Maximum energy entropy: A novel signal preprocessing approach for data-driven monthly streamflow forecasting
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- @Article{DARIANE:2024:ecoinf,
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author = "Alireza B. Dariane and Mohammad Reza {M. Behbahani}",
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title = "Maximum energy entropy: A novel signal preprocessing
approach for data-driven monthly streamflow
forecasting",
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journal = "Ecological Informatics",
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volume = "79",
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pages = "102452",
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year = "2024",
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ISSN = "1574-9541",
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DOI = "doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2023.102452",
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URL = "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1574954123004818",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Signal
preprocessing, Maximum-energy-entropy, Monthly
streamflow forecasting, Input variable selection,
Wavelet-entropy",
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abstract = "In recent years, the application of Data-Driven Models
(DDMs) in ecological studies has garnered significant
attention due to their capacity to accurately simulate
complex hydrological processes. These models have
proven invaluable in comprehending and predicting
natural phenomena. However, to achieve improved
outcomes, certain additive components such as signal
analysis models (SAM) and input variable selections
(IVS) are necessary. SAMs unveil hidden characteristics
within time series data, while IVS prevents the use of
inappropriate input data. In the realm of ecological
research, understanding these patterns is pivotal for
grasping the ecological implications of streamflow
dynamics and guiding effective management decisions.
Addressing the need for more precise streamflow
forecasting, this study proposes a novel SAM called
{"}Maximum Energy Entropy (MEE){"} to forecast monthly
streamflow in the Ajichai basin, located in
northwestern Iran. A comparative analysis was
conducted, pitting MEE against well-known methods such
as Discreet Wavelet (DW) and Discreet Wavelet-Entropy
(DWE), ultimately demonstrating the superiority of MEE.
The results showcased the superior performance of our
proposed method, with an NSE value of 0.72, compared to
DW (NSE value of 0.68) and DWE (NSE value of 0.68).
Furthermore, MEE exhibited greater reliability,
boasting a lower Standard Deviation value of 0.13
compared to DW (0.26) and DWE (0.19). The use of MEE
equips researchers and decision-makers with more
accurate predictions, facilitating well-informed
ecological management and water resource planning. To
further evaluate MEE's accuracy using various DDMs, we
integrated MEE with Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and
Genetic Programming (GP). Additionally, GP served as an
IVS method for selecting appropriate input variables.
Ultimately, the combination of MEE and GP within the
ANN forecasting model (MEE-GP-ANN) yielded the most
favorable results",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Alireza B Dariane
Mohammad Reza M Behbahani
Citations