A Pareto-optimal moving average-multigene genetic programming model for rainfall-runoff modelling
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- @Article{DanandehMehr:2017:EMS,
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author = "Ali {Danandeh Mehr} and Vahid Nourani",
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title = "A {Pareto}-optimal moving average-multigene genetic
programming model for rainfall-runoff modelling",
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journal = "Environmental Modelling \& Software",
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year = "2017",
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volume = "92",
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pages = "239--251",
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month = jun,
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Multigene
genetic programming, Rainfall-runoff modelling,
Pareto-optimal model, Multilayer perceptron, Moving
average filtering",
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ISSN = "1364-8152",
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DOI = "doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.03.004",
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URL = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815216308143",
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size = "13 pages",
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abstract = "The effectiveness of genetic programming (GP) in
rainfall-runoff modelling has been recognized in recent
studies. However, it may produce misleading estimations
if autoregressive relationship between runoff and its
antecedent values is not carefully considered.
Meanwhile, GP evolves alternative models of different
accuracy and complexity, where selecting a parsimonious
model from such alternatives needs extra attention. To
cope with these problems, this paper proposes a new
hybrid model that integrates moving average filtering
with multigene GP and uses Pareto-front plot to
optimize the evolved models through an interactive
complexity-efficiency trade-off. The model was applied
to develop single- and multi-day-ahead rainfall-runoff
models and compared to stand-alone GP, multigene GP,
and multilayer perceptron as the benchmarks. The
results indicated that the new model provides
substantial improvements relative to the benchmarks,
with prediction errors 25-60percent lower and timing
accuracy 80-760percent higher. Moreover, it is explicit
and parsimonious, motivating to be used in practice.",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Ali Danandeh Mehr
Vahid Nourani
Citations