A preliminary study of Prediction Interval Methods with Genetic Programming

Created by W.Langdon from gp-bibliography.bib Revision:1.8051

@InProceedings{rebuli:2022:GECCOcomp,

• author = "Karina {Brotto Rebuli} and Mario Giacobini and Niccolo Tallone and Leonardo Vanneschi",
• title = "A preliminary study of Prediction Interval Methods with Genetic Programming",
• booktitle = "Proceedings of the 2022 Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion",
• year = "2022",
• editor = "Heike Trautmann and Carola Doerr and Alberto Moraglio and Thomas Bartz-Beielstein and Bogdan Filipic and Marcus Gallagher and Yew-Soon Ong and Abhishek Gupta and Anna V Kononova and Hao Wang and Michael Emmerich and Peter A. N. Bosman and Daniela Zaharie and Fabio Caraffini and Johann Dreo and Anne Auger and Konstantin Dietric and Paul Dufosse and Tobias Glasmachers and Nikolaus Hansen and Olaf Mersmann and Petr Posik and Tea Tusar and Dimo Brockhoff and Tome Eftimov and Pascal Kerschke and Boris Naujoks and Mike Preuss and Vanessa Volz and Bilel Derbel and Ke Li and Xiaodong Li and Saul Zapotecas and Qingfu Zhang and Mark Coletti and Catherine (Katie) Schuman and Eric ``Siggy'' Scott and Robert Patton and Paul Wiegand and Jeffrey K. Bassett and Chathika Gunaratne and Tinkle Chugh and Richard Allmendinger and Jussi Hakanen and Daniel Tauritz and John Woodward and Manuel Lopez-Ibanez and John McCall and Jaume Bacardit and Alexander Brownlee and Stefano Cagnoni and Giovanni Iacca and David Walker and Jamal Toutouh and UnaMay O'Reilly and Penousal Machado and Joao Correia and Sergio Nesmachnow and Josu Ceberio and Rafael Villanueva and Ignacio Hidalgo and Francisco {Fernandez de Vega} and Giuseppe Paolo and Alex Coninx and Antoine Cully and Adam Gaier and Stefan Wagner and Michael Affenzeller and Bobby R. Bruce and Vesna Nowack and Aymeric Blot and Emily Winter and William B. Langdon and Justyna Petke and Silvino {Fernandez Alzueta} and Pablo {Valledor Pellicer} and Thomas Stuetzle and David Paetzel and Alexander Wagner and Michael Heider and Nadarajen Veerapen and Katherine Malan and Arnaud Liefooghe and Sebastien Verel and Gabriela Ochoa and Mohammad Nabi Omidvar and Yuan Sun and Ernesto Tarantino and De Falco Ivanoe and Antonio {Della Cioppa} and Scafuri Umberto and John Rieffel and Jean-Baptiste Mouret and Stephane Doncieux and Stefanos Nikolaidis and Julian Togelius and Matthew C. Fontaine and Serban Georgescu and Francisco Chicano and Darrell Whitley and Oleksandr Kyriienko and Denny Dahl and Ofer Shir and Lee Spector and Alma Rahat and Richard Everson and Jonathan Fieldsend and Handing Wang and Yaochu Jin and Erik Hemberg and Marwa A. Elsayed and Michael Kommenda and William {La Cava} and Gabriel Kronberger and Steven Gustafson",
• pages = "530--533",
• address = "Boston, USA",
• series = "GECCO '22",
• month = "9-13 " # jul,
• organisation = "SIGEVO",
• publisher = "Association for Computing Machinery",
• publisher_address = "New York, NY, USA",
• keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, modelling uncertainty, crisp prediction, prediction interval",
• isbn13 = "978-1-4503-9268-6/22/07",
• DOI = "doi:10.1145/3520304.3528806",
• abstract = "This article presents an exploratory study on modelling Prediction Intervals (PI) with two Genetic Programming (GP) methods. A PI is the range of values in which the real target value is expected to fall into. It should combine two contrasting properties: to be as narrow as possible and to include as many data observations as possible. One proposed GP method, called CWC-GP, evolves simultaneously the lower and upper boundaries of the PI using a single fitness measure that combines the width and the probability coverage of the PI. The other proposed GP method, called LUBE-GP, evolves independently the boundaries of the PI with a multi-objective approach, in which one fitness aims to minimise the width and the other aims to maximise the probability coverage of the PI. Both methods were applied with Direct and Sequential approaches. In the former, the PI is assessed without the crisp prediction of the model. In the latter, the method makes use of the crisp prediction to find the PI boundaries. The proposed methods showed to have good potential on assessing PIs and the presented preliminary results pave the way to further investigations. The most promising results were observed with the Sequential CWC-GP.",
• notes = "GECCO-2022 A Recombination of the 31st International Conference on Genetic Algorithms (ICGA) and the 27th Annual Genetic Programming Conference (GP)",

}

Genetic Programming entries for Karina Brotto Rebuli Mario Giacobini Niccolo Tallone Leonardo Vanneschi

Citations