Participation-based student final performance prediction model through interpretable Genetic Programming: Integrating learning analytics, educational data mining and theory

Created by W.Langdon from gp-bibliography.bib Revision:1.8051

@Article{Xing:2015:CHB,

• author = "Wanli Xing and Rui Guo and Eva Petakovic and Sean Goggins",
• title = "Participation-based student final performance prediction model through interpretable Genetic Programming: Integrating learning analytics, educational data mining and theory",
• journal = "Computers in Human Behavior",
• volume = "47",
• pages = "168--181",
• year = "2015",
• keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, Learning analytics, Educational data mining, Prediction, CSCL, Activity theory",
• ISSN = "0747-5632",
• DOI = "doi:10.1016/j.chb.2014.09.034",
• URL = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0747563214004865",
• size = "14 pages",
• abstract = "Building a student performance prediction model that is both practical and understandable for users is a challenging task fraught with confounding factors to collect and measure. Most current prediction models are difficult for teachers to interpret. This poses significant problems for model use (e.g. personalising education and intervention) as well as model evaluation. In this paper, we synthesise learning analytics approaches, educational data mining (EDM) and HCI theory to explore the development of more usable prediction models and prediction model representations using data from a collaborative geometry problem solving environment: Virtual Math Teams with Geogebra (VMTwG). First, based on theory proposed by Hrastinski (2009) establishing online learning as online participation, we activity theory to holistically quantify students' participation in the CSCL (Computer-supported Collaborative Learning) course. As a result, 6 variables, Subject, Rules, Tools, Division of Labour, Community, and Object, are constructed. This analysis of variables prior to the application of a model distinguishes our approach from prior approaches (feature selection, Ad-hoc guesswork etc.). The approach described diminishes data dimensionality and systematically contextualises data in a semantic background. Secondly, an advanced modelling technique, Genetic Programming (GP), underlies the developed prediction model. We demonstrate how connecting the structure of VMTwG trace data to a theoretical framework and processing that data using the GP algorithmic approach outperforms traditional models in prediction rate and interpretability. Theoretical and practical implications are then discussed.",
• notes = "Learning Analytics, Educational Data Mining and data-driven Educational Decision Making",

}

Genetic Programming entries for Wanli Xing Rui Guo Eva Petakovic Sean Goggins

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