An evolutionary-based predictive soft computing model for the prediction of electricity consumption using multi expression programming
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- @Article{FALLAHPOUR:2021:JCP,
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author = "Alireza Fallahpour and Kuan Yew Wong and
Srithar Rajoo and Guangdong Tian",
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title = "An evolutionary-based predictive soft computing model
for the prediction of electricity consumption using
multi expression programming",
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journal = "Journal of Cleaner Production",
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volume = "283",
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pages = "125287",
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year = "2021",
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ISSN = "0959-6526",
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DOI = "doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125287",
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URL = "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652620353324",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Electricity
consumption, Energy demand, Prediction, Forecasting,
Soft computing, Multi expression programming",
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abstract = "Proper estimation of electricity consumption is one of
the influential factors for sustainability and cleaner
production in both developed and developing countries.
Many studies have been conducted to present accurate
prediction models for forecasting electricity demand.
However, researchers are still working to develop
models with higher accuracy. This study applies a newer
branch of Genetic Programming (GP) as a soft computing
technique, known as Multi Expression Programming (MEP)
to predict the electricity consumption of China for the
first time based on the data collected from 1991 to
2019. Specifically, a robust mathematical model was
developed using MEP for this purpose. Different
predictive techniques known as Gene Expression
Programming (GEP) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference
System (ANFIS) were used to compare the accuracy of the
model. Based on the results, the proposed MEP model is
more powerful and accurate than both GEP and ANFIS. In
addition, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to
present the impact of each factor on the electricity
consumption of China. It was shown that among the four
independent factors (Population, Gross Domestic Product
(GDP), Import, and Export), Population has the highest
impact, followed by Export, Import and GDP,
respectively",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Alireza Fallahpour
Kuan Yew Wong
Srithar Rajoo
Guangdong Tian
Citations