booktitle = "2015 18th International Conference on Computer and
Information Technology (ICCIT)",
title = "Forecasting US NASDAQ stock index values using hybrid
forecasting systems",
year = "2015",
pages = "282--287",
abstract = "Capability to predict precise future stock values is
the most important factor in financial market to make
profit. Because of virtual trading, now a day this
market has turn into one of the hot targets where any
person can earn profit. Thus, predicting the correct
future value of a stock has become an area of hot
interest. This paper attempt to forecast NASDAQ stock
index values using novel hybrid forecasting models
based on widely used soft computing models and time
series models. The daily historical US NASDAQ closing
stock index for the periods of 08 February 1971 to 24
July 2015 is used and is applied our proposed hybrid
forecasting models to see whether considered
forecasting models can closely forecast daily NASDAQ
stock index values. Mean absolute error and root mean
square error between observed and predicted NASDAQ
stock index are considered as evaluation criteria. The
result is compared on the basis of selected individual
forecasting time series model and individual soft
computing forecasting models and the proposed hybrid
forecasting models. Our experimental evidences show
that the proposed hybrid back-propagation artificial
neural network and genetic algorithm forecasting model
has outperformed as compare to other considered
forecasting models for forecasting daily US NASDAQ
stock index. We trust that daily US NASDAQ stock index
forecasts will be notice for a number of spectators who
wish to construct strategies about this index.",