Application of evolutionary computation on ensemble forecast of quantitative precipitation
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gp-bibliography.bib Revision:1.8098
- @Article{DUFEK2017139,
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author = "Amanda S. Dufek and Douglas A. Augusto and
Pedro L. S. Dias and Helio J. C. Barbosa",
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title = "Application of evolutionary computation on ensemble
forecast of quantitative precipitation",
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journal = "Computers {\&} Geosciences",
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year = "2017",
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volume = "106",
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pages = "139--149",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Ensemble
weather forecast, Quantitative precipitation,
Evolutionary computation",
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ISSN = "0098-3004",
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URL = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098300417306507",
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DOI = "doi:10.1016/j.cageo.2017.06.011",
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abstract = "An evolutionary computation algorithm known as genetic
programming (GP) has been explored as an alternative
tool for improving the ensemble forecast of 24-h
accumulated precipitation. Three GP versions and six
ensembles' languages were applied to several real-world
datasets over southern, south-eastern and central
Brazil during the rainy period from October to February
of 2008-2013. According to the results, the GP
algorithms performed better than two traditional
statistical techniques, with errors 27-57percent lower
than simple ensemble mean and the MASTER super model
ensemble system. In addition, the results revealed that
GP algorithms outperformed the best individual
forecasts, reaching an improvement of 34-42percent. On
the other hand, the GP algorithms had a similar
performance with respect to each other and to the
Bayesian model averaging, but the former are far more
versatile techniques. Although the results for the six
ensembles languages are almost indistinguishable, our
most complex linear language turned out to be the best
overall proposal. Moreover, some meteorological
attributes, including the weather patterns over Brazil,
seem to play an important role in the prediction of
daily rainfall amount.",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Amanda Sabatini Dufek
Douglas A Augusto
Pedro Leite da Silva Dias
Helio J C Barbosa
Citations