Magnetic Declination (deg) Discharge Calculation Settings Track Reference Depth Reference Coordinate System Distance Velocity Area Discharge Temperature 0.15 0.0 -6.0 m m/ s m2 m3/s degC Discharge Results GPS-VTG Bottom-Track ENU Left Method Right Method Top Fit Type Bottom Fit Type Sloped Bank Sloped Bank Power Fit Power Fit 20.04 12.7 0.484 7.064 Width (m) Area (m2) Mean Speed (m/ s) Total Q (m3/s) Measurement Results Tr # Time Distance Discharge % 1R 10:58:30 AM 0:01:59 26.7 20.23 19.25 20.75 10.0 0.170 0.500 0.00 -0.01 2.32 2.05 0.64 4.999 -- 40.7 2L 11:02:21 AM 0:02:15 26.7 23.00 20.71 22.21 11.2 0.170 0.378 0.00 0.00 1.86 1.81 0.55 4.213 -- 42.8 3R 11:04:49 AM 0:01:45 26.7 22.05 20.18 21.18 11.5 0.210 0.442 0.00 0.00 2.17 2.23 0.66 5.061 -- 44.0 4L 11:23:33 AM 0:02:15 26.8 27.36 24.29 25.29 17.4 0.203 0.540 0.00 0.00 2.51 5.13 1.73 9.370 -- 54.7 5R 11:26:03 AM 0:01:44 26.9 26.68 22.97 23.97 16.3 0.257 0.639 0.00 0.00 2.80 5.44 2.18 10.424 -- 52.2 6R 11:34:50 AM 0:01:44 27.1 28.74 24.92 25.92 11.2 0.276 0.435 0.00 0.00 2.16 1.98 0.72 4.863 -- 40.8 7L 11:36:43 AM 0:01:34 27.2 29.04 25.27 26.27 10.5 0.309 0.426 0.00 0.00 2.10 1.73 0.66 4.494 -- 38.5 8R 11:39:23 AM 0:01:46 27.2 26.28 22.78 23.78 10.1 0.248 0.464 0.00 0.00 2.05 2.04 0.62 4.701 -- 43.3 9L 11:41:25 AM 0:01:26 27.3 24.79 22.77 23.77 9.4 0.288 0.398 0.00 0.00 1.54 1.68 0.51 3.726 -- 45.0 10 R 11:52:25 AM 0:01:32 27.3 24.60 20.66 21.66 15.4 0.267 0.622 0.00 0.00 2.07 5.47 2.05 9.581 -- 57.1 11 L 11:58:41 AM 0:02:36 27.4 24.45 21.98 22.98 15.4 0.157 0.475 0.00 0.00 1.53 4.32 1.49 7.337 -- 58.9 12 R 12:01:28 PM 0:01:19 27.4 24.13 22.04 23.04 15.8 0.305 0.666 0.00 0.00 2.46 5.96 2.13 10.553 -- 56.5 13 L 12:03:15 PM 0:01:27 27.4 18.12 16.78 18.28 16.9 0.208 0.554 -0.02 0.00 1.91 5.67 1.79 9.352 -- 60.4 14 R 12:04:55 PM 0:01:00 27.4 17.88 16.92 18.42 16.7 0.298 0.647 0.01 0.00 2.18 6.82 1.80 10.808 -- 63.1 15 L 12:22:04 PM 0:01:19 27.4 19.92 18.30 19.30 18.1 0.252 0.548 0.02 0.00 2.42 5.78 1.70 9.916 -- 58.3 16 R 12:23:33 PM 0:00:49 27.4 19.92 18.13 19.13 17.9 0.407 0.700 0.03 0.00 2.98 7.25 2.24 12.508 -- 58.0 17 L 12:25:41 PM 0:01:16 27.5 24.47 19.68 20.68 16.9 0.322 0.562 0.04 0.00 2.38 5.57 1.54 9.529 -- 58.5 18 R 12:27:07 PM 0:01:01 27.5 23.90 19.93 20.93 17.4 0.392 0.739 0.06 0.00 3.38 7.19 2.21 12.838 -- 56.0 19 L 1:01:04 PM 0:02:55 24.4 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000 -- 0.0 20 L 12:13:27 PM 0:01:17 26.8 4.20 1.18 2.18 0.0 0.055 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000 -- 0.0 21 L 12:15:21 PM 0:02:09 26.7 21.91 19.59 20.64 9.6 0.170 0.424 0.00 0.00 1.93 1.66 0.48 4.068 -- 40.8 Mean 27.0 21.51 18.97 20.04 12.7 0.236 0.484 0.01 0.00 2.04 3.80 1.22 7.064 0.000 46.2 Std Dev 0.7 7.03 6.41 6.47 5.1 0.095 0.187 0.02 0.00 0.79 2.32 0.75 3.684 0.000 COV 0.0 0.327 0.338 0.323 0.404 0.404 0.386 2.515 -3.085 0.386 0.612 0.614 0.521 0.000 Exposure Time: 0:35:08 . Mean Vel Time Duration Temp. Track DMG Width Area Boat Water Left Right Top Middle Bottom Total MBTotal Measured 16.8 0.365 FigureB.7: Surveyed cross sections in Ara -Kurau confluence (8 October 2012) FigureB.8: Surveyed cross sections in Ara -Kurau confluence (8 October 2012) 10 APPENDIX C INPUT FILE FOR SSIIM Table C.1: Calculation of sediment input for SSIIM Q (m3/s) Tb (kg/s) Tb (Ton/s) Tb /γs (Ton/s/m3) (Tb /γs)/Q Ton Kurau 4 0.781240297 0.00078124 0.000294808 7.37019E-05 5 1.006646488 0.001006646 0.000379867 7.59733E-05 6 1.232052678 0.001232053 0.000464926 7.74876E-05 7 1.457458869 0.001457459 0.000549984 7.85692E-05 8 1.682865059 0.001682865 0.000635043 7.93804E-05 9 1.90827125 0.001908271 0.000720102 8.00114E-05 10 2.13367744 0.002133677 0.000805161 8.05161E-05 11 2.356464916 0.002356465 0.000889232 8.08393E-05 12 2.581871195 0.002581871 0.000974291 8.11909E-05 14 3.009115796 0.003009116 0.001135515 8.11082E-05 15 3.234523065 0.003234523 0.001220575 8.13716E-05 18 3.89503179 0.003895032 0.001469823 8.16569E-05 20 4.345841887 0.004345842 0.00163994 8.1997E-05 23 5.01289886 0.005012899 0.00189166 8.22461E-05 27 5.919773243 0.005919773 Ara 0.002233877 8.27362E-05 4 0.793262937 0.000793263 0.000299345 7.48361E-05 5 1.021404503 0.001021405 0.000385436 7.70871E-05 6 1.250642744 0.001250643 0.000471941 7.86568E-05 7 1.490787633 0.001490788 0.000562561 8.03659E-05 8 1.72022527 0.001720225 0.000649142 8.11427E-05 9 1.949662908 0.001949663 0.000735722 8.17469E-05 10 2.168692387 0.002168692 0.000818374 8.18374E-05 11 2.396541592 0.002396542 0.000904355 8.22141E-05 12 2.626406505 0.002626407 0.000991097 8.25914E-05 14 3.06808168 0.003068082 0.001157767 8.26976E-05 15 3.298827851 0.003298828 0.001244841 8.29894E-05 18 3.976515616 0.003976516 0.001500572 8.33651E-05 20 4.434056699 0.004434057 0.001673229 8.36614E-05 23 5.133188694 0.005133189 0.001937052 8.42197E-05 27 6.060891318 0.006060891 0.002287129 8.47085E-05 Table C. 2: Fractional sediment input for SSIIM (Kurau) Size (mm) 3.67 2.34 2.22 1.37 1 0.7 0.47 0.38 0.099745682 0.062509271 0.046679693 0.166047007 0.121483118 0.132082221 0.212459885 0.158993123 0.162588153 0.170485464 0.109354695 0.215291484 0.104558858 0.092083149 0.111765134 0.033873062 4 0.000007351 0.000004607 0.000003440 0.000012238 0.000008954 0.000009735 0.000015659 0.000011718 5 0.000007578 0.000004749 0.000003546 0.000012615 0.000009229 0.000010035 0.000016141 0.000012079 6 0.000007729 0.000004844 0.000003617 0.000012867 0.000009413 0.000010235 0.000016463 0.000012320 7 0.000007837 0.000004911 0.000003668 0.000013046 0.000009545 0.000010378 0.000016693 0.000012492 8 0.000007918 0.000004962 0.000003705 0.000013181 0.000009643 0.000010485 0.000016865 0.000012621 9 0.000007981 0.000005001 0.000003735 0.000013286 0.000009720 0.000010568 0.000016999 0.000012721 10 0.000008031 0.000005033 0.000003758 0.000013369 0.000009781 0.000010635 0.000017106 0.000012802 11 0.000008063 0.000005053 0.000003774 0.000013423 0.000009821 0.000010677 0.000017175 0.000012853 12 0.000013201 0.000013842 0.000008879 0.000017480 0.000008489 0.000007476 0.000009074 0.000002750 14 0.000013187 0.000013828 0.000008870 0.000017462 0.000008481 0.000007469 0.000009065 0.000002747 15 0.000013230 0.000013873 0.000008898 0.000017519 0.000008508 0.000007493 0.000009095 0.000002756 18 0.000013276 0.000013921 0.000008930 0.000017580 0.000008538 0.000007519 0.000009126 0.000002766 20 0.000013332 0.000013979 0.000008967 0.000017653 0.000008574 0.000007551 0.000009164 0.000002777 23 0.000013372 0.000014022 0.000008994 0.000017707 0.000008600 0.000007573 0.000009192 0.000002786 27 0.000013452 0.000014105 0.000009048 0.000017812 0.000008651 0.000007619 0.000009247 0.000002803 Fraction % 3 Q (m /s) Table C. 3: Fractional sediment input for SSIIM (Ara) Size (mm) 3.67 2.34 2.22 1.37 1 0.7 0.47 0.38 Fraction % 0.084424126 0.068001208 0.0667869 0.125382672 0.136256792 0.131892238 0.237721259 0.149534805 0.162588153 0.170485464 0.109354695 0.215291484 0.104558858 0.092083149 0.111765134 0.033873062 4 0.000006318 0.000005089 0.000004998 0.000009383 0.000010197 0.000009870 0.000017790 0.000011191 5 0.000006508 0.000005242 0.000005148 0.000009665 0.000010504 0.000010167 0.000018325 0.000011527 6 0.000006641 0.000005349 0.000005253 0.000009862 0.000010718 0.000010374 0.000018698 0.000011762 7 0.000006785 0.000005465 0.000005367 0.000010076 0.000010950 0.000010600 0.000019105 0.000012018 8 0.000006850 0.000005518 0.000005419 0.000010174 0.000011056 0.000010702 0.000019289 0.000012134 9 0.000006901 0.000005559 0.000005460 0.000010250 0.000011139 0.000010782 0.000019433 0.000012224 10 0.000013306 0.000013952 0.000008949 0.000017619 0.000008557 0.000007536 0.000009147 0.000002772 11 0.000013367 0.000014016 0.000008991 0.000017700 0.000008596 0.000007571 0.000009189 0.000002785 12 0.000013428 0.000014081 0.000009032 0.000017781 0.000008636 0.000007605 0.000009231 0.000002798 14 0.000013446 0.000014099 0.000009043 0.000017804 0.000008647 0.000007615 0.000009243 0.000002801 15 0.000013493 0.000014148 0.000009075 0.000017867 0.000008677 0.000007642 0.000009275 0.000002811 18 0.000013554 0.000014213 0.000009116 0.000017948 0.000008717 0.000007677 0.000009317 0.000002824 20 0.000013602 0.000014263 0.000009149 0.000018012 0.000008748 0.000007704 0.000009350 0.000002834 23 0.000013693 0.000014358 0.000009210 0.000018132 0.000008806 0.000007755 0.000009413 0.000002853 27 0.000013773 0.000014442 0.000009263 0.000018237 0.000008857 0.000007800 0.000009467 0.000002869 3 Q (m /s) Figure C.1: Timei file for Q=15 m3/s Figure C.2: Timei file for Q=31m3/s Figure C.3: Timei file for Q=43m3/s Figure C.4: Timei file for Q=35 m3/s Figure C.5: Timei file for Q=25 m3/s Figure C.6: Timei file for Q=13 m3/s 16.6 16.5 Ara RSK1 16.0 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 16.1 15.6 15.1 15.5 15.0 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14.6 0 10 Distance (m) 20 0 30 RSK2 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 30 RSK3 16 16 15.5 15.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 15 14.5 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14 14 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 RSK4 RSK5 Elevation (m) 16 0 40 16.5 Elevation (m) 20 16.5 16.5 15.5 16 15.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 0 30 17 10 Distance (m) 20 30 16.5 RSK6 16.5 RSK7 16 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) 10 Distance (m) 16 15.5 15.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 15 Q= 35 (mᵌ/s) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 30 0 10 20 Distance (m) Figure C.7: Channel cross section profiles, Q=25m3/s 30 40 16.6 16.5 RSK1 16.1 Elevation (m) Elevation (m) Ara 15.6 15.1 10 Distance (m) 20 30 5 10 15 Distance (m) 20 25 RSK3 RSK2 16 Elevation (m) 16 Elevation (m) 0 16.5 16.5 15.5 15.5 15 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 15 14.5 14 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14 0 10 20 Distance (m) 30 40 0 16.5 10 Distance (m) 20 30 17 RSK4 RSK5 16.5 Elevation (m) 16 Elevation (m) Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 0 15.5 15 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 16 15.5 15 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 14 14 0 10 Distance (m) 20 0 30 10 Distance (m) 20 30 17 17 RSK6 16 15.5 15 14 10 Distance (m) 20 16 15.5 15 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.5 0 RSK7 16.5 Elevation (m) 16.5 Elevation (m) 15.5 15.0 Q= 25 (mᵌ/s) Q= 13 (mᵌ/s) 14.6 16.0 14 30 0 10 20 Distance (m) Figure C.8: Channel cross section profiles, Q=13m3/s 30 40