Stochastic Optimization for Market Return Prediction Using Financial Knowledge Graph
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- @InProceedings{Fu:2018:ICBK,
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author = "Xiaoyi Fu and Xinqi Ren and Ole J. Mengshoel and
Xindong Wu",
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booktitle = "2018 IEEE International Conference on Big Knowledge
(ICBK)",
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title = "Stochastic Optimization for Market Return Prediction
Using Financial Knowledge Graph",
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year = "2018",
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pages = "25--32",
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address = "Singapore",
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abstract = "Interactive prediction of financial instrument returns
is important. It is needed for asset managers to
generate trading strategies as well as for stock
exchange regulators to discover pricing anomalies. In
this paper, we introduce an integrated stochastic
optimization technique, namely genetic programming (GP)
with generalized crowding (GC), GP+GC, as an integrated
approach for a market return prediction system, using a
financial knowledge graph (KG). On the one hand, using
time-series data for twenty-nine component stocks of
the Dow Jones industrial average, we show that our
stochastic local search method can give a better
prediction performance by providing a comparison of its
return performances with two traditional benchmarks,
namely a Buy & Hold strategy and the Moving Average
Convergence Divergence (MACD) technical indicator. On
the other hand, we use features extracted from a
time-evolving knowledge graph constructed from fifty
component stocks of the SSE50 Index. These features are
used to a GP variant and then incorporate the knowledge
extracted from the expression learnt from GP into a KG.
Overall, this work demonstrates how to integrate GP+GC
with KGs in a powerful manner.",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming",
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DOI = "doi:10.1109/ICBK.2018.00012",
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month = "17-18 " # nov,
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notes = "Also known as \cite{8588771}",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Xiaoyi Fu
Xinqi Ren
Ole J Mengshoel
Xindong Wu
Citations