New horizontal global solar radiation estimation models for Turkey based on robust coplot supported genetic programming technique
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- @Article{Demirhan:2015:ECM,
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author = "Haydar Demirhan and Yasemin Kayhan Atilgan",
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title = "New horizontal global solar radiation estimation
models for Turkey based on robust coplot supported
genetic programming technique",
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journal = "Energy Conversion and Management",
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volume = "106",
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pages = "1013--1023",
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year = "2015",
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ISSN = "0196-8904",
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DOI = "doi:10.1016/j.enconman.2015.10.038",
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URL = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0196890415009607",
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abstract = "Renewable energy sources have been attracting more and
more attention of researchers due to the diminishing
and harmful nature of fossil energy sources. Because of
the importance of solar energy as a renewable energy
source, an accurate determination of significant
covariates and their relationships with the amount of
global solar radiation reaching the Earth is a critical
research problem. There are numerous meteorological and
terrestrial covariates that can be used in the analysis
of horizontal global solar radiation. Some of these
covariates are highly correlated with each other. It is
possible to find a large variety of linear or
non-linear models to explain the amount of horizontal
global solar radiation. However, models that explain
the amount of global solar radiation with the smallest
set of covariates should be obtained. In this study,
use of the robust coplot technique to reduce the number
of covariates before going forward with advanced
modelling techniques is considered. After reducing the
dimensionality of model space, yearly and monthly mean
daily horizontal global solar radiation estimation
models for Turkey are built by using the genetic
programming technique. It is observed that application
of robust coplot analysis is helpful for building
precise models that explain the amount of global solar
radiation with the minimum number of covariates without
suffering from outlier observations and the
multicollinearity problem. Consequently, over a dataset
of Turkey, precise yearly and monthly mean daily global
solar radiation estimation models are introduced using
the model spaces obtained by robust coplot technique
and inferences on the sensitivity of the amount of
global solar radiation to covariates and the magnitude
and direction of effect of covariates on the global
solar radiation are drawn.",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Coplot,
Correlation coefficient, ESRA, ESRI, Estimation, Eureqa
Pro, Horizontal global solar radiation, Modelling,
Outlier, Robust estimation",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Haydar Demirhan
Yasemin Kayhan Atilgan
Citations