abstract = "The domain of multi level forecast combination is a
challenging new domain containing a large potential for
forecast improvements. This thesis presents a
theoretical and experimental analysis of different
types of forecast diversification on forecast error
covariances and resulting combined forecast quality.
Three types of diversification are used: (a)
diversification concerning the level of learning (b)
diversification of predefined parameter values and (c)
the use of different forecast models. The
diversification is carried out on forecasts of seasonal
factor predictions in Revenue Management for Airlines.
After decomposing the data and generating diversified
forecasts a (multi step) combination procedure is
applied. We provide theoretical evidence of why and
under which conditions multi step multi level forecast
combination can be a powerful approach in order to
build a high quality and adaptive forecast
system........",