Investigating the Physics of Tokamak Global Stability with Interpretable Machine Learning Tools
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- @Article{murari:2020:AS,
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author = "Andrea Murari and Emmanuele Peluso and
Michele Lungaroni and Riccardo Rossi and Michela Gelfusa and
JET Contributors",
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title = "Investigating the Physics of Tokamak Global Stability
with Interpretable Machine Learning Tools",
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journal = "Applied Sciences",
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year = "2020",
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volume = "10",
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number = "19",
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keywords = "genetic algorithms, genetic programming, disruptions,
prediction, support vector machines, SVM,
classification and regression trees, CART, ensemble of
classifiers, symbolic regression, data-driven theory,
knowledge discovery",
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ISSN = "2076-3417",
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URL = "https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/19/6683",
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DOI = "doi:10.3390/app10196683",
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abstract = "The inadequacies of basic physics models for
disruption prediction have induced the community to
increasingly rely on data mining tools. In the last
decade, it has been shown how machine learning
predictors can achieve a much better performance than
those obtained with manually identified thresholds or
empirical descriptions of the plasma stability limits.
The main criticisms of these techniques focus therefore
on two different but interrelated issues: poor physics
fidelity and limited interpretability. Insufficient
physics fidelity refers to the fact that the
mathematical models of most data mining tools do not
reflect the physics of the underlying phenomena.
Moreover, they implement a black box approach to
learning, which results in very poor interpretability
of their outputs. To overcome or at least mitigate
these limitations, a general methodology has been
devised and tested, with the objective of combining the
predictive capability of machine learning tools with
the expression of the operational boundary in terms of
traditional equations more suited to understanding the
underlying physics. The proposed approach relies on the
application of machine learning classifiers (such as
Support Vector Machines or Classification Trees) and
Symbolic Regression via Genetic Programming directly to
experimental databases. The results are very
encouraging. The obtained equations of the boundary
between the safe and disruptive regions of the
operational space present almost the same performance
as the machine learning classifiers, based on
completely independent learning techniques. Moreover,
these models possess significantly better predictive
power than traditional representations, such as the
Hugill or the beta limit. More importantly, they are
realistic and intuitive mathematical formulas, which
are well suited to supporting theoretical understanding
and to benchmarking empirical models. They can also be
deployed easily and efficiently in real-time feedback
systems.",
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notes = "also known as \cite{app10196683}",
- }
Genetic Programming entries for
Andrea Murari
Emmanuele Peluso
Michele Lungaroni
Riccardo Rossi
Michela Gelfusa
JET Contributors
Citations