Utilization of Genetic Programming to Establish Demand Forecast in Taiwan International Flights
Created by W.Langdon from
gp-bibliography.bib Revision:1.7954
- @InProceedings{Yang:2010:ICIECS,
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author = "Hui-Hua Yang and Shih-Huang Chen and Jui-Ying Hung and
Ching-Tsung Hung and Meng-Lung Chung",
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title = "Utilization of Genetic Programming to Establish Demand
Forecast in {Taiwan} International Flights",
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booktitle = "2nd International Conference on Information
Engineering and Computer Science (ICIECS), 2010",
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year = "2010",
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month = "25-26 " # dec,
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abstract = "Accurately prediction is the most important way to
cost down for airlines. The study was focused on build
up forecast model of five Taiwan international flights
included Bali, Bang Kong, Ho Chi Minh City, Kuala
Lumpur, and Singapore. Genetic programming was adopted
to establish simulation models, and Mean Absolute
Percent Error (MAPE) also was used to evaluate the
performance of those models. The ten years of
historical passenger's data was collected and analysis,
and finally the demand forecast of five flights in 2010
would be conducted. The validations MAPE of models were
lower than 10percent expect Bali flights. Based on
experience of traditional statistic method included
linear regression and time series, the ability of
Genetic programming models were excellent. The forecast
error of Bali flights were 11percent and it may be
caused by a series accident. On the basis of above
results, Genetic programming could be the feasible
approach for prediction of five flights in Taiwan. In
addition, the passengers to Singapore would
substantially increase in 2010-2011, and the issue is
worthy to further study for airlines and government.",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Taiwan
international flights, airlines, demand forecast, mean
absolute percent error, demand forecasting, travel
industry",
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DOI = "doi:10.1109/ICIECS.2010.5677766",
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ISSN = "2156-7379",
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notes = "Also known as \cite{5677766}",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Hui-Hua Yang
Shih-Huang Chen
Jui Ying Hung
Ching-Tsung Hung
Meng-Lung Chung
Citations