Hydroclimatological approach for Monthly Streamflow Prediction using Genetic programming
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- @Article{Maity:2009:ISHjhe,
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author = "Rajib Maity and S. S. Kashid",
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title = "Hydroclimatological approach for Monthly Streamflow
Prediction using Genetic programming",
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journal = "The Indian Society for Hydraulics journal of Hydraulic
Engineering",
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year = "2009",
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volume = "15",
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number = "2",
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pages = "89--107",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming",
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ISSN = "0971-5010",
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URL = "http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09715010.2009.10514943",
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DOI = "doi:10.1080/09715010.2009.10514943",
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size = "19 pages",
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abstract = "An approach for monthly streamflow prediction is
illustrated in this paper using the concept of
hydroclimatological association. Rainfall-runoff
relationship over a catchment is very complex, which
may not be revealed very easily. This is due to the
fact that streamflow is significantly influenced by
catchment characteristics, land-use pattern, spatial
distribution of rainfall, evapotranspiration over the
catchment, water retention over the basin, etc. Keeping
the other factors more or less constant over a
sufficiently small temporal span (say monthly),
intensity and spatial distribution of rainfall plays a
major role behind the streamflow variation. Oceans
happen to be the major source of moisture for the
precipitation and the rainfall distribution over the
continents is proved to be linked with Sea Surface
Temperature (SST) and various large-scale atmospheric
circulation patterns across the globe. Thus, the
variation of basin-scale streamflow is expected to be
influenced by these large-scale climatological factors,
which is investigated in this paper for the Narmada
River basin. The information of El Nino-Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) from the tropical Pacific Ocean and
Equatorial Indian Ocean Oscillation (EQUINOO) from the
tropical Indian Ocean is investigated 1) for their
possible influence behind the monthly streamflow
variation of Narmada River at central India and 2) the
efficacy of genetic programming (GP), which is an
artificial intelligence technique, for the prediction
of monthly streamflow through the concept of
hydroclimatological approach. The results of the study
indicate that GP-derived streamflow forecasting models
that use historical average of monthly streamflow and
the large-scale atmospheric circulation information,
for basin-scale streamflow prediction are quite
satisfactory. The coefficient of determination for
monthly streamflow in case of Narmada River was found
to be 0.921 for training and 0.836 for testing, which
is quite promising for such a complex system",
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notes = "rajib@civil.iitb.ac.in, now at Indian Institute of
Technology, Kharagpur (rajib@civil.iitkgp.emet.in) 2.
Department of Civil Engg., liT Bombay,",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Rajib Maity
Sathishkumar Shahajirao Kashid
Citations